Tips for Young Adults to Begin Saving for Their Future Home
TLDR When aiming to purchase a home, it is crucial to gain knowledge about the buying process and track your...
Read More
TLDR
Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows each market peak rebounds higher, making “wait-and-see” strategies risky. Different measures affect segments unevenly—foreign buyer taxes hit luxury condos, while HDB loan curbs barely touch private markets. Developers face tight margins and limited room to cut prices, meaning new launches often rise despite interventions. Some measures even raise costs permanently, like ABSD. Ultimately, timing the market is perilous; buyers should focus on personal financial readiness, stability, and finding a property that meets their needs rather than waiting for government policies to lower prices.
Property cooling measures often elicit two distinct reactions: some buyers rush to secure a property, fearing increased unaffordability due to loan curbs or higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD). Others adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, hoping these measures will depress prices. This analysis addresses the latter group, explaining why lower prices are not always the outcome.
The Flawed Premise of “Wait-and-See”
Cooling measures are inherently designed to exert downward pressure on home prices. Thus, the intuitive response to wait for the market to cool before buying appears logical. However, real-world dynamics are far more complex. While some point to cases like Urban Vista, where buyers in 2013 (a property peak coinciding with the implementation of cooling measures) saw prices decline, this scenario isn’t universally applicable.
Risks of a “Wait-and-See” Strategy:
- Prices Can Rebound Higher Than Before: Historical data shows that each property peak in Singapore (e.g., 1996, 2007, 2013) tends to surpass the previous one. A “wait-and-see” strategy becomes a perilous attempt to time the market. Even if prices dip post-cooling measure, identifying the market bottom is notoriously difficult. Buying after a dip, only to see prices fall further (as with Urban Vista from October 2013 to June 2014), can be painful. Conversely, missing the brief window of a downturn can lead to paying even more as the market rapidly ascends to its next peak. The HDB resale market’s trajectory post-Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) in 2013 illustrates this; prices plummeted but then soared past 2013 levels within approximately three years after the pandemic. Attempting to time the market’s bottom is a high-risk proposition.
- Varied Effects of Different Cooling Measures: Waiting for unspecified cooling measures is risky because their nature and impact are unpredictable. For instance, the April 2023 cooling measures imposed a substantial 60% ABSD on foreigners. However, this had minimal effect on mass-market condos in areas like Bedok or Jurong East, primarily targeting luxury properties. Similarly, the August 2024 measure, which reduced maximum HDB loan amounts, did not impact condo prices or private bank loan users. A typical Singaporean buyer looking for a mass-market condo would likely regret waiting for these specific measures, as average new launch prices rose from $2,185 psf in January 2023 to $2,475 psf in January 2025, demonstrating that recent cooling measures did not translate into lower prices for the average buyer. Even if a cooling measure exerts downward pressure, it might only slow price increases rather than cause an outright decline, especially in the resale market where financially stable sellers are less pressured to sell.
- Limited Downward Flexibility for Developers: Developers have faced increasing pressures in recent years, leading to lukewarm interest in replenishing land banks, even after the last en-bloc craze ended in 2017. Their margins are already thin, and new regulations like GFA harmonization (which prevent charging for non-usable spaces like air-con ledges) further squeeze profitability. Regardless of cooling measures, developers may have very little room to lower prices further, given current land costs.
- Cooling Measures Can Increase Your Costs: Some cooling measures, particularly those involving new taxes (like a hypothetical tax on properties above $1 million), would directly increase buyer costs. Since ABSD rates have historically never decreased, such taxes could become permanent. Even non-tax measures, such as tighter loan curbs, could hinder your ability to afford your desired property, leading to regret if you waited.
Prioritizing Personal Readiness Over Market Timing:
It is generally advisable not to attempt to time the market based on cooling measures. The decision to buy should primarily hinge on your personal financial situation: your readiness to make the initial payment, your ability to manage mortgage repayments, and your job security. If your income is unstable or mortgage payments would be a struggle, it is not an opportune time to buy, irrespective of cooling measures.
