Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

35 Brand New Condominiums Nearing Their ABSD Deadline 2023

Jayson Ang – March 4, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the looming ABSD deadline for several new launch condos in 2023, highlighting the impact on...

All Buying Tips

5 Reasons Why Your House Isn’t Selling – and How to Overcome Them!

Jayson Ang – June 24, 2023 –

TLDR When trying to sell your home, ensure it is competitively priced based on its unique features and the current...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips for First-Time Chinese Buyers Looking to Invest in Singapore Today

Jayson Ang – May 31, 2023 –

Top 5 Tips for First-Time Chinese Buyers Looking to Invest in Singapore Today Here are the top 5 tips for...

All Buying Tips

ANALYSIS: Unveiling the HDB Towns with the Steepest and Lowest Price Surges!

Jayson Ang – August 17, 2024 –

TLDR The real estate market for HDB flats in Singapore has witnessed significant growth, with prices reaching new highs. The...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Factors Influence Real Estate Investors’ Decisions when Investing in Singapore Condos?

Jayson Ang – December 11, 2024 –

Singapore's real estate market has always been an attractive investment option for both local and foreign investors. The city-state's stable...

All Buying Tips

Can Your HDB Flat Safeguard Your Retirement?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR The HDB market has seen significant changes over the years, with many young owners looking to upgrade to private...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Discover What Else You Can Focus On Beyond PSF – Here’s How!

Jayson Ang – July 17, 2023 –

TLDR When considering real estate investments, factors like property size, location, and PSF play crucial roles in determining affordability. Smaller...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

The Real Impact of Industrial Areas on Condo Prices: A Tale of Two Towns

Jayson Ang – March 2, 2026 –

TLDR A case study comparing condos near light industrial