
TLDR
HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.
The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.
Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.
Until Covid hit.
Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?
Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.
Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.
HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.
They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.


You May Also Like …
Jayson Ang – July 5, 2025 – Share
TLDR Property ownership and prenuptial agreements are key for married couples in Singapore. Joint ownership (either joint tenancy or tenancy-in-common)...
Read More
Jayson Ang – February 26, 2024 – Share
TLDR When it comes to buying landed property in Singapore, there are three main types: terrace houses, semi-detached homes, and...
Read More
Jayson Ang – April 5, 2025 – Share
Investing in Singapore property can be a lucrative venture, given the country's stable economy, strategic location, and high demand for...
Read More
Jayson Ang – February 18, 2024 – Share
TLDR In 2025, owner-occupiers of residential properties can benefit from property tax relief based on the Annual Value Band. Retirees...
Read More
Jayson Ang – October 16, 2025 – Share
TLDR Freehold properties remain highly attractive in Singapore due to their scarcity, lasting value, and legacy potential. Buyers are drawn...
Read More
Jayson Ang – February 14, 2025 – Share
TLDR In today's global workforce, many Singaporeans find themselves working abroad, raising questions about the management of their local properties....
Read More
Jayson Ang – April 20, 2023 – Share
TLDR When attempting to sell your property, various worst-case scenarios can hinder the sale process significantly. These scenarios include buyers...
Read More
Jayson Ang – January 20, 2024 – Share
TLDR When it comes to the real estate market in Singapore, understanding property valuations and the impact on mortgage loans...
Read More
Jayson Ang – March 11, 2023 – Share
As the housing market shows no signs of slowing down, many of us may feel left behind, questioning whether it...
Read More
Jayson Ang – July 28, 2024 – Share
TLDR Understanding the nuances of the HDB property market in Singapore, especially the trend of million-dollar flats, requires a deep...
Read More
Jayson Ang – May 29, 2023 – Share
TLDR Understanding the crucial difference between an Offer to Purchase and an Option to Purchase (OTP) is vital when buying...
Read More
Jayson Ang – September 30, 2024 – Share
Choosing the right property agent in Singapore can be a daunting task, especially with the plethora of options available. A...
Read More
Jayson Ang – July 25, 2023 – Share
TLDR When it comes to navigating the real estate market in Singapore, understanding key factors can make a significant difference...
Read More
Jayson Ang – November 29, 2025 – Share
TLDR When buying a new launch condo, don’t just rely on show flats or sales pitches—look deeper. Watch out if...
Read More
Jayson Ang – July 25, 2023 – Share
TLDR Renting property in Singapore as a foreigner can be challenging due to the high cost of living. To navigate...
Read More
Jayson Ang – August 23, 2023 – Share
TLDR To spot undervalued properties in Singapore's real estate market, focus on market value, location, and unique features. Consider "up...
Read More
Jayson Ang – December 11, 2024 – Share
TLDR When selling your first home, be aware of CPF accrued interest, which is the interest that would have accumulated...
Read More
Jayson Ang – August 1, 2024 – Share
Investing in a property with a good view in Singapore can be a profitable move for several reasons. Here are...
Read More
Jayson Ang – June 15, 2023 – Share
TLDR When considering whether to buy a new development or a resale property, it can be challenging. In the blog...
Read More
Jayson Ang – December 31, 2022 – Share
TLDR When deciding to sell your house in Singapore's competitive real estate market, timing is crucial. Selling during a seller's...
Read More