Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Considerations : Uncover the Secrets of Buying Older Properties – What They Won’t Tell You!

Jayson Ang – November 25, 2024 –

Buying an older property can be a dream come true for many homebuyers, as these homes often come with unique...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Navigating the Unique Landscape of the 2025 Singapore Property Market

Jayson Ang – August 22, 2025 –

TLDR The 2025 Singapore property market faces distinct challenges, including a shift toward Core Central Region (CCR) new launches, limited...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Surprising Benefits of Investing in Singapore Real Estate for Foreigners

Jayson Ang – October 27, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving city-state in Southeast Asia, has become an attractive destination for foreign investors looking to diversify their investment...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Larger Living Spaces: The New Demand Surge Post-Pandemic

Jayson Ang – January 13, 2025 –

TLDR We explore the significant impact of digital marketing strategies on business growth in today's competitive landscape. It highlights the...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons Why Timing the Singapore Property Market is a Risk You Shouldn’t Take

Jayson Ang – June 28, 2023 –

5 Reasons Why Timing the Singapore Property Market is a Risk You Shouldn't Take Entering the Singapore property market can...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Say Goodbye to “Sell One, Buy Two” Approach in 2024

Jayson Ang – June 24, 2024 –

TLDR Summary: The "Sell One, Buy Two" real estate tactic, popularized in 2016-2017, involves selling a property and buying two...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Discover the 3 Top Factors Impacting HDB Resale Valuation in Singapore: What Every Buyer Must Know!

Jayson Ang – July 27, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the increased demand for HDB resale flats and the impact on prices. It emphasizes the...

All Blog Posts Top List

Discover the Top 11 Most Outstanding Condominiums in Singapore’s Holland Village Areas

Jayson Ang – December 9, 2022 –

Originally established in the early 1900s by Singapore's Dutch community, Holland Village was originally a residential area home to British...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Most Profitable Neighborhoods To Invest In For Singapore Property Investment 2025

Jayson Ang – December 29, 2024 –

As the global economy continues to recover, the real estate market in Singapore remains a promising investment opportunity for savvy...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Trends And Developments That Will Shape Singapore’s Property Market In The Next 5 Years

Jayson Ang – June 13, 2025 –

TLDR Singapore’s property market is set for significant transformation over the next five years, driven by rapid proptech adoption, growing...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Points : Singapore’s Property Market vs. Stock Market: Which is the Better Investment Option?

Jayson Ang – April 2, 2024 –

Investing is an important aspect of personal finance and can be a valuable way to grow wealth over time. However,...

All Buying Tips

Crucial Facts : All First Time Buyers Need to Know

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR When it comes to property investment for first-time buyers in Singapore, careful planning and early action are key. Consider...

All Opinion

Is Housing Policy an Unintended Factor in Singapore’s Birth Rate?

Jayson Ang – April 29, 2026 –

TLDR Singapore’s housing policies contribute to its declining birth rate through a complex mix of factors beyond just price. Flat...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips To Spot Winning Investment Properties In Singapore

Jayson Ang – September 6, 2024 –

Investing in real estate is an exciting and potentially lucrative venture. In Singapore, a thriving property market attracts both local...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : Why Singapore’s Property Market Is a Safe Haven for Investors in Uncertain Times – Insider Analysis!

Jayson Ang – September 16, 2024 –

In today's uncertain global economic climate, investors are constantly on the lookout for safe havens to park their wealth. Amidst...

All Opinion

Singapore’s Property Market: Will the Newly Proposed 2023 Cooling Measures, Including a 60% Foreigner ABSD, Make Waves or Mere Ripples?

Jayson Ang – April 27, 2023 –

TLDR The recent surge in Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates in Singapore targets mainly foreigners and entities, with rates...

All Buying Tips Opinion

The Significance of Choosing the Right Condo: A Real-Life Tale of Two $1.8 Million Investments with Significantly Different Results.

Jayson Ang – August 13, 2024 –

TLDR When contemplating property investments in Singapore, consider various factors like rental performance, unit count, access to train lines, and...