Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Risk Factors For International Buyers Investing In Singapore Real Estate And How Can They Be Mitigated?

Jayson Ang – December 15, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving global city-state, is known for its business-friendly environment, low tax rates, and high standard of living. The...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Investing in Singapore Real Estate as a Foreigner

Jayson Ang – January 1, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the rules and regulations for foreign investors looking to purchase real estate in Singapore. It...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Navigating the 2025 Singapore Property Market: Why Informed Buyers Can Stay Confident

Jayson Ang – July 9, 2025 –

TLDR Despite global economic uncertainties, Singapore’s property market remains resilient due to robust financial regulations, conservative loan assessments, and effective...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Should I Move to a Private Property?

Jayson Ang – January 9, 2023 –

TLDR When considering an upgrade from HDB to private property in Singapore, it's essential to understand the differences and implications....

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

HDB Owners Have Identified This Reason as the Primary Barrier to Upgrading in 2024. Surprising? Not Really.

Jayson Ang – November 25, 2025 –

TLDR High property prices in Singapore make it difficult for most to upgrade from HDB flats to private condos, despite...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Common Characteristics Of Singapore Condos That Make Them An Attractive Investment Opportunity For Foreign Buyers

Jayson Ang – January 6, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving hub of business and commerce in Southeast Asia, has become an attractive destination for foreign investors looking...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips : How to Choose the Best Property Agent in Singapore – Insider Tips and Strategies!

Jayson Ang – September 30, 2024 –

Choosing the right property agent in Singapore can be a daunting task, especially with the plethora of options available. A...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

The Importance of Caution Regarding Property Oversupply in Singapore

Jayson Ang – March 10, 2025 –

TLDR Recent challenges in China's real estate sector reveal valuable lessons for Singaporeans, emphasizing the importance of understanding governmental interventions...

All Buying Tips Selling Tips

Singapore Homebuyers: Finding Hidden Value in ‘Undesirable’ Property Traits

Jayson Ang – June 15, 2025 –

TLDR Many perceived drawbacks in Singapore’s property market—such as mortgage lock-ins, leasehold status, west-facing units, nearby construction, inefficient spaces, and...