Your search results

Will New Launch Condos See a Drop in Prices Soon?

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 12, 2024

| All, Buying Tips, Opinion, Selling Tips

| 0

TLDR

The real estate market in Singapore is experiencing a trend of lackluster bids for prime properties in various locations.

Recent bids for land parcels near Springleaf MRT station and on Zion Road have fallen below predicted price ranges.

Factors contributing to this trend include cooling measures, rising construction costs, financing challenges, and global uncertainties.

Developers’ reluctance to participate in high-profile locations like River Valley and Marina Bay reflects a retreat in the market.

The Core Central Region (CCR) is particularly affected by these challenges.

To revitalize the CCR, suggestions include extending ABSD deadlines for developers to attract local buyers and reignite interest.

The release of land parcels in River Valley may not attract competitive bids due to low developer interest.

The shift towards creating well-rounded communities in prime areas like Orchard contrasts with the slow adaptation of the CCR.

Exploring mixed-use projects could accelerate the transformation of areas like River Valley.

Individual considerations are crucial when deciding whether to buy, sell, or wait in the current real estate market.

It is becoming increasingly evident that the rejected bid for Marina Gardens Crescent was not an isolated incident but rather a recurring trend. The solitary offer made for the coveted location was deemed too low and was swiftly dismissed, but it seems this was just the beginning. Now, we are witnessing similar lackluster bids for properties in River Valley and Upper Thomson.

GuocoLand and Hong Leong were the sole contenders for a prime plot of land near Springleaf MRT station, along Upper Thomson Road, with a bid of $779.6 million (equivalent to $904.60 psf). This was a far cry from the predicted $1,000 to $1,100 psf. One can’t help but wonder if the underwhelming sales figures of other condos like Lentoria, which only managed to sell 19% of units during its launch, played a role in this low offer. It’s not surprising considering GuocoLand’s already dominant presence in the area.

Similarly, CDL and Mitsui Fudosan were the only bidders for a massive land parcel on Zion Road, with a bid of $1.1 billion (capable of housing around 1,000 residential units). This equates to approximately $1,202 psf, below the estimated $1,300 to $1,700 psf.

These scanty bids, coupled with the reluctance of developers to participate in high-profile locations like River Valley and Marina Bay, reveal a clear retreat in the market. The recent cooling measures, particularly the raised ABSD of 60% for foreigners, has significantly impacted the prime region properties which heavily rely on this demographic.

Of course, there are other contributing factors such as rising construction costs (Singapore has been ranked the fourth most expensive country for construction since last year), financing challenges due to the higher interest rates, and global uncertainties. However, the CCR (Core Central Region) seems to be bearing the brunt of it all, compounded by the cooling measures.

Moreover, the upcoming land parcels at River Valley Green and the newly implemented GFA harmonisation rules may have also played a role in the lackluster bids.

Interestingly, this weak demand is in stark contrast to the 2017 bidding war for the Jiak Kim Street GLS site (now known as Riviere), which saw a whopping 9 bidders and a record high of $1,733 psf ppr. However, the not-so-impressive performance of Riviere may have acted as a deterrent, as the developers had to resort to price discounts in 2020 and the final average price of $2,819 psf was far from their initial expectations. After all, the original launch prices were hovering around $3,000 psf.

Why Are These Land Parcels Being Released Now? Unveiling the Timing Mystery

While the Government’s decision to put up land parcels in River Valley may have a sound rationale, it’s unlikely to attract competitive bids. In fact, it seems like a wasted opportunity, especially when developers have shown little interest. Even if the land prices were lower, it’s doubtful that the average Singaporean would even consider purchasing property in these upscale districts.

This move comes at a time when prime areas like Orchard are striving to revitalize themselves. The trend now is towards creating more well-rounded communities, with a mix of event spaces and play areas, rather than sticking to outdated notions such as “Orchard is only for shopping” or “City Hall is solely for banks.”

Interestingly, the CCR (Core Central Region) has been the slowest to adapt to this rebalancing, unlike its counterparts in the OCR (Outside Central Region) like Jurong, or in the RCR (Rest of Central Region) such as Beach Road and Paya Lebar.

