Fraud Blocker
Your search results

With a population of 6.04 million in Singapore, who are the winners and losers in the property market?

Posted by Jayson Ang on February 9, 2025
| 0

There has been significant outcry regarding Singapore’s population hitting a record high of 6.04 million, largely due to an increase in non-residents (which rose by approximately five per cent from the prior year). This issue is particularly sensitive for many Singaporeans, who already perceive our small island as overcrowded and believe there is excessive competition for resources, especially housing. Additionally, there is a belief that property owners and landlords might benefit from this situation, but the reality is not so straightforward:

To begin with the obvious: Singapore certainly seems much more congested.

20240924 population 2024 increase in citizen pr and nr

You might have come across the commentary suggesting that we can reduce density through specific architectural features. I disagree, and I believe the typical Singaporean will definitely feel the pressure.

The referenced commentary discusses Pinnacle @ Duxton, which accommodates around 8,000 residents on 2.5 hectares. That is indeed an impressive feat, and I concur that projects like Pinnacle manage to avoid a sense of overcrowding. However, how many of us can actually reside in a development like Pinnacle? If you can afford the approximately $900,000 to $1 million price tag and have access to some of the finest sky gardens or terraces, you might not feel cramped – but that’s not the case for everyone. In any event, I would argue that it isn’t primarily the sky gardens or terraces that alleviate demand. The location and the limited supply in the vicinity are the key drivers behind its appeal, even without those enhancements.

Similarly, the commentary mentions the development of the Bayshore area, which is somewhat ironic. As someone residing there, I would assert that it serves as the opposite example of crowd mitigation: the allure of living at Bayshore was precisely its solitude and tranquillity. While I don’t oppose the construction of a new HDB estate there (as I recognise its necessity), it illustrates how the need for additional housing is making each neighbourhood progressively denser. One reason low-density neighbourhoods are so costly is indeed their scarcity.

Then there’s the concept of integrated developments or mixed-use projects. Although this may be an excellent idea for urban planning, such developments contribute to congestion and noise. I’ve also encountered numerous homeowners who consider living above a mall – especially one linked to a busy MRT or bus station – to be their worst nightmare.

Moreover, integrated developments are typically pricier. Woodleigh Residences, Lentor Modern, The Reserve Residences, etc., are not among the more affordable options in their respective locations; thus, this approach makes certain financial assumptions.

Furthermore, perhaps some discontent stems from the way land types are utilised in Singapore. There is no denying that GCB (Good Class Bungalow) zones occupy extensive areas, often in prime locations where land is already scarce. While these GCB areas are prestigious and highly desired, they arguably represent one of the least efficient uses of land. Given Singapore’s limited land resources, dedicating such large spaces to a relatively small number of affluent homeowners raises questions about equitable space distribution, especially in light of ongoing housing shortages for middle and lower-income groups.

So let’s be honest with ourselves. Urban planners and architects are not miracle workers, and the average Singaporean (i.e., those who cannot afford luxurious sky gardens or landed properties) will certainly feel the strain. Coffee shops will run out of seating, trains and buses will require close proximity to others, and a constant low-level hum of crowds will be pervasive in certain areas.

I’m not suggesting that we might not have a choice or that we don’t need this population increase; that’s beyond my expertise. However, I do believe we should be candid and recognise that we will pay for this in terms of roominess and comfort. Those who cannot afford low-density areas or more spacious (read: costly) developments will suffer the most.

It may not be fair, but that is the reality we face.

Those who miss out the most are those who cannot afford to purchase their own apartments.

Pure Permanent Resident (PR) families are ineligible to purchase BTO flats and must wait three years before they can buy a resale flat. During this waiting period, they find themselves competing with foreigners in the rental market, unless they have sufficient wealth to consider a condominium.

Lifelong singles, especially those who cannot remain at home due to various circumstances (including some from troubled backgrounds), will face high rental prices for both HDB and private properties; this will be the case until they reach the age of 35. It’s a long wait, and a significant portion of their income will go towards rent.

Lastly, we should not overlook the foreigners in this situation. While some may unfairly hold them responsible for the issues at hand, it’s important to recognise that a 60 per cent Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) means only the wealthiest can afford to purchase property. In the meantime, they too will experience pressure from rising rents. Except for corporate employees with generous housing allowances, they are unlikely to fare any better than Singaporeans who cannot buy HDB flats. Eventually, the government may need to step in to support essential sectors that rely on foreign workers, such as nursing in hospitals.

