Executive Condos in Singapore: Have They Outgrown the “Sandwich Class” Label?
TLDR The Executive Condominium (EC) scheme, once intended as affordable “sandwich class” housing, is now acting more like a lottery...
Read More
Leasehold vs. Freehold Condos in Singapore: A Decade of Data
TLDR
In Singapore’s property market (2014-2024), leasehold condos often outperform freehold in short-term holding (around 10 years) due to lower prices and stronger gains. Freehold properties show better returns mainly over longer periods, especially for older buildings. Newer freeholds are more volatile and don’t guarantee quick profits. Leasehold leads in new-to-resale sales, while older freeholds do better in resale-to-resale deals. The belief that freehold is always better is outdated; choice depends on holding period, price, and market cycle. For short-term gains, leasehold is usually better; for long-term value, freehold may win. Expert advice is recommended for personalized strategies.
The conventional wisdom in Singapore’s property market dictates that “freehold is superior.” However, this adage often overlooks the crucial element of time. A 99-year lease is a substantial duration, and the perceived benefits of freehold status may take many decades to materialize. For those who plan to sell their property within a relatively short timeframe, such as the first ten years, the freehold premium might even become a disadvantage. This analysis examines ten years of data (2014-2024) to determine at what point freehold properties begin to outperform their leasehold counterparts and when leasehold still holds the advantage.
Comparative Performance: Freehold vs. Leasehold (2014-2024)
Analyzing the price growth of freehold (including 999-year leasehold) and 99-year leasehold condos reveals nuanced trends. Properties built from 2015 were excluded to avoid skewing the data, as newer developments are predominantly leasehold due to government land sales policies.
Over the past decade, the price per square foot (psf) gap between freehold and leasehold properties has widened slightly. However, in terms of annualized percentage growth, leasehold properties appear to have a marginal edge. This can be attributed to the freehold premium, which typically translates to a 15-20% higher initial cost for freehold properties. This higher starting point allows leasehold properties more room for appreciation.
Leasehold condos experienced their most significant gains during the post-pandemic period (2022-2023), with annualized growth nearing or exceeding 10%. Freehold/999-year condos saw slightly lower gains during this period. The price surge in leasehold properties was likely driven by a housing supply shortage, making them a more accessible option for buyers.
In 2016, leasehold properties saw an exceptional 13.99% price growth compared to a mere 0.98% for freehold properties.
Interestingly, the price difference in psf between leasehold and freehold condos in 2024 (20.47%) is almost identical to the level seen in 2016 (19.15%).
Key Observations from the Data:
Age Matters: Freehold status becomes more advantageous as properties age. Analyzing cohorts by building age (2010-2014, 2000-2009, 1990-1999, 1980-1989) shows that the performance gap between freehold and leasehold widens significantly for older properties. However, it takes a considerable amount of time for freehold to demonstrate a real difference in performance. Considering that many condos don’t surpass 30 years of age, the value of the freehold premium for shorter holding periods is questionable.
Resale-to-Resale Transactions: Examining properties bought and sold between 2014/15 and 2019 onwards (excluding distress sales) reinforces the age factor. Older freehold properties consistently show higher annualized returns compared to their leasehold counterparts. This is particularly evident in the 1990s cohort, where the gain difference was around 12%.
Volatility in Newer Freehold Properties: Newer freehold condos (2010-2019) have exhibited more volatility in their earlier years, mirroring the performance of 99-year leasehold condos from the same era. This suggests that freehold status doesn’t guarantee strong short-term gains and can even be riskier due to higher launch prices.
Absolute Dollar Gains: Despite percentage growth variations, older freehold properties often outperform in absolute dollar terms.
New-to-Resale Transactions: Leasehold Takes the Lead
Analyzing properties bought as new launches in 2014/15 and sold from 2019 onwards reveals a different trend. Leasehold condos consistently showed higher average returns and quantum gains every year compared to their freehold equivalents.
