Fraud Blocker
Your search results

HDB Market Outlook 2023

Posted by Jayson Ang on January 8, 2023
| 0

TLDR: Understanding the HDB Market Outlook 2023

The HDB resale market showed resilience in 2022, with significant growth in sales and prices driven by factors like economic recovery and delays in new BTO flat completions. Despite cooling measures, prices are expected to remain relatively stable in 2023, with a forecasted growth rate of 6 to 8%. Demand will be supported by housing grants for first-time buyers. Additionally, million-dollar HDB resale transactions are on the rise, particularly in prime locations. The market is expected to see continued activity with fewer MOP flats entering the market compared to 2022.

Overview

The HDB resale market remained resilient in 2022, with more than 24,000 units resold in the first 11 months of 2022. Meanwhile, HDB resale prices are expected to post another year of double-digit growth.

The economic recovery, delays in the completion of new BTO flats, and a large supply of flats exiting the minimum occupation period (MOP) were all factors that have contributed to driving sales and price growth in 2022.

HDB Resale Market Outlook

  • Despite the recent cooling measures – aimed at encouraging home buyers to be more prudent with property purchase amid high interest rates – HDB resale prices are not likely to see a significant downward correction, as the tight resale stock and stable demand will help to keep prices relatively steady. PropNex projects HDB resale prices could rise by 9% to 10% for the whole of 2022, slowing from the 12.7% growth in 2021.
  • The temporary 15-month wait-out period intro- duced as part of the latest cooling measures will moderate demand for larger flats, especially flats in prime locations. For first-timer buyers, this helps to level the playing field by easing demand from private home downgraders, who tend to have a greater financial ability to pay a higher price for resale flats.
  • In 2023, HDB resale prices may grow at a slower pace following two years of robust performance. Together with the cooling measures and some price resistance setting in, this may slow the pace of the overall price increase. PropNex forecasts that HDB resale prices may grow by 6 to 8% in 2023.
  • With fewer MOP flats entering the market in 2023 compared to 2022, the available stock for resale could remain tight. PropNex expects the HDB resale volume to come in at around 27,000 to 28,000 flats in 2023. Demand will continue to be driven by those with more pressing housing need as well as families who do not wish to wait 3-5 years to get a BTO flat. Notably, eligible first-time buyers can also receive up to $160,000 in housing grants from the government, making HDB resale units attractive to Singaporean households.

Transactions and Prices

  • As of Q3 2022, the HDB resale price index has grown by nearly 8% from the end of 2021.

  • By flat type, the average resale price of 3-room HDB resale flats rose from 2021 to 2022 to $388,000, while that of 4-room and 5-room HDB resale flats increased to $548,000 and $654,000 respectively.

  • An estimated 31,325 flats have completed their 5-year MOP in 2022, possibly injecting fresh supply of units to the resale/rental market. In 2023, about 15,700 HDB flats are likely to attain MOP – substantially lower than the MOP stock in 2022.
  • The HDB estates that clocked the most resale trans- actions in 2022 were in non-mature towns such as Sengkang, Yishun, and Punggol – more than 2,100 flats in Sengkang were resold in the first 11 months of the year – being popular among home buyers due to their more affordable pricing and a wider selection of units.

Million Dollar HDB Resale Transactions

  • In the first 11 months of 2022, more than 340 HDB flats were resold for at least $1 million – already surpass- ing the record 259 deals done in the whole of 2021.
  • Most of these million-dollar flats are either located in prime mature estates or have fairly large floor areas which contributed to their hefty price tags. The HDB towns of Central Area, Bishan, Toa Payoh and Bukit Merah had the highest number of million-dollar resale flat deals in 2022. The most expensive resale flat sold in 2022 was a 5-room flat at SkyTerrace @ Dawson that went for $1.418 million in July.

Wondering What Move To Make In The Real Estate Market?

Whether it’s time to buy or sell, or if it’s best to wait, the decision can be confusing.

Keep in mind that everyone’s situation is different, and it’s important to consider your own unique circumstances before making a decision.

But don’t worry – my data-driven approach and years of on-the-ground experience will help provide clarity to you.

Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or an experienced investor, we will take a systematic and goal-oriented approach to ensure you make the right decision.

I can help you by :

  1. Providing Strategic Property Advice – will ensure you have the right plan to guide you in your property journey.
  2. Finding the ideal buyers for your home – use of high quality photography, excellent response rate, and a deep knowledge of buyers gives us the edge to showcase your property in the best way possible, helping you meet your goals.