So, landlords and investors come out on top, correct? Not necessarily

This is a straightforward assumption, but it won’t hold true universally. Although landlords and investors might notice quick gains from a surge in population, there are certain challenges that could take them by surprise.

The surge in population is driving decentralisation, which may affect the value of expensive CCR/RCR properties

Recent incidents involving the transport infrastructure highlight that it is not feasible for everyone to be commuting to and from the same location in the city—essentially the whole country—simultaneously each day. This is not a new revelation, as the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has been working on decentralisation for many years, resulting in the establishment of various hubs such as Jurong East, Paya Lebar, and the Woodlands North Corridor.

With the growing population, the urgency for decentralisation increases significantly. We are likely to witness the emergence of additional “hub” areas that draw workers away from the conventional Central Business District (CBD).

Although a rising population may bolster rental demand, there is no assurance that this demand will adhere to current trends. This is worth considering before making any commitments to Central Core Region (CCR) or Rest of Central Region (RCR) assets.

Land reclamation and rezoning can influence property values

Let’s revisit Bayshore, as I recently used it as an example. When purchasers of Bayshore Park, The Bayshore, and Costa Del Sol bought their properties, it seemed unimaginable that their views would be significantly blocked, given their proximity to the beach. This was before the Long Island project emerged, which could potentially introduce some flats in the distance decades from now.

To clarify, Long Island primarily focuses on erosion prevention rather than simply increasing housing; however, it seems improbable that the desire for more living space isn’t a contributing factor. Historically, property owners lost their sea views due to the land reclamation for Marine Parade for similar reasons.

Additionally, there is the concern of rezoning. While your condominium may currently be situated in a low-density area, you cannot assume that will remain unchanged with a growing population. The emergence of a mega-project nearby could lead to a permanent decrease in rental rates and limit resale profits; thus, not all investors might welcome the anticipated population growth in the future.

Ultimately, those looking to upgrade could find themselves priced out more quickly than they anticipate.

A growing population may lead to higher rental and property prices; however, it is risky to assume that you will benefit from this trend. The disparity in prices between HDB flats and condos could increase, even as overall prices rise. Furthermore, with the growth of urban density, the value of landed properties is likely to surge even more, making it challenging for condo owners to transition to landed homes.

Therefore, the expanding population may not be equally advantageous for all investors and landlords. While some may experience immediate gains, they should be cautious not to become overly optimistic in their forecasts.

In the end, a rising population seems unavoidable and could provide some support for the anticipated increase in vacant HDB flats as the elderly pass away (as discussed here). Although regulations might mitigate this issue, a growing population can help alleviate its impact.

For ongoing updates on this evolving situation and news about the Singapore property market, follow me here. If you wish to arrange a more detailed consultation, you can reach out here.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

  1. Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
  2. Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

 

You May Also Like …


Using CPF Funds to Finance Your HDB Flat or Private Property in Singapore: A Comprehensive Guide
All Buying Tips

Using CPF Funds to Finance Your HDB Flat or Private Property in Singapore: A Comprehensive Guide

Discover the extent to which your CPF savings can be utilized for the acquisition of a HDB home in Singapore,...
Read More
When Should You Consider Investing in Singapore Property, and When Should You Avoid It?
All Buying Tips Selling Tips

When Should You Consider Investing in Singapore Property, and When Should You Avoid It?

TLDR Investing in real estate is a complex decision influenced by personal goals, investment horizon, rental plans, and financial liquidity....
Read More
Why Can’t Everyone Have Homes In Good Locations?
All Opinion

Why Can’t Everyone Have Homes In Good Locations?

TLDR In a nutshell, the Singapore property market is undergoing significant changes, with the introduction of a new housing classification...
Read More
Should Foreign Buyers Be Deterred By the 30% ABSD?
All Buying Tips

Should Foreign Buyers Be Deterred By the 30% ABSD?

TLDR Foreign buyers interested in private residential properties in Singapore is a common sight due to the country's positive reputation...
Read More
Top 5 Rules for Investing in Singapore’s Property Market – Expert Insights!
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Rules for Investing in Singapore’s Property Market – Expert Insights!

Investing in Singapore's property market has long been considered a lucrative and stable investment option. With its robust economy, strong...
Read More
Does Sell 1 Buy 2 Strategy Still Works Today in 2024?
All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion

Does Sell 1 Buy 2 Strategy Still Works Today in 2024?

