Timing the Singapore Property Market: A Data-Driven Analysis
TLDR Historical data of Singapore’s property market shows seasonal trends: Q1 (January to March) often has price dips, making it...
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TLDR
When considering buying or selling a property in Singapore, it’s crucial to understand the market dynamics and key metrics. In 2023, there will be around 40+ new launches for buyers to choose from, each offering different advantages. Newly completed properties come with a one-year defect warranty period but may come at a premium price. On the other hand, new launches provide a variety of options but often have higher prices and longer waiting periods. Understanding these factors can help you make an informed decision that aligns with your needs and budget. For personalized advice and assistance, consider seeking guidance from real estate professionals who can offer strategic advice and help connect you with potential buyers.
I will be discussing new launches for the year 2023. This year, there are approximately 40+ new launches estimated to be launched for the entire year. In the last two years, there was a slew of en bloc activities as well as government land sales, and for the first half of this year, there will also be more government land sales to satisfy the demand from developers to acquire more land.
As a condo buyer looking for a condominium in the market, you will typically have three different types of products to choose from. The first product is resale properties in the entire market, the second type is newly completed properties, and the third is new launches.
In 2023, there will be an estimated 36 condos that will be newly completed and will likely be owned by people who bought them about three to four years back, starting from 2019-2020.
Some owners may have bought them last year or in 2021 because they bought the balance units. These units will definitely not be put on the market for sale as the owners need to fulfill a minimum of three-year seller stamp duty period.
If you are attracted to newly completed properties, you will likely be the type of home buyer who loves to buy brand new properties that nobody has stayed in before. They still come with a one-year defect warranty period, which is a plus point. However, you will have to pay a premium as no owners will resell their property at the same price that they bought it from the developer.
Going into new launches is the third option, and there will be about 40+ different new launches for you to choose from this year. However, it is important to understand some key metrics before making a decision.
In my last blog post, I talked about two charts that showcased upcoming new launches for the year 2023 and the movement that new launches seem to have, with an estimated movement upwards in terms of benchmark pricing of $400psf every five years. For today’s context, we want to look at a new chart that I have come up with.
I did an estimated supply based on the project launch date of properties currently being launched at the moment, plus another four years, to see if there will be an upcoming oversupply situation in the condo market. Based on this, it seems that the supply is very well managed by the government, which is good for existing homeowners because our government needs to calibrate the introduction of Government Land Sales (GLS) very carefully to avoid a glut situation in the condo market.
To recap, there are about 340,000 condos and apartments in Singapore, out of which about 70,000 are being owned by foreigners and PR. There are about 260,000 being owned by Singaporeans. It is essential to note that foreigners and PRs have to pay an Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD).
In conclusion, if you are looking to buy a new launch property in 2023, it is important to understand the three different types of products and key metrics before making a decision.
With approximately 40+ new launches to choose from, there are plenty of options available for buyers. However, it is essential to note that the prices of new launches are often higher, and the waiting period can be longer. By understanding these key factors, you can make an informed decision and choose the best property that fits your needs and budget.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
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