You May Also Like …


Singapore’s Luxury Real Estate Market: The 5 Most Luxurious Neighborhoods
Mandarin Top 5

Singapore’s Luxury Real Estate Market: The 5 Most Luxurious Neighborhoods

The 5 most expensive neighborhoods in the city, and are home to some of the most exclusive and opulent properties...
Read More
First-Time Homeownership After 40 in Singapore: Navigating Unique Risks
All Buying Tips Opinion

First-Time Homeownership After 40 in Singapore: Navigating Unique Risks

TLDR Older first-time homebuyers face unique challenges including lease decay risks, stricter loan-to-value (LTV) limits, and shorter loan tenures leading...
Read More
7 Essential Tips for Finding Your Perfect Retirement Home
All Buying Tips

7 Essential Tips for Finding Your Perfect Retirement Home

TLDR Searching for a forever home should balance heart and practicality. Avoid homes with stairs, high cabinets, big kitchens, and...
Read More
Top 5 Bookstores in Singapore for Book Lovers
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Bookstores in Singapore for Book Lovers

Singapore, a bustling cosmopolitan city, is known for its rich cultural heritage, diverse population, and of course, its love for...
Read More
Reasons Why En-Bloc Sales Are Expected to Remain Slow in 2025
All Opinion

Reasons Why En-Bloc Sales Are Expected to Remain Slow in 2025

TLDR From 2014 to 2024, the en-bloc market has faced challenges due to fluctuating cooling measures and a shift from...
Read More
Why Home Staging Is Important In A Competitive Real Estate Market
All Selling Tips

Why Home Staging Is Important In A Competitive Real Estate Market

Singapore's property scene has always been a powerhouse, effortlessly combining the new with the old. It's a real estate playground...
Read More
5 Reasons Why Your House Isn’t Selling – and How to Overcome Them!
All Buying Tips

5 Reasons Why Your House Isn’t Selling – and How to Overcome Them!

TLDR When trying to sell your home, ensure it is competitively priced based on its unique features and the current...
Read More
Top 5 Best Instagrammable Spots in Singapore
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Best Instagrammable Spots in Singapore

Singapore, a vibrant and modern city-state, is known for its stunning architecture, lush green spaces, and colorful streets. With its...
Read More
Why Older Freehold Condominiums Are Losing Their Edge in En‑Bloc Deals (2025)
All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Why Older Freehold Condominiums Are Losing Their Edge in En‑Bloc Deals (2025)

TLDR Older freehold condominiums in Singapore are losing their edge in en‑bloc deals due to several structural shifts. Developers increasingly...
Read More
Exploring the Allure of Freehold Titles Among Singaporeans
All Buying Tips Reports Selling Tips

Exploring the Allure of Freehold Titles Among Singaporeans

TLDR Freehold properties remain highly attractive in Singapore due to their scarcity, lasting value, and legacy potential. Buyers are drawn...
Read More
The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore
All Buying Tips Opinion

The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore

TLDR Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows...
Read More
6 Must-Know Factors to Consider When Purchasing a Resale HDB in 2023
All Blog Posts Buying Tips

6 Must-Know Factors to Consider When Purchasing a Resale HDB in 2023

TLDR When buying a resale flat in Singapore, make sure to walk around the neighborhood to assess actual distances, check...
Read More
What Factors Contribute To Singapore’s Real Estate Market Exhibiting Less Volatility Than Other Major Cities?
All Buying Tips Opinion

What Factors Contribute To Singapore’s Real Estate Market Exhibiting Less Volatility Than Other Major Cities?

TLDR The Singaporean real estate market has remained stable due to government cooling measures. These include Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty...
Read More
Top 5 Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Singapore Real Estate
Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Singapore Real Estate

Investing in Singapore's real estate market can be a lucrative venture, given the city-state's status as a global financial hub...
Read More
I Bought a Mega-Home : Hear 7 Homeowners Spill their Heartfelt Remorse
All Buying Tips Opinion

I Bought a Mega-Home : Hear 7 Homeowners Spill their Heartfelt Remorse

TLDR The article discusses various challenges faced by residents living in massive condo complexes in Singapore. From long elevator wait...
Read More
How Will Singapore’s Development Influence The Real Estate Markets In Bedok, Changi, Pasir Ris, And Tampines : 2023
All Blog Posts Opinion

How Will Singapore’s Development Influence The Real Estate Markets In Bedok, Changi, Pasir Ris, And Tampines : 2023

TLDR You will find detailed insights into upcoming housing developments in the East of Singapore, specifically in areas like Bayshore,...
Read More
The Sneaky Role of Property Appraisals in Shaping Singapore’s Home Prices
All Buying Tips Opinion

The Sneaky Role of Property Appraisals in Shaping Singapore’s Home Prices

TLDR When it comes to the real estate market in Singapore, understanding property valuations and the impact on mortgage loans...
Read More
New Condo Sales Surge: Decoding Singaporeans’ Enthusiasm Despite “High” Prices
All Buying Tips Opinion

New Condo Sales Surge: Decoding Singaporeans’ Enthusiasm Despite “High” Prices

TLDR Recent strong condo sales in Singapore, including Emerald of Katong’s 99% take-up during launch, challenge perceptions of unaffordability. Key...
Read More
Singapore’s Priciest Districts Are Shifting—4 Key Buyer Trends Driving the Change in 2026
All Buying Tips Opinion

Singapore’s Priciest Districts Are Shifting—4 Key Buyer Trends Driving the Change in 2026

TLDR The Core Central Region (CCR) property market in Singapore is shifting from luxury trophy assets to practical, lifestyle-driven homes....
Read More
The Surprising Truths of Home Ownership: How Health Challenges Led a Homeowner to Relocate
All Opinion Selling Tips

The Surprising Truths of Home Ownership: How Health Challenges Led a Homeowner to Relocate

When thinking about staircases, light switch locations, selling our home, and similar topics, many plan for retirement, assuming these issues...
Read More

Compare Listings