Your search results

The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 29, 2026

| 0

TLDR

Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows each market peak rebounds higher, making “wait-and-see” strategies risky. Different measures affect segments unevenly—foreign buyer taxes hit luxury condos, while HDB loan curbs barely touch private markets. Developers face tight margins and limited room to cut prices, meaning new launches often rise despite interventions. Some measures even raise costs permanently, like ABSD. Ultimately, timing the market is perilous; buyers should focus on personal financial readiness, stability, and finding a property that meets their needs rather than waiting for government policies to lower prices.

Property cooling measures often elicit two distinct reactions: some buyers rush to secure a property, fearing increased unaffordability due to loan curbs or higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD). Others adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, hoping these measures will depress prices. This analysis addresses the latter group, explaining why lower prices are not always the outcome.

The Flawed Premise of “Wait-and-See”

Cooling measures are inherently designed to exert downward pressure on home prices. Thus, the intuitive response to wait for the market to cool before buying appears logical. However, real-world dynamics are far more complex. While some point to cases like Urban Vista, where buyers in 2013 (a property peak coinciding with the implementation of cooling measures) saw prices decline, this scenario isn’t universally applicable.

Risks of a “Wait-and-See” Strategy:

Prices Can Rebound Higher Than Before: Historical data shows that each property peak in Singapore (e.g., 1996, 2007, 2013) tends to surpass the previous one. A “wait-and-see” strategy becomes a perilous attempt to time the market. Even if prices dip post-cooling measure, identifying the market bottom is notoriously difficult. Buying after a dip, only to see prices fall further (as with Urban Vista from October 2013 to June 2014), can be painful. Conversely, missing the brief window of a downturn can lead to paying even more as the market rapidly ascends to its next peak. The HDB resale market’s trajectory post-Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) in 2013 illustrates this; prices plummeted but then soared past 2013 levels within approximately three years after the pandemic. Attempting to time the market’s bottom is a high-risk proposition.
Varied Effects of Different Cooling Measures: Waiting for unspecified cooling measures is risky because their nature and impact are unpredictable. For instance, the April 2023 cooling measures imposed a substantial 60% ABSD on foreigners. However, this had minimal effect on mass-market condos in areas like Bedok or Jurong East, primarily targeting luxury properties. Similarly, the August 2024 measure, which reduced maximum HDB loan amounts, did not impact condo prices or private bank loan users. A typical Singaporean buyer looking for a mass-market condo would likely regret waiting for these specific measures, as average new launch prices rose from $2,185 psf in January 2023 to $2,475 psf in January 2025, demonstrating that recent cooling measures did not translate into lower prices for the average buyer. Even if a cooling measure exerts downward pressure, it might only slow price increases rather than cause an outright decline, especially in the resale market where financially stable sellers are less pressured to sell.
Limited Downward Flexibility for Developers: Developers have faced increasing pressures in recent years, leading to lukewarm interest in replenishing land banks, even after the last en-bloc craze ended in 2017. Their margins are already thin, and new regulations like GFA harmonization (which prevent charging for non-usable spaces like air-con ledges) further squeeze profitability. Regardless of cooling measures, developers may have very little room to lower prices further, given current land costs.
Cooling Measures Can Increase Your Costs: Some cooling measures, particularly those involving new taxes (like a hypothetical tax on properties above $1 million), would directly increase buyer costs. Since ABSD rates have historically never decreased, such taxes could become permanent. Even non-tax measures, such as tighter loan curbs, could hinder your ability to afford your desired property, leading to regret if you waited.

Prioritizing Personal Readiness Over Market Timing:

It is generally advisable not to attempt to time the market based on cooling measures. The decision to buy should primarily hinge on your personal financial situation: your readiness to make the initial payment, your ability to manage mortgage repayments, and your job security. If your income is unstable or mortgage payments would be a struggle, it is not an opportune time to buy, irrespective of cooling measures.