If developers were to construct more mixed-use projects (and let’s not forget Marina, which was a white site, as explained here), it could greatly accelerate the transformation of the CCR. After all, River Valley could certainly benefit from more character than just being known as “that place with fancy mansions.”

Perhaps, considering the nature of CCR properties, which often have a high price tag and take longer to sell, we could explore other concessions for developers. This could include extending the usual five-year ABSD (Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty) time limit, not necessarily by reducing land prices, but by providing a longer deadline. This would allow more time for local buyers to emerge and potentially reignite developer interest, with the added benefit of lower risks. Of course, this is a suggestion solely for the CCR.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Opinion Selling Tips

When will En-Bloc set to Become Reality Beyond 2023?

Jayson Ang – November 24, 2023 –

TLDR The real estate market is experiencing a lull in en-bloc activities due to various factors. Higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Overlooked Features that Buyers are Looking for in Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – May 17, 2023 –

The top 5 overlooked features that buyers are looking for in the Singapore real estate market. These are the overlooked...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Can You Make the Leap to a Condo Upgrade in 2024?

Jayson Ang – June 12, 2024 –

As the Chinese New Year festivities wind down, folks are once again on the prowl for new homes, and understandably,...

Mandarin Top 5

Experience The Best Of Southeast Asia: 5 Must-See Destinations After Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 22, 2024 –

Singapore is a great starting point for travelers looking to explore the region. From Singapore, there are many great destinations...

All Blog Posts Selling Tips

Thinking of Selling Your Home in 2024? 5 Vital Realities Every Seller Must Face

Jayson Ang – November 27, 2024 –

TLDR From 2022 to 2024, Singapore's housing market underwent significant changes, with a shift from scarcity to a boom in...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Singapore’s Population Hits 6.11M — What It Means for Housing Demand

Jayson Ang – April 10, 2026 –

TLDR Singapore’s population has reached a record 6.11 million, driven mainly by non-residents rather than local births. With fertility at...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion

Why There’s No Perfect Time to Enter the Market

Jayson Ang – December 18, 2022 –

TLDR When it comes to property transactions, understanding the factors influencing rising prices is crucial. The pandemic has driven up...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Learn How To Negotiate For The Best Price When Purchasing a Resale HDB Flat

Jayson Ang – February 17, 2023 –

Navigating the complexities of purchasing a resale HDB flat requires honing negotiation skills and market awareness. Understanding property valuations, seller...

All Buying Tips

How Much You Need to Earn to Afford a Condo 2023

Jayson Ang – October 30, 2023 –

TLDR When considering investing in a private property in Singapore, it's important to understand your borrowing capacity. Financial experts recommend...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Sushi Restaurants in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 2, 2024 –

Singapore, a melting pot of cultures and culinary delights, is known for its diverse and vibrant food scene. Among the...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Biggest Mistakes I Made When Starting Out In Singapore Property Investing

Jayson Ang – May 16, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore property can be an excellent way to generate passive income and build long-term wealth. However, like any...

Mandarin Top 5

The Top 5 Tax Considerations When Investing In Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – July 20, 2024 –

When investing in Singapore property, it is essential to be aware of the various tax implications and considerations. Here are...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Things to Know About the Singapore Property Tax System

Jayson Ang – June 18, 2023 –

5 Things to Know About the Singapore Property Tax System Here are 5 things you need to know about the...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Unlock The Key To Selling A Home With A Perceived Disadvantage Like Being West-Facing Or Close To A Rubbish Chute – Here’s How!

Jayson Ang – January 26, 2023 –

TLDR When selling your house, turn perceived disadvantages into advantages. For sun-facing homes, use UV sheets and blinds to manage...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors To Consider When Choosing Between A Resale Condo And A New Launch In Singapore

Jayson Ang – April 21, 2025 –

The decision to invest in a condominium in Singapore can be a challenging one, especially when faced with the choice...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore

Jayson Ang – June 6, 2023 –

5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore Here are 5 things to keep in...

All Opinion

“I Kept My Condo Empty for 7 Years” – Here’s What Singaporeans Living Overseas Do With Their Properties Back Home

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2025 –

TLDR In today's global workforce, many Singaporeans find themselves working abroad, raising questions about the management of their local properties....