TLDR When considering the "Sell One By Two" property investment strategy, keep in mind that it involves selling your previous...
Read More
Discover the Optimal Timing to Invest in Singapore Real Estate: Unveiling Historical Insights
All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Discover the Optimal Timing to Invest in Singapore Real Estate: Unveiling Historical Insights

TLDR When considering the best time to buy or sell a property in Singapore, historical data analysis reveals key insights....
Read More
Top 5 Factors : What I Wish I Had Known about Singapore Property Market
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : What I Wish I Had Known about Singapore Property Market

Singapore's property market has always been an attractive investment option for both local and foreign investors. With its stable economy,...
Read More
Should I Buy In A Newly MOP HDB Or An Older Resale HDB?
All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Should I Buy In A Newly MOP HDB Or An Older Resale HDB?

TLDR When deciding between a recently MOP-ed HDB property and an older resale HDB property in Singapore, various factors come...
Read More
The Lease Buyback Scheme Is A Strategy That Could Help You Retire Comfortably In Your HDB Flat
All Opinion Selling Tips

The Lease Buyback Scheme Is A Strategy That Could Help You Retire Comfortably In Your HDB Flat

TLDR The Lease Buyback Scheme (LBS) trend among older Singaporeans is slowly gaining momentum, despite initial reluctance. The scheme allows...
Read More
Beware! Spot These Warning Signs Before Making a Home Purchase!
All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Beware! Spot These Warning Signs Before Making a Home Purchase!

TLDR When purchasing a property in Singapore, it is crucial to thoroughly assess various aspects of the home to avoid...
Read More
Will New Launch Condos See a Drop in Prices Soon?
All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Will New Launch Condos See a Drop in Prices Soon?

TLDR The real estate market in Singapore is experiencing a trend of lackluster bids for prime properties in various locations....
Read More
How Can Real Estate Investment Help You to Combat Inflation?
All Blog Posts Opinion

How Can Real Estate Investment Help You to Combat Inflation?

TLDR When it comes to real estate investments in Singapore amidst rising inflation rates, consider strategies such as capitalizing on...
Read More
Top 5 Best Hidden Boutique Hotels in Singapore
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Best Hidden Boutique Hotels in Singapore

Singapore, a vibrant city-state known for its iconic landmarks and diverse culture, offers a plethora of accommodation options for travelers....
Read More
Pitfalls of Owning a Boutique Condo: 5 Insider Insights You’ll Wish You Knew Earlier
All Buying Tips Opinion

Pitfalls of Owning a Boutique Condo: 5 Insider Insights You’ll Wish You Knew Earlier

TLDR When considering boutique condos, be mindful of potential drawbacks such as dominating families influencing rules, lack of privacy due...
Read More
The Influence of Soaring Land Costs on Singapore’s Real Estate Market: A Look at Land Price Trends Since 1992
All Buying Tips Opinion

The Influence of Soaring Land Costs on Singapore’s Real Estate Market: A Look at Land Price Trends Since 1992

TLDR When it comes to understanding the fluctuations in land prices in Singapore, historical patterns reveal significant spikes and dips...
Read More
5 Tips : How To Negotiate A Good Deal When Buying A Singapore Property
Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : How To Negotiate A Good Deal When Buying A Singapore Property

When looking to buy a property in Singapore, it's essential to know how to negotiate a good deal. Here are...
Read More
Top 5 Historical Landmarks in Singapore
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Historical Landmarks in Singapore

Singapore, a bustling cosmopolitan city-state, is known for its rich history and diverse cultural heritage. This small yet vibrant nation...
Read More
5 Reasons : Why Investing In Commercial Real Estate Can Offer Stable Long-Term Returns
Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons : Why Investing In Commercial Real Estate Can Offer Stable Long-Term Returns

Investing in commercial real estate has become an increasingly popular choice for investors seeking stable long-term returns. There are several...
Read More
Singapore Luxury Property: 5 Reasons to Add it to Your Trophy Collection
Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Singapore Luxury Property: 5 Reasons to Add it to Your Trophy Collection

Singapore Luxury Property: 5 Reasons to Add it to Your Trophy Collection When it comes to luxury property investments, Singapore...
Read More
1 3 4 5 6 7 27

Compare Listings