Conclusion: It Depends on Your Strategy
The data challenges the notion that “freehold is always better,” particularly for shorter holding periods. While freehold properties offer perceived long-term security, leasehold condos, especially new launches, have consistently delivered stronger short-term gains, sometimes by over 20%. This outperformance is particularly evident during market upturns when affordability drives demand.
A data-driven approach that considers entry price, market cycle, and holding period is crucial for identifying profitable opportunities, regardless of tenure.
For those seeking a deeper understanding of market dynamics and counter-intuitive strategies, consulting with real estate professionals who leverage data is highly recommended.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
What Happens To Your Housing Loan Once You Sell Your House?
TLDR When selling your home in Singapore, ensure you pay off your outstanding home loan, refund any CPF monies used,...
Read More
Buying HDB Resale : How to Minimise COV
TLDR Understanding Cash Over Valuation (COV) is crucial when buying a resale HDB flat in Singapore. COV is the additional...
Read More
The COV Conundrum: Navigating Singapore’s Property Premium
TLDR Cash Over Valuation (COV) is the difference between a property's official valuation and the price a buyer is willing...
Read More
The Numbers Behind Why Age 30–35 Is Prime Time to Upgrade from HDB to Condo
TLDR Upgrading from an HDB flat to a condominium between ages 30–35 is often considered optimal due to financial stability,...
Read More
Singapore’s Priciest Districts Are Shifting—4 Key Buyer Trends Driving the Change in 2026
TLDR The Core Central Region (CCR) property market in Singapore is shifting from luxury trophy assets to practical, lifestyle-driven homes....
Read More
Should You Be Upgrading To A Condo In 2023?
TLDR The 2022/23 property market is experiencing high prices, making it challenging for individuals to decide whether to upgrade their...
Read More
Don’t Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore’s Property Market
Don't Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to...
Read More
Debunked! 6 Popular Property Myths of 2023, Including the 99-1 Loophole – Legal or Not?
TLDR This blog post delves into various aspects of the Singapore property market, including topics such as decoupling, 99-1 property...
Read More
Top 5 Tips: Gain an Edge in the Singapore Property Market: Steps to Boost Your Investment Returns
The Singapore property market has always been a hotbed for investors looking to make substantial returns on their investments. As...
Read More
Case Study : With Income Of $180K per Annum, Which Options Should I Choose?
TLDR When making property decisions in Singapore, it's crucial to consider various factors like affordability, loan-to-value ratios, and CPF requirements....
Read More
5 Untold Risks Of Buying An Old Freehold Condo In Singapore
TLDR Old freehold condos in Singapore may seem attractive due to lower prices, but they come with hidden pitfalls. Longstanding...
Read More
Integrated Developments: Do They Live Up to the Hype? Check Out These Five Factors
TLDR Integrated developments in Singapore offer a one-stop solution for residents by combining residential, commercial, and transport elements in one...
Read More
5 Factors : Why Singapore’s Property Market Is Still A Safe Haven For Investors
Real estate investment has always been a popular choice for investors looking to generate passive income and build long-term wealth....
Read More
5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore
5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore Here are 5 things to keep in...
Read More
Top 5 : Places to Learn About Singapore’s History
Singapore, a bustling metropolis known for its modernity and multiculturalism, is also a treasure trove of rich history and heritage....
Read More
What Drives HDB Resale Prices — And Why COV Matters More Than You Think
TLDR HDB resale prices are shaped by more than just recent comparable transactions. While valuations rely on nearby sales of...
Read More
Top 5 : Risk Factors For International Buyers Investing In Singapore Real Estate And How Can They Be Mitigated?
Singapore, a thriving global city-state, is known for its business-friendly environment, low tax rates, and high standard of living. The...
Read More
The 5 Secrets To Successful Singapore Property Investing Revealed
The vibrant property market in Singapore has attracted numerous investors and speculators looking to profit from the nation's thriving conditions....
Read More
How Real Estate Professionals in Singapore Choose Their Own Homes: Lessons for Buyers
TLDR Real estate agents in Singapore approach their own home purchases with practicality, often relying on expert advice rather than...
Read More