Your search results

The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 29, 2026

| 0

TLDR

Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows each market peak rebounds higher, making “wait-and-see” strategies risky. Different measures affect segments unevenly—foreign buyer taxes hit luxury condos, while HDB loan curbs barely touch private markets. Developers face tight margins and limited room to cut prices, meaning new launches often rise despite interventions. Some measures even raise costs permanently, like ABSD. Ultimately, timing the market is perilous; buyers should focus on personal financial readiness, stability, and finding a property that meets their needs rather than waiting for government policies to lower prices.

Property cooling measures often elicit two distinct reactions: some buyers rush to secure a property, fearing increased unaffordability due to loan curbs or higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD). Others adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, hoping these measures will depress prices. This analysis addresses the latter group, explaining why lower prices are not always the outcome.

The Flawed Premise of “Wait-and-See”

Cooling measures are inherently designed to exert downward pressure on home prices. Thus, the intuitive response to wait for the market to cool before buying appears logical. However, real-world dynamics are far more complex. While some point to cases like Urban Vista, where buyers in 2013 (a property peak coinciding with the implementation of cooling measures) saw prices decline, this scenario isn’t universally applicable.

Risks of a “Wait-and-See” Strategy:

Prices Can Rebound Higher Than Before: Historical data shows that each property peak in Singapore (e.g., 1996, 2007, 2013) tends to surpass the previous one. A “wait-and-see” strategy becomes a perilous attempt to time the market. Even if prices dip post-cooling measure, identifying the market bottom is notoriously difficult. Buying after a dip, only to see prices fall further (as with Urban Vista from October 2013 to June 2014), can be painful. Conversely, missing the brief window of a downturn can lead to paying even more as the market rapidly ascends to its next peak. The HDB resale market’s trajectory post-Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) in 2013 illustrates this; prices plummeted but then soared past 2013 levels within approximately three years after the pandemic. Attempting to time the market’s bottom is a high-risk proposition.
Varied Effects of Different Cooling Measures: Waiting for unspecified cooling measures is risky because their nature and impact are unpredictable. For instance, the April 2023 cooling measures imposed a substantial 60% ABSD on foreigners. However, this had minimal effect on mass-market condos in areas like Bedok or Jurong East, primarily targeting luxury properties. Similarly, the August 2024 measure, which reduced maximum HDB loan amounts, did not impact condo prices or private bank loan users. A typical Singaporean buyer looking for a mass-market condo would likely regret waiting for these specific measures, as average new launch prices rose from $2,185 psf in January 2023 to $2,475 psf in January 2025, demonstrating that recent cooling measures did not translate into lower prices for the average buyer. Even if a cooling measure exerts downward pressure, it might only slow price increases rather than cause an outright decline, especially in the resale market where financially stable sellers are less pressured to sell.
Limited Downward Flexibility for Developers: Developers have faced increasing pressures in recent years, leading to lukewarm interest in replenishing land banks, even after the last en-bloc craze ended in 2017. Their margins are already thin, and new regulations like GFA harmonization (which prevent charging for non-usable spaces like air-con ledges) further squeeze profitability. Regardless of cooling measures, developers may have very little room to lower prices further, given current land costs.
Cooling Measures Can Increase Your Costs: Some cooling measures, particularly those involving new taxes (like a hypothetical tax on properties above $1 million), would directly increase buyer costs. Since ABSD rates have historically never decreased, such taxes could become permanent. Even non-tax measures, such as tighter loan curbs, could hinder your ability to afford your desired property, leading to regret if you waited.

Prioritizing Personal Readiness Over Market Timing:

It is generally advisable not to attempt to time the market based on cooling measures. The decision to buy should primarily hinge on your personal financial situation: your readiness to make the initial payment, your ability to manage mortgage repayments, and your job security. If your income is unstable or mortgage payments would be a struggle, it is not an opportune time to buy, irrespective of cooling measures.

These financial considerations should be the primary determinants of when you buy. Additionally, for homeownership, factors like location, layout, amenities, and personal connection to an area are often irreplaceable. In the resale market, each unit possesses distinct characteristics. If you find a property that perfectly meets your needs, risking its loss by waiting for potential market changes or government policies in your favor is not recommended.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Key Reasons to Invest in Industrial Property in Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 15, 2025 –

Singapore, a small yet densely populated country, has emerged as a significant player in the global industrial property market. Its...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

What to Do Before Exercising Option to Purchase?

Jayson Ang – July 19, 2023 –

TLDR Home buyers are advised to thoroughly research property values using online tools, secure an ideal home loan package early...

All Opinion

“I Kept My Condo Empty for 7 Years” – Here’s What Singaporeans Living Overseas Do With Their Properties Back Home

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2025 –

TLDR In today's global workforce, many Singaporeans find themselves working abroad, raising questions about the management of their local properties....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Nature Walks in Singapore for Hikers

Jayson Ang – June 20, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its impressive skyline and modern architecture, is also home to a plethora of natural...

All Buying Tips Opinion

What Is The Best Location To Purchase A House To Ensure Your Child Has The Highest Probability Of Attending A Well-Renowned Primary School?

Jayson Ang – October 25, 2023 –

TLDR Parents often seek homes within 1km of desired primary schools to increase enrollment chances. Consider oversubscription rates and population...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : Location More Important Than Freehold Status?

Jayson Ang – March 3, 2025 –

When it comes to purchasing a property, there are numerous factors that potential buyers need to consider. While the debate...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Long-Term Economic Impacts Of Foreign Real Estate Investment In Singapore’s Luxury Condo Market?

Jayson Ang – December 19, 2024 –

Singapore has long been a preferred destination for foreign real estate investors, particularly in the luxury condo market. The city-state's...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Factors Affecting A Property’s Resale Value

Jayson Ang – September 4, 2024 –

The real estate market is a complex and ever-changing landscape, with various factors influencing the value of a property. When...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Are You Ready to Take on the Singapore Property Market in 2023? 12 Reasons to Be Hopeful (Or Wary)!

Jayson Ang – December 21, 2022 –

2022 sure was a rollercoaster ride for the property market, and the world! From war in Europe to skyrocketing interest...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

5 Facilities Selling Points Condo Sellers Should Emphasize To Entice Potential Buyers

Jayson Ang – May 23, 2023 –

TLDR When selling a condo, focusing on highlighting key facilities like gyms, swimming pools, family-friendly amenities, community gardens, and clubhouse...