Your search results

Is the Singapore Property Market Set for a Dip in 2024?

Posted by Jayson Ang on January 26, 2024

| 0

TLDR

The Singapore property market is experiencing shifts with Morgan Stanley adjusting its outlook on major developers. A forecast predicts a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to various factors. Massive developments completed in 2023 have impacted property prices, averaging between $2,100 to $2,300 per square foot. Challenges include HDB owners hesitating to upgrade and the high cost of new properties. The market sees the return of Deferred Payment Schemes and a decline in foreign investment due to taxes. With an increase in HDB completions and developers’ cautious bids, the supply crunch is easing. The impact of escalating interest rates and previous cooling measures remains uncertain. Government interventions aim to stabilize prices, but the market response is unpredictable. Real estate agents are adapting to market changes, emphasizing strategic advice and effective property presentation strategies for buyers and sellers.

Singapore’s property scene is getting quite some attention from market watchers and estate dealers.

Here’s a curveball: Morgan Stanley has adjusted its stance on two major developers, switching from a positive to a negative outlook.

But what’s really intriguing is their forecast of a 3% drop in housing prices in 2024 due to factors like empty houses and sales performance.

Just think about it:

This year, we’ve seen the completion of big projects like Normanton Park with 1,862 units, Treasure at Tampines with 2,203 units, and Parc Clematis with 1,468 units. All these massive developments wrapped up in the same year!

Prices for new properties average between $2,100 to $2,300 psf, and agents are having a hard time as HDB owners are hesitant to upgrade. Even if you sell your 5-room flat for $700,000, what type of property can you realistically upgrade to? The average cost of a new launch three-bedroom unit is now topping $2.1 million!

We’re also seeing more Deferred Payment Schemes (DPS) making a comeback. This usually signals that developers are struggling to sell off their remaining units and are trying to make their payment options more tempting.

A whopping 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) for foreign buyers and decreased taxes in competing markets like Hong Kong could lead to a decrease in foreign investment, especially in high-end condos and luxury homes in central region.

In the HDB market, there’s been a surge in completions, with 23,782 finished in 2022 – the highest in half a decade! And even more will be done this year.

Even developers are sensing the shift, becoming more cautious in their bids, despite the last batch of collective sale properties being fully redeveloped since 2017. The recent closing of Pine Grove (Parcel B) with a top bid of $1,223 psf ppr that is lower than the $1,318 UOL had paid for Parcel A is indicative.

The supply crunch seems to be easing up, and the new challenge is the combo of escalating interest rates and the sky-high property prices. Plus, it’s too soon to determine the effect of the April 2023 cooling measures, but we should start seeing results next year.

Hopefully, HDB upgraders will once again be able to afford new condos or at least sizable resale ones.

Fingers crossed, folks upgrading their HDBs might soon be able to snag brand new condos, or at the very least, some spacious pre-loved ones. I’ve noticed that real estate agents are rooting for them, scrambling to find properties to offer up for sale.

(Quick heads up, brace yourselves for an influx of pamphlets and phone calls, claiming your humble home could fund a retirement filled with thrice-weekly servings of bird’s nest soup. So, you know, call them to sell, and all that jazz.)

Either way, we can’t overlook the fact that the Government still has plenty of tricks up its sleeve (all those cool-off rules) – especially if there are hints that property prices might tumble more drastically than we thought.

Remember, snapping up a property when prices are low isn’t worth much if you don’t sell it off at the right moment.

I used to believe that the government could lend a hand by slashing land prices, but wiser souls quickly set me straight.

Why doesn’t the government simply reduce Land Betterment Charges, or let the floor price of Government Land Sales plummet? Wouldn’t that make new properties more affordable?

Sounds reasonable, right? But a chat with a real estate agent and a former executive from a development company quickly dispelled my naïve idea.

Imagine if the government did decide to cut land prices, and a lucky few developers manage to grab the land on the cheap.

The going rate for new properties is roughly $2,100 psf. Now, would these developers lower their prices because they scored cheaper land? Or would they stick to selling at $2,100 psf because that’s what the market dictates?