These financial considerations should be the primary determinants of when you buy. Additionally, for homeownership, factors like location, layout, amenities, and personal connection to an area are often irreplaceable. In the resale market, each unit possesses distinct characteristics. If you find a property that perfectly meets your needs, risking its loss by waiting for potential market changes or government policies in your favor is not recommended.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : Why Ultra-Rich Families Racing To Park Wealth In Singapore

Jayson Ang – October 9, 2024 –

Singapore, a small island nation in Southeast Asia, has become a magnet for the world's ultra-rich families seeking to park...

All Blog Posts Opinion Selling Tips

6 Reasons to Think Twice Before Hiring a Friend or Family Member as Your Agent

Jayson Ang – October 31, 2024 –

TLDR In Singapore, hiring a friend or family member as your property agent can be risky. Disclosing sensitive financial details...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Cocktail Bars in Singapore for a Night Out

Jayson Ang – March 8, 2024 –

Singapore, the vibrant city-state known for its impressive skyline and diverse culture, is also home to an exceptional cocktail scene....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Scenic Drives in Singapore

Jayson Ang – June 4, 2024 –

Singapore, a small yet bustling city-state, is well-known for its impressive skyline, diverse culture, and delicious food. However, not many...

All Buying Tips Opinion

New Condo Sales Surge: Decoding Singaporeans’ Enthusiasm Despite “High” Prices

Jayson Ang – January 14, 2026 –

TLDR Recent strong condo sales in Singapore, including Emerald of Katong’s 99% take-up during launch, challenge perceptions of unaffordability. Key...

Mandarin Top 5

How To Avoid Top 5 Common Investment Pitfalls When Investing In Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – July 24, 2024 –

When investing in Singapore's property market, it is crucial to be aware of the common pitfalls that can lead to...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

What’s The Difference Between An Offer To Purchase And An Option To Purchase?

Jayson Ang – May 29, 2023 –

TLDR Understanding the crucial difference between an Offer to Purchase and an Option to Purchase (OTP) is vital when buying...

All Buying Tips

Essential Steps for Safely Purchasing Your First Home in Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 20, 2024 –

TLDR When considering buying your first property in Singapore, start by assessing your budget and qualifying for a permissible loan....

All Opinion Selling Tips

Great Reasons for Condo Owners to Sell upon Reaching TOP – A Guide to Sub-Sale Transactions

Jayson Ang – August 17, 2023 –

TLDR A recent sub-sale transaction in Midtown Modern set a new record with a 2-bedroom home selling at $3,150 psf....

All Opinion Selling Tips

When will En-Bloc set to Become Reality Beyond 2023?

Jayson Ang – November 24, 2023 –

TLDR The real estate market is experiencing a lull in en-bloc activities due to various factors. Higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Downsizing From A Spacious 4-Bedroom Condo To A Cozy 2-Bedder: How I Chose A Condo Over A HDB

Jayson Ang – April 28, 2023 –

TLDR Mdm Sim's decision to trade her four-bedroom house for a two-bedroom condo is explored, highlighting the benefits of right-sizing....

All Blog Posts Opinion

What Has Been The Most Significant Development In The Real Estate Market In 2022

Jayson Ang – December 24, 2022 –

TLDR In 2022, the real estate market saw significant interest rate hikes affecting home loan rates. Despite concerns, the market...

All Buying Tips Opinion

5 Frequently Heard Sales Pitches from Agents Encouraging You to Choose a New Development Instead of a Resale Condo: How Accurate Are They?

Jayson Ang – November 21, 2025 –

TLDR While some agents may discourage resale condos due to personal incentives, the difference in profits between resale and new...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Explore the Benefits and Drawbacks of Holding an Open House!

Jayson Ang – June 3, 2023 –

TLDR An open house is a valuable opportunity for sellers to showcase their home to potential buyers without pressure. It...

All Buying Tips Opinion

A Potential Game-Changer: Singapore’s Proposed Minimum Transaction Rule for Property Agents in 2025

Jayson Ang – July 20, 2026 –

TLDR In Singapore’s real estate market, experience alone no longer guarantees an agent’s competence. Many agents maintain licenses without significant...