Your search results

Is the Singapore Property Market Set for a Dip in 2024?

Posted by Jayson Ang on January 26, 2024

| 0

TLDR

The Singapore property market is experiencing shifts with Morgan Stanley adjusting its outlook on major developers. A forecast predicts a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to various factors. Massive developments completed in 2023 have impacted property prices, averaging between $2,100 to $2,300 per square foot. Challenges include HDB owners hesitating to upgrade and the high cost of new properties. The market sees the return of Deferred Payment Schemes and a decline in foreign investment due to taxes. With an increase in HDB completions and developers’ cautious bids, the supply crunch is easing. The impact of escalating interest rates and previous cooling measures remains uncertain. Government interventions aim to stabilize prices, but the market response is unpredictable. Real estate agents are adapting to market changes, emphasizing strategic advice and effective property presentation strategies for buyers and sellers.

Singapore’s property scene is getting quite some attention from market watchers and estate dealers.

Here’s a curveball: Morgan Stanley has adjusted its stance on two major developers, switching from a positive to a negative outlook.

But what’s really intriguing is their forecast of a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to factors like empty houses and sales performance.

Just think about it:

This year, we’ve seen the completion of big projects like Normanton Park with 1,862 units, Treasure at Tampines with 2,203 units, and Parc Clematis with 1,468 units. All these massive developments wrapped up in the same year!

Prices for new properties average between $2,100 to $2,300 psf, and agents are having a hard time as HDB owners are hesitant to upgrade. Even if you sell your 5-room flat for $700,000, what type of property can you realistically upgrade to? The average cost of a new launch three-bedroom unit is now topping $2.1 million!

We’re also seeing more Deferred Payment Schemes (DPS) making a comeback. This usually signals that developers are struggling to sell off their remaining units and are trying to make their payment options more tempting.

A whopping 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) for foreign buyers and decreased taxes in competing markets like Hong Kong could lead to a decrease in foreign investment, especially in high-end condos and luxury homes in central region.

In the HDB market, there’s been a surge in completions, with 23,782 finished in 2022 – the highest in half a decade! And even more will be done this year.

Even developers are sensing the shift, becoming more cautious in their bids, despite the last batch of collective sale properties being fully redeveloped since 2017. The recent closing of Pine Grove (Parcel B) with a top bid of $1,223 psf ppr that is lower than the $1,318 UOL had paid for Parcel A is indicative.

The supply crunch seems to be easing up, and the new challenge is the combo of escalating interest rates and the sky-high property prices. Plus, it’s too soon to determine the effect of the April 2023 cooling measures, but we should start seeing results next year.

Hopefully, HDB upgraders will once again be able to afford new condos or at least sizable resale ones.

Fingers crossed, folks upgrading their HDBs might soon be able to snag brand new condos, or at the very least, some spacious pre-loved ones. I’ve noticed that real estate agents are rooting for them, scrambling to find properties to offer up for sale.

(Quick heads up, brace yourselves for an influx of pamphlets and phone calls, claiming your humble home could fund a retirement filled with thrice-weekly servings of bird’s nest soup. So, you know, call them to sell, and all that jazz.)

Either way, we can’t overlook the fact that the Government still has plenty of tricks up its sleeve (all those cool-off rules) – especially if there are hints that property prices might tumble more drastically than we thought.

Remember, snapping up a property when prices are low isn’t worth much if you don’t sell it off at the right moment.

I used to believe that the government could lend a hand by slashing land prices, but wiser souls quickly set me straight.

Why doesn’t the government simply reduce Land Betterment Charges, or let the floor price of Government Land Sales plummet? Wouldn’t that make new properties more affordable?

Sounds reasonable, right? But a chat with a real estate agent and a former executive from a development company quickly dispelled my naïve idea.

Imagine if the government did decide to cut land prices, and a lucky few developers manage to grab the land on the cheap.

The going rate for new properties is roughly $2,100 psf. Now, would these developers lower their prices because they scored cheaper land? Or would they stick to selling at $2,100 psf because that’s what the market dictates?