Considering that developers aren’t running charities and have shareholders to satisfy, they’ll probably opt for the latter. Even if the government did unload land for less, the developers would likely keep their prices steady and pocket the extra profit.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons Why Condos Are The Best Real Estate Investment in Singapore

Jayson Ang – March 25, 2024 –

Investing in a condo in Singapore is a popular choice for both locals and foreigners. Condominiums offer a range of...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Golden Tips to Spot a Good Investment Property

Jayson Ang – March 9, 2025 –

Investing in real estate can be a lucrative venture, but it's essential to know how to spot a good investment...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

The 5 Most Common Mistakes First-Time Buyers Make (And How to Avoid Them)

Jayson Ang – June 12, 2023 –

The 5 Most Common Mistakes First-Time Buyers Make (And How to Avoid Them) Here are the 5 most common mistakes...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Avoid These 6 Terrible Property “Tips” in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 1, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to property advice, it's crucial to be cautious of common misconceptions. For instance, schemes like the...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Sentosa’s Sizzling Property Market: 5 Reasons Chinese Investors are Flocking to Singapore’s Premier Island

Jayson Ang – June 20, 2023 –

Sentosa's Sizzling Property Market: 5 Reasons Chinese Investors are Flocking to Singapore's Premier Island Here are the top 5 reasons...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Singapore Living: 5 Must-Know Factors for Choosing the Perfect Neighborhood

Jayson Ang – June 30, 2023 –

Singapore Living: 5 Must-Know Factors for Choosing the Perfect Neighborhood When it comes to purchasing a property in Singapore, the...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : Why Not All Properties Appreciate Steadily

Jayson Ang – January 20, 2025 –

Real estate has long been considered a lucrative investment option, with the potential for significant returns. However, not all properties...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

3 Winning Strategies for Skyrocketing Your Property Market Profits (Including Real-Life Success Stories)

Jayson Ang – August 21, 2024 –

TLDR In the dynamic property market of Singapore, maximizing profit is key for sellers and investors. Three essential strategies stand...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Best Karting Circuits in Singapore

Jayson Ang – December 21, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its modern architecture, cleanliness, and vibrant culture, is also home to a thriving karting...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Learning Hard Truths in Property Investment: Timing the Market Can Hurt

Jayson Ang – August 29, 2024 –

TLDR The blog post delves into the complexities of market timing in property investment, highlighting the risks and challenges associated...

All Blog Posts Opinion Selling Tips

When Should You Consider Lowering the Price of Your Property That Has Been on the Market for Months?

Jayson Ang – December 3, 2024 –

TLDR Selling a property can be challenging without the right price strategy. Adjust your asking price to attract more buyers...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Exploring the Resale Condo Market? Here’s What to Watch Out For!

Jayson Ang – March 22, 2023 –

TLDR The impact of COVID-19 on Singapore's real estate market has been significant, leading to a surge in demand for...

Mandarin Top 5

The Top 5 Factors to Consider When Investing in Industrial Property in Singapore – Expert Insights!

Jayson Ang – September 18, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving hub of business and commerce in Southeast Asia, offers a robust real estate market with various investment...

All Opinion

Why Can’t Everyone Have Homes In Good Locations?

Jayson Ang – March 9, 2024 –

TLDR In a nutshell, the Singapore property market is undergoing significant changes, with the introduction of a new housing classification...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Discover Affordable Executive Condos in 2024 Starting at $560,000

Jayson Ang – October 23, 2024 –

TLDR The Executive Condos (ECs) offer affordable options compared to private properties in Singapore. Despite price variations, most ECs remain...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Singapore’s Best Property Investments for 2023: Where to Find Growth and Income

Jayson Ang – March 20, 2024 –

The Singapore property market has long been a sought-after investment destination, with its stable economy and growing population making it...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : Riding the Wave: How to Profit from the Upcoming Boom in Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – August 5, 2024 –

Singapore's property market has always been a hot topic among investors and homebuyers alike. With million-dollar HDBs being sold and...

All Opinion

“I Kept My Condo Empty for 7 Years” – Here’s What Singaporeans Living Overseas Do With Their Properties Back Home

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2025 –

TLDR In today's global workforce, many Singaporeans find themselves working abroad, raising questions about the management of their local properties....