Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Buying Tips Opinion

The Sneaky Role of Property Appraisals in Shaping Singapore’s Home Prices

Jayson Ang – January 20, 2024 –

TLDR When it comes to the real estate market in Singapore, understanding property valuations and the impact on mortgage loans...

Mandarin Top 5

The 5 Most Popular Types of Properties to Buy in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 19, 2023 –

The 5 Most Popular Types of Properties to Buy in Singapore 1. Condominiums: Condos are popular among buyers because they...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons Why Singapore’s Luxury Property Market Is Booming – Expert Analysis!

Jayson Ang – October 17, 2024 –

Singapore's luxury property market has been experiencing a significant boom in recent years, attracting the attention of investors and high-net-worth...

All Buying Tips Selling Tips

Should You Purchase a Small Landed Home or a Larger Condo? Insights from Singaporeans

Jayson Ang – August 5, 2024 –

TLDR When deciding between a compact landed house and a spacious condominium, consider key factors like security, parking, maintenance costs,...

All Blog Posts Top List

Discover the Top 11 Most Outstanding Condominiums in Singapore’s Holland Village Areas

Jayson Ang – December 9, 2022 –

Originally established in the early 1900s by Singapore's Dutch community, Holland Village was originally a residential area home to British...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

4 Simple Strategies to Help Future Homeowners Save Money

Jayson Ang – July 15, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to being a new homeowner, it's essential to prioritize regular maintenance to avoid costly repairs down...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips for Renting Property in Singapore

Jayson Ang – March 15, 2024 –

Renting property in Singapore can be a challenging task, especially for those who are new to the country. With Singapore's...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

35 Brand New Condominiums Nearing Their ABSD Deadline 2023

Jayson Ang – March 4, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the looming ABSD deadline for several new launch condos in 2023, highlighting the impact on...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Explore the Benefits and Drawbacks of Holding an Open House!

Jayson Ang – June 3, 2023 –

TLDR An open house is a valuable opportunity for sellers to showcase their home to potential buyers without pressure. It...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Exciting News: Affordable Housing in Singapore by 2024?

Jayson Ang – May 31, 2024 –

TLDR The real estate market in Singapore is experiencing shifts in housing supply and demand, influenced by factors like mortgage...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Ready To Make The Jump From HDB To Condo? This Guide Has All The Answers!

Jayson Ang – January 5, 2023 –

TLDR When upgrading from an HDB flat to a condo, consider factors like location proximity, amenities, and regulations. Decide whether...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Factors Influence Real Estate Investors’ Decisions when Investing in Singapore Condos?

Jayson Ang – December 11, 2024 –

Singapore's real estate market has always been an attractive investment option for both local and foreign investors. The city-state's stable...

All Buying Tips

5 Reasons Why Your House Isn’t Selling – and How to Overcome Them!

Jayson Ang – June 24, 2023 –

TLDR When trying to sell your home, ensure it is competitively priced based on its unique features and the current...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Key Factors that Affect Singapore’s Property Prices

Jayson Ang – August 29, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving city-state known for its impressive skyline and robust economy, has one of the most dynamic and competitive...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Best Green Spaces to Picnic in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 5, 2025 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its modern architecture and vibrant culture, is also home to numerous green spaces that...

All Blog Posts

SP Utilities Guide – Quick Guide To Setting Up Utilities In Singapore For Your New Home

Jayson Ang – April 16, 2023 –

TLDR Setting up utilities in Singapore for a new home is hassle-free. Contact SP Services for electricity and water accounts,...

All Opinion Reports

The Hidden Worth of Singapore’s Far-Flung HDBs

Jayson Ang – October 20, 2025 –

TLDR Location is important in Singapore’s property market, but “ulu” (remote) HDB flats in areas like Woodlands, Choa Chu Kang,...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors to Look for in a Property Developer

Jayson Ang – March 13, 2024 –

With a highly competitive property market, it's crucial to choose a property developer that you can trust to deliver quality...

All Opinion Selling Tips

Beyond Profit: Singaporean Homeowners Share Stories of Purpose-Driven Property Purchases

Jayson Ang – January 18, 2026 –

TLDR In Singapore, some homeowners prioritize personal comfort, convenience, and family needs over financial gains in property purchases. YC bought...