Considering that developers aren’t running charities and have shareholders to satisfy, they’ll probably opt for the latter. Even if the government did unload land for less, the developers would likely keep their prices steady and pocket the extra profit.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Why Property Investing is the Key to Early Retirement in Singapore

Jayson Ang – April 28, 2024 –

Investing in property is a popular way to build wealth and achieve financial freedom in Singapore. With the right strategies...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Most Iconic Landmarks In Singapore’s Landscape

Jayson Ang – June 14, 2024 –

Singapore's landscapes is renowned for its innovative and dynamic approach to urban development, boasting some of the most iconic landmarks...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Nature Walks in Singapore for Hikers

Jayson Ang – June 20, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its impressive skyline and modern architecture, is also home to a plethora of natural...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips : How to Choose the Right Type of Property to Invest in Singapore – Expert Tips and Analysis!

Jayson Ang – September 24, 2024 –

Investing in property has long been a popular method for growing wealth in Singapore. With million-dollar HDBs being sold and...

All Blog Posts Opinion

How Can Real Estate Investment Help You to Combat Inflation?

Jayson Ang – January 28, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to real estate investments in Singapore amidst rising inflation rates, consider strategies such as capitalizing on...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

6 Secrets Foreign Investors Are Rarely Told About Singapore’s Real Estate Market

Jayson Ang – January 6, 2023 –

TLDR The Singapore property market presents unique characteristics that foreign buyers should consider. From the high rate of homeownership to...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion Reports

What Difference in One Year After the ABSD Hike in April 2023?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2024 –

TLDR The recent hike in ABSD rates, especially the increase from 30% to 60% for foreign buyers, has dramatically affected...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : How To Choose The Right Property Agent To Help With Your Singapore Property Investment

Jayson Ang – June 6, 2024 –

Choosing the right property agent is crucial to the success of your Singapore property investment. A good agent can provide...

All Buying Tips Opinion

4 Key Factors to Consider When Purchasing a Private Property for the First Time

Jayson Ang – August 27, 2023 –

TLDR When considering buying or selling property in Singapore, it's crucial to understand factors like Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty, Loan-To-Value...

All Opinion

The Cost of Housing – Affordability vs Premium?

Jayson Ang – August 11, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the challenges Singapore faces in housing affordability, particularly the rising costs of private homes compared...

All Buying Tips Opinion

7 Essential Considerations to Keep in Mind When Assessing a Floor Plan for a New Condominium Development

Jayson Ang – March 6, 2024 –

TLDR When selecting a property unit, carefully examine the floor plan beyond aesthetics. Consider non-living spaces like ledges and void...

Mandarin Top 5

Beyond Marina Bay Sands: Uncovering Singapore’s 5 Little-Known Secrets

Jayson Ang – July 29, 2023 –

Beyond Marina Bay Sands: Uncovering Singapore's 5 Little-Known Secrets Singapore is a small country with a rich history and culture....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips for First-Time Chinese Buyers Looking to Invest in Singapore Today

Jayson Ang – May 31, 2023 –

Top 5 Tips for First-Time Chinese Buyers Looking to Invest in Singapore Today Here are the top 5 tips for...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Don’t Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – July 14, 2023 –

Don't Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to...

All Buying Tips

How to Avoid Forfeiting Your Security Deposit: A Guide to Your Rental Property

Jayson Ang – July 30, 2023 –

TLDR When bidding farewell to your rented property, ensure the safe return of your security deposit by: Regular Aircon Servicing:...

All Blog Posts Opinion Selling Tips

When Should You Consider Lowering the Price of Your Property That Has Been on the Market for Months?

Jayson Ang – December 3, 2024 –

TLDR Selling a property can be challenging without the right price strategy. Adjust your asking price to attract more buyers...

All Buying Tips

Lessons from the Rollercoaster Ride: Homebuyers Share Their Singapore Housing Market Experiences

Jayson Ang – April 11, 2024 –

TLDR The Singapore housing market is a rollercoaster of unpredictable changes. Three homebuyers share their experiences: Tristan waited too long...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

5 Facilities Selling Points Condo Sellers Should Emphasize To Entice Potential Buyers

Jayson Ang – May 23, 2023 –

TLDR When selling a condo, focusing on highlighting key facilities like gyms, swimming pools, family-friendly amenities, community gardens, and clubhouse...