Unlock The Secrets To Successfully Selling Your Home In Just 7 Simple Steps!
TLDR When preparing to sell your house in Singapore, research the average prices in your area to set a realistic...
Read More
TLDR
The real estate market in Singapore is experiencing shifts in housing supply and demand, influenced by factors like mortgage rates and construction trends. Anticipated reductions in mortgage rates may ease financial burdens for potential homeowners, while fluctuations in HDB construction and property launches impact market dynamics. Additionally, the introduction of Plus model housing is expected to drive up resale flat prices in select areas. Private housing supply is gradually easing, with new launches offering fresh units to the market. Despite challenges in price ceilings for mass-market new launches, developers are striving to meet market demands. When considering property transactions, it’s essential to assess individual circumstances and seek expert advice to navigate the evolving real estate landscape effectively.
In the current media landscape, there’s a perceptible trend of messages circulating that suggest a reduction in prices and an increase in supply. This pattern seems to hint towards a major, impending event attempting to placate the public. However, we can confidently say that new homeowners are welcoming any sliver of respite. The period following the Covid outbreak has been particularly challenging for this already under-pressure group.
Will Rising Mortgage Rates Put a Cap on Housing Prices?
In a recent news piece, MND shared that mortgage rates might hover between 3.7 and 4.4 percent, potentially suppressing the surge in property values. This is a perspective we subscribe to, having previously discussed the significant impact seemingly minor hikes in mortgage rates can have.
On another note, it’s worth considering the possibility of Federal Reserve rate reductions in 2024. The US Federal Reserve, known as the Fed, typically reduces interest rates when economic prospects seem bleak. This action subsequently impacts Singapore’s interest rates as well.
The issue is that the Fed’s strategy for 2024 remains somewhat ambiguous. On one hand, there are expectations of rate cuts due to slowing growth. Recently, however, there have been increasing debates regarding the depth of these rate cuts. In any event, there exists a chance that mortgage rates may decline over the next year, potentially easing the financial burden for potential homeowners.
Speaking candidly, if the powers that be desired to rein in prices, they could simply hike up the base rate used to compute the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR), currently standing at four per cent. This move would be justifiable, given the noticeable increase in real interest rates.
(The TDSR restricts your home loan repayment amount, along with any other outstanding loans, to a maximum of 55 percent of your monthly income).
Regardless, investors are likely to be the most deterred, given that higher rates eat into profits. Conversely, genuine homeowners usually view home loan interest rates as a necessary burden. Unless they’re prepared to relinquish private property ownership and opt for an HDB flat, provided they qualify for an HDB loan.
The End of the Housing Supply Drought: What’s Next?
It appears the hustle and bustle of HDB construction is beginning to cool off. Take this year as an example, we’ve seen only three HDB launches compared to the usual four. This shift in gears is likely a reaction to a decrease in application rates from first-time buyers.
Interestingly, this reduction in launches was spun as a positive for potential buyers. The Housing Development Board (HDB) suggested that applicants now have a “higher chance of success in finding a flat that meets their budget and needs.” But despite a higher supply of flats per launch, the overall annual number has dipped.
Moreover, most industry observers anticipated a slowdown in HDB construction this year. After all, there was a production surge in 2022 and 2023, with output increasing by 35 per cent over the two-year period. If this trend continued unabated, we could be looking at a flood of HDB supply like we saw in the 1990s. While this scenario might appeal to first-time buyers, the wider market probably prefers to maintain the status quo.
Anticipating Surge in Resale Flat Prices in Select Areas for 2024
Anticipated to launch in 2024, Plus model housing is set to make a splash in the real estate market. Much like the effect observed with Prime flats, resale properties near these Plus and Prime regions could experience an uptick in value, particularly those unburdened by any drawbacks associated with Plus and Prime locations. As one property agent put it, “It’s hard to imagine anyone looking at a Prime or Plus apartment from their own window and not considering a price hike.”
Looking back to 2022, some property sellers were subjected to a 15-month waiting period, and the conclusion of this hiatus may trigger a rise in prices in sought-after areas like Queenstown, Bishan, and Tanjong Pagar. The reason being, sellers of private properties often find themselves in a financially comfortable position and can afford to demand higher Cash Over Valuation (COV) for the most coveted HDB locales.