These financial considerations should be the primary determinants of when you buy. Additionally, for homeownership, factors like location, layout, amenities, and personal connection to an area are often irreplaceable. In the resale market, each unit possesses distinct characteristics. If you find a property that perfectly meets your needs, risking its loss by waiting for potential market changes or government policies in your favor is not recommended.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
The Sneaky Role of Property Appraisals in Shaping Singapore’s Home Prices
TLDR When it comes to the real estate market in Singapore, understanding property valuations and the impact on mortgage loans...
Read More
Beyond Buying: Innovative Strategies for Property Investment Success
TLDR The world of property investment and real estate trends offers vast opportunities. Stay informed with effective property investment strategies...
Read More
Essential Steps for Safely Purchasing Your First Home in Singapore
TLDR When considering buying your first property in Singapore, start by assessing your budget and qualifying for a permissible loan....
Read More
Top 5 : Questions Should Investors Be Asking Before Investing In Singapore’s High-End Rental Market
Singapore's high-end rental market has been a hot topic of discussion among investors worldwide. With the city-state's robust economy, excellent...
Read More
Ouch! Our $1.8 Million Condo Investment Blunder: Unpacking 5 Crucial Takeaways from Our Bad Experience
TLDR The blog post delves into the complexities of real estate investments using Bob's experiences as examples. It highlights the...
Read More
Could It Be Wise to Sell Your Property After Just 3 to 4 Years?
TLDR In this blog post, the writer delves into the Singapore property market, particularly focusing on the effectiveness of quick...
Read More
Selling Your Singapore Condo? Don’t Overlook This Critical Factor
TLDR When selling a condo in Singapore, the number of units listed in the same development plays a crucial role....
Read More
Rise In Private Home Ownership Among Those Under 35
TLDR Youth homeownership in Singapore’s private housing sector is rising, with residents under 35 living in private properties hitting 380,459...
Read More
Can You Still Make Money from Older Freehold Condos in Singapore
TLDR While freehold condos might seem like a solid investment, the rise of new developments and aging buildings cast doubt...
Read More
Top 5 Bookstores in Singapore for Book Lovers
Singapore, a bustling cosmopolitan city, is known for its rich cultural heritage, diverse population, and of course, its love for...
Read More
Understanding Government Land Sales (GLS) and Their Influence on Singapore’s Property Market
TLDR Singapore’s Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme is a key tool used by the government to manage land supply and...
Read More
5 Critical Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Singapore Property: Insights and Advice from Experts
Investing in Singapore property can be a lucrative venture for investors, but it's important to avoid common mistakes that can...
Read More
What Difference in One Year After the ABSD Hike in April 2023?
TLDR The recent hike in ABSD rates, especially the increase from 30% to 60% for foreign buyers, has dramatically affected...
Read More
5 Techniques for Identifying Undervalued Properties in Singapore 2023
TLDR To spot undervalued properties in Singapore's real estate market, focus on market value, location, and unique features. Consider "up...
Read More
What Impact Will Decreasing US Interest Rates Have on Homeowners in Singapore?
TLDR The Fed’s recent 0.5% rate cut is likely to lower Singapore’s SORA-based home loan rates, benefiting those with bank...
Read More
6 Myths About Using Your CPF For Housing
TLDR When it comes to purchasing a house in Singapore using CPF funds, there are several myths that need to...
Read More
CPF Accrued Interest On Housing: Learn What It Is and How to Calculate It
TLDR Understanding the CPF accrued interest on housing loans is crucial for Singaporean homeowners. When using CPF funds to finance...
Read More
Top 5 : Places to Find Unique Singaporean Souvenirs
Singapore, a vibrant city-state known for its multicultural heritage and modern marvels, is a treasure trove of unique souvenirs that...
Read More
How to Build a Property Empire in Singapore: Scaling Your Investments
Real estate investing is a popular way to build wealth and generate passive income. However, like any investment, it comes...
Read More
