Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore’s Property Market
Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to purchasing property in Singapore,...
Read More
TLDR
Older leasehold condos in Singapore, particularly those built in the 1980s and 1990s, have shown annualised price growth exceeding 3%, sometimes outperforming newer developments. The COVID-19 pandemic increased demand for affordable, larger units suitable for Work From Home, boosting prices of older condos. While lease decay remains a long-term concern, these properties offer strong short- to medium-term appreciation, potential en bloc opportunities, and attractive rental yields due to their lower entry prices. However, ageing facilities and maintenance are immediate challenges. Location, size, and affordability often outweigh the age factor in value. Recent data disproves the belief that older leasehold condos always underperform. Buyers and investors should consider specific property characteristics and market context before deciding to buy, sell, or hold, leveraging strategic advice and thorough analysis for optimal decisions.
A common concern among Singaporean homebuyers regarding leasehold condos is the inevitable decline in value as the lease runs down – a phenomenon known as lease decay. The question is, at what point does this decay begin to significantly impact appreciation? Recent market trends, particularly in the aftermath of COVID-19, have added complexity to this question, with older condos showing unexpected price spikes and attracting investor interest. Let’s examine the data to see what it reveals about the performance of older leasehold properties.
Key Findings:
- Strong Growth in Older Condos: Older leasehold condos (built in the 1980s–1990s) have matched or even surpassed the annualised price growth of newer ones, exceeding 3% per annum.
- COVID-19 Impact: The pandemic, with its shift towards Work From Home (WFH) arrangements and a shortage of new housing supply, boosted demand for more affordable, larger units in good locations, benefiting older condos.
- Short- to Mid-Term Potential: While lease decay is a long-term reality, older leasehold condos continue to show strong short- to medium-term appreciation and some may even have en bloc potential.
Understanding the Dynamics: Pitfalls and Advantages
Beyond price appreciation, it’s important to consider the qualitative aspects of older condos. While price depreciation is a long-term concern, ageing facilities and maintenance issues can be immediate pitfalls. Conversely, the lower price point of an older unit can offer access to desirable locations or larger unit sizes that might otherwise be unaffordable. For landlords, the lower price can translate to higher rental yields. These qualitative factors are not always reflected in price data alone.
Annualised Growth Rates: A Closer Look
Analyzing the annualised growth rates of older leasehold condos (over 30 years old) compared to newer ones reveals interesting trends. Filtering for older condos with consistent transaction history since 1995 provides a clearer picture of their price appreciation.
Leasehold condos built in the 1980-1989 and 1990-1999 periods show consistent annualised growth rates of around 3.19% and 3.22% respectively. Condos built between 2000-2009 have slightly lower growth (3.08%), while those built between 2010-2019 have the lowest growth rate (1.15%).
The pandemic played a significant role in boosting the prices of older condos. The increased adoption of WFH and a shortage of new housing supply led buyers to consider older properties, especially those offering larger unit sizes. Coupled with their lower starting prices compared to newer developments, these older properties had more room for appreciation, driving up their percentage gains.
Challenging Assumptions
This analysis challenges the long-held assumption that older leasehold condos always perform worse. In fact, units from the 1980s and 1990s have shown comparable or better growth than newer ones over the past decade. While lease decay remains a long-term risk, factors like location, size, and affordability can outweigh age concerns in the short to medium term, especially in a market where new launches command premium pricing.
Other factors not captured in the data, such as the potential for en bloc sales in improving areas or the appeal of larger unit sizes in older projects, can also contribute to their performance.
Case Studies: Specific Examples
To further explore this phenomenon, future analysis will delve into case studies of specific older leasehold condos like Orchid Park, The Tanamera, Loyang Valley, and The Arcadia. These examples will provide more detailed insights into the factors driving their performance and offer valuable lessons for buyers and sellers of older leasehold properties.
Ultimately, while lease decay is a real consideration, the recent performance of older leasehold condos suggests that they can still offer attractive returns and should not be dismissed without a thorough analysis of their specific characteristics and market context.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
The Uncomfortable Truth About Homeownership and Relationships in Singapore
TLDR Property ownership and prenuptial agreements are key for married couples in Singapore. Joint ownership (either joint tenancy or tenancy-in-common)...
Read More
35 Brand New Condominiums Nearing Their ABSD Deadline 2023
TLDR The blog post discusses the looming ABSD deadline for several new launch condos in 2023, highlighting the impact on...
Read More
Is Lifelong Renting a Viable Option in Singapore?
TLDR In Singapore, while the majority aspire to own homes, a small segment opts for lifelong renting, driven by personal...
Read More
5 Insider Tips From Real Estate Experts On How To Get The Best Deal On Property In Singapore
Investing in property can be a great way to build wealth and secure your financial future. However, with Singapore's highly...
Read More
Top 5 Considerations : Uncover the Secrets of Buying Older Properties – What They Won’t Tell You!
Buying an older property can be a dream come true for many homebuyers, as these homes often come with unique...
Read More
Property Market: Buyer’s Paradise or Seller’s Dreamland?
TLDR The property market in Singapore post-Covid has seen a surge in HDB and private property prices, with a noticeable...
Read More
5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore
5 Things to do When You Go For A Property Viewing In Singapore Here are 5 things to keep in...
Read More
5 Impacts Of The Singapore Government’s Cooling Measures On Property Investing
The Singapore government has implemented several cooling measures over the years to regulate the property market and prevent it from...
Read More
Top 5 Reasons : Why Penthouses In Singapore Are Popular With Crazy Rich Asians
Singapore, a city-state known for its stunning skyline and luxurious lifestyle, has become a popular destination for the ultra-wealthy. Among...
Read More
Increase in ABSD April 2023
TLDR The impending rise in ABSD (Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty) is expected to suppress investment demand, allowing local homebuyers to...
Read More
Don’t Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore’s Property Market
Don't Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to...
Read More
Discovering the Response of Private Property Owners towards the 15-Month Wait-Out Phase
TLDR The blog post discusses the impact of the 15-month wait-out period cooling measure on private property owners in Singapore....
Read More
Top 5 Places to Learn About Singapore’s History
Singapore, a thriving metropolis with a rich history and diverse cultural heritage, offers numerous opportunities for visitors and locals alike...
Read More
The 15-Month Wait-Out Period: An Unnecessary Burden in a Challenging Economy
TLDR The 15-month wait-out period introduced in September 2022 requires private property owners to wait before buying a resale or...
Read More
What Are The Key Factors That Contribute To Property Valuations And Why Are They So Crucial?
TLDR Understanding property valuations is crucial for both buyers and sellers in the real estate market. Property valuations involve two...
Read More
Top 5 Things to Do in Singapore on a Rainy Day
Singapore, the beautiful island city-state, is known for its sunny weather and stunning attractions. However, even in this tropical paradise,...
Read More
2024 Will Be A Buyers Market
TLDR 2023 saw a roller-coaster ride in the real estate market, with various challenges like high interest rates and geopolitical...
Read More
What to Do Before Exercising Option to Purchase?
TLDR Home buyers are advised to thoroughly research property values using online tools, secure an ideal home loan package early...
Read More
5 Reasons : The Benefits Of Investing In A Property With Good Access To Healthcare Facilities In Singapore
Investing in a property with good access to healthcare facilities in Singapore offers numerous benefits for both homeowners and investors....
Read More