A quick note on the 15-month waiting period – it was initially implemented on 30th September 2022 and required private property sellers to wait 15 months before purchasing a resale flat.
In terms of private housing, we’re witnessing the easing of the supply bottleneck. The year ahead promises about 38 new launches, introducing over 11,600 fresh units into the market. Furthermore, the recent completion of sizeable projects, such as Treasure at Tampines (boasting over 2,200 units and holding the title of Singapore’s largest condo development), could potentially ease the rental market.
However, predicting a significant decrease in private home prices might be a stretch. Developers are caught in a tight spot with margins, and breaking through the current price ceiling of approximately $2,100+ psf for mass-market new launches could prove challenging.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
Investing in Singapore Real Estate as a Foreigner
TLDR The blog post discusses the rules and regulations for foreign investors looking to purchase real estate in Singapore. It...
Read More
Surprising Prediction: Will Singapore Property Prices Drop in 2024?
TLDR When considering the current real estate market in Singapore, it's crucial to understand the impact of factors such as...
Read More
Top 5 Luxury Dining Experiences in Singapore
Singapore, known as the Lion City, is a melting pot of cultures, cuisines, and luxury experiences. With its rich history,...
Read More
What Is Cash Over Valuation in HDB (COV)
TLDR Cash Over Valuation (COV) in HDB resale flats occurs when the purchase price exceeds HDB's valuation. COV cannot be...
Read More
Snag a Sentosa Condo for 40% Off? Should You Consider It!
TLDR The Residences at W Singapore Sentosa Cove has slashed prices by over 40%, but there are important details to...
Read More
Is Lentor Mansion: The 5th New Lentor Condo in 2 Years Still Worth Your Attention?
TLDR for "Exciting Updates from Lentor Mansion" Lentor Mansion, a new project in the vibrant Lentor region, is set to...
Read More
Top 5 Museums in Singapore for Art and History
Singapore, known for its vibrant culture and rich history, is home to a plethora of museums that cater to art...
Read More
Here Are 6 Interesting Facts About The Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) That Not Many People Know About In Singapore
TLDR When it comes to understanding the Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) set by the Housing Development Board (HDB) in Singapore,...
Read More
When will En-Bloc set to Become Reality Beyond 2023?
TLDR The real estate market is experiencing a lull in en-bloc activities due to various factors. Higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp...
Read More
Why Can’t We Buy Low, Sell High?
Madam Tan voiced that approximately two years ago, when her apartment hit its minimum occupation period, she and her spouse...
Read More
Top 5 Factors to Look for in a Property Developer
With a highly competitive property market, it's crucial to choose a property developer that you can trust to deliver quality...
Read More
Top 5 Emerging Trends in Singapore Real Estate: What Investors Need to Know
The Singapore real estate market has experienced significant growth in recent years, attracting investors from around the world. As the...
Read More
Discover How The CPF Accrued Interest Can Impact Your Property Sale Proceeds
Singaporeans are renowned for being smart and savvy - especially when it comes to selling their homes, whether it's an...
Read More
How To Avoid Top 5 Common Investment Pitfalls When Investing In Singapore Property
When investing in Singapore's property market, it is crucial to be aware of the common pitfalls that can lead to...
Read More
3 Trends For New Launch Properties In 2023
TLDR When considering buying or selling a property in Singapore, it's crucial to understand the market dynamics and key metrics....
Read More
Great Reasons for Condo Owners to Sell upon Reaching TOP – A Guide to Sub-Sale Transactions
TLDR A recent sub-sale transaction in Midtown Modern set a new record with a 2-bedroom home selling at $3,150 psf....
Read More
Unseen Dangers of Putting Your Money in Upscale Freehold Properties in Singapore
TLDR Luxury freehold properties in Singapore may not always be the lucrative investment opportunities they appear to be. High-end properties...
Read More
The 5 Most Popular Types of Properties to Buy in Singapore
The 5 Most Popular Types of Properties to Buy in Singapore 1. Condominiums: Condos are popular among buyers because they...
Read More
3 Things You Need to Know if You Are Buying a Second Property
TLDR When considering buying a second property in Singapore, ensure eligibility by meeting the Minimum Occupancy Period (MOP) and understanding...
Read More
