Your search results

Is the Singapore Property Market Set for a Dip in 2024?

Posted by Jayson Ang on January 26, 2024

| 0

TLDR

The Singapore property market is experiencing shifts with Morgan Stanley adjusting its outlook on major developers. A forecast predicts a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to various factors. Massive developments completed in 2023 have impacted property prices, averaging between $2,100 to $2,300 per square foot. Challenges include HDB owners hesitating to upgrade and the high cost of new properties. The market sees the return of Deferred Payment Schemes and a decline in foreign investment due to taxes. With an increase in HDB completions and developers’ cautious bids, the supply crunch is easing. The impact of escalating interest rates and previous cooling measures remains uncertain. Government interventions aim to stabilize prices, but the market response is unpredictable. Real estate agents are adapting to market changes, emphasizing strategic advice and effective property presentation strategies for buyers and sellers.

Singapore’s property scene is getting quite some attention from market watchers and estate dealers.

Here’s a curveball: Morgan Stanley has adjusted its stance on two major developers, switching from a positive to a negative outlook.

But what’s really intriguing is their forecast of a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to factors like empty houses and sales performance.

Just think about it:

This year, we’ve seen the completion of big projects like Normanton Park with 1,862 units, Treasure at Tampines with 2,203 units, and Parc Clematis with 1,468 units. All these massive developments wrapped up in the same year!

Prices for new properties average between $2,100 to $2,300 psf, and agents are having a hard time as HDB owners are hesitant to upgrade. Even if you sell your 5-room flat for $700,000, what type of property can you realistically upgrade to? The average cost of a new launch three-bedroom unit is now topping $2.1 million!

We’re also seeing more Deferred Payment Schemes (DPS) making a comeback. This usually signals that developers are struggling to sell off their remaining units and are trying to make their payment options more tempting.

A whopping 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) for foreign buyers and decreased taxes in competing markets like Hong Kong could lead to a decrease in foreign investment, especially in high-end condos and luxury homes in central region.

In the HDB market, there’s been a surge in completions, with 23,782 finished in 2022 – the highest in half a decade! And even more will be done this year.

Even developers are sensing the shift, becoming more cautious in their bids, despite the last batch of collective sale properties being fully redeveloped since 2017. The recent closing of Pine Grove (Parcel B) with a top bid of $1,223 psf ppr that is lower than the $1,318 UOL had paid for Parcel A is indicative.

The supply crunch seems to be easing up, and the new challenge is the combo of escalating interest rates and the sky-high property prices. Plus, it’s too soon to determine the effect of the April 2023 cooling measures, but we should start seeing results next year.

Hopefully, HDB upgraders will once again be able to afford new condos or at least sizable resale ones.

Fingers crossed, folks upgrading their HDBs might soon be able to snag brand new condos, or at the very least, some spacious pre-loved ones. I’ve noticed that real estate agents are rooting for them, scrambling to find properties to offer up for sale.

(Quick heads up, brace yourselves for an influx of pamphlets and phone calls, claiming your humble home could fund a retirement filled with thrice-weekly servings of bird’s nest soup. So, you know, call them to sell, and all that jazz.)

Either way, we can’t overlook the fact that the Government still has plenty of tricks up its sleeve (all those cool-off rules) – especially if there are hints that property prices might tumble more drastically than we thought.

Remember, snapping up a property when prices are low isn’t worth much if you don’t sell it off at the right moment.

I used to believe that the government could lend a hand by slashing land prices, but wiser souls quickly set me straight.

Why doesn’t the government simply reduce Land Betterment Charges, or let the floor price of Government Land Sales plummet? Wouldn’t that make new properties more affordable?

Sounds reasonable, right? But a chat with a real estate agent and a former executive from a development company quickly dispelled my naïve idea.

Imagine if the government did decide to cut land prices, and a lucky few developers manage to grab the land on the cheap.

The going rate for new properties is roughly $2,100 psf. Now, would these developers lower their prices because they scored cheaper land? Or would they stick to selling at $2,100 psf because that’s what the market dictates?

Considering that developers aren’t running charities and have shareholders to satisfy, they’ll probably opt for the latter. Even if the government did unload land for less, the developers would likely keep their prices steady and pocket the extra profit.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Blog Posts

Calculating Your Property’s Annual Value in Singapore 2024: A Simple Guide!

Jayson Ang – December 15, 2024 –

TLDR Understanding your property's annual value is crucial for determining property taxes in Singapore. The annual value is based on...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Are Early Bird Discounts At New Launches Genuine Or A Marketing Gimmick?

Jayson Ang – November 20, 2023 –

TLDR When considering investing in new property projects, understanding developers' pricing strategies is crucial. Early bird discounts are not just...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Risk Factors For International Buyers Investing In Singapore Real Estate And How Can They Be Mitigated?

Jayson Ang – December 15, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving global city-state, is known for its business-friendly environment, low tax rates, and high standard of living. The...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Beware! Spot These Warning Signs Before Making a Home Purchase!

Jayson Ang – December 21, 2022 –

TLDR When purchasing a property in Singapore, it is crucial to thoroughly assess various aspects of the home to avoid...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion

Why There’s No Perfect Time to Enter the Market

Jayson Ang – December 18, 2022 –

TLDR When it comes to property transactions, understanding the factors influencing rising prices is crucial. The pandemic has driven up...

All Buying Tips

3 Exciting Residential Sites Coming Soon!

Jayson Ang – June 20, 2024 –

TLDR The Lion City is undergoing rejuvenation with upcoming developments in coveted areas like Clementi and sites near MRT stations....

All Buying Tips

When to Strike Gold: The Ultimate Guide to Selling Your House in Singapore!

Jayson Ang – June 28, 2024 –

TLDR When deciding the best time to sell your property, consider various factors such as market trends, financial goals, and...

All Blog Posts Selling Tips

Thinking of Selling Your Home in 2024? 5 Vital Realities Every Seller Must Face

Jayson Ang – November 27, 2024 –

TLDR From 2022 to 2024, Singapore's housing market underwent significant changes, with a shift from scarcity to a boom in...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Biggest Mistakes I Made When Starting Out In Singapore Property Investing

Jayson Ang – May 16, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore property can be an excellent way to generate passive income and build long-term wealth. However, like any...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – July 10, 2023 –

Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to purchasing property in Singapore,...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : What I Wish I Had Known about Singapore Property Market

Jayson Ang – November 13, 2024 –

Singapore's property market has always been an attractive investment option for both local and foreign investors. With its stable economy,...

All Opinion Selling Tips

7 Essential Steps to Sell Your House in Singapore

Jayson Ang – August 29, 2023 –

TLDR When preparing to sell your house, research the average prices in your area for a realistic figure. Consider factors...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Unlock the Potential of Your Home: 5 Reasons to Start Selling Now

Jayson Ang – June 6, 2023 –

TLDR When considering selling your home, several key indicators can help you determine if it's the right time to make...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Will New Launch Condos See a Drop in Prices Soon?

Jayson Ang – July 12, 2024 –

TLDR The real estate market in Singapore is experiencing a trend of lackluster bids for prime properties in various locations....

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Downsizing From A Spacious 4-Bedroom Condo To A Cozy 2-Bedder: How I Chose A Condo Over A HDB

Jayson Ang – April 28, 2023 –

TLDR Mdm Sim's decision to trade her four-bedroom house for a two-bedroom condo is explored, highlighting the benefits of right-sizing....

All Buying Tips Selling Tips

Could It Be Wise to Sell Your Property After Just 3 to 4 Years?

Jayson Ang – February 5, 2024 –

TLDR In this blog post, the writer delves into the Singapore property market, particularly focusing on the effectiveness of quick...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Things to Know About Singapore’s Public Housing System

Jayson Ang – June 16, 2023 –

5 Things to Know About Singapore's Public Housing System With over 80% of Singaporeans living in public housing, it's important...

All Buying Tips

Why The URA Master Plan Matters For Your Property’s Potential

Jayson Ang – March 24, 2024 –

TLDR The URA Master Plan entails significant shifts like the relocation of Paya Lebar Airport or creation of Punggol Digital...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : What Is Considered “Luxury” In The Singapore Property Market?

Jayson Ang – December 3, 2024 –

The Singapore property market is known for its high-quality residential properties, attracting both local and international buyers. Luxury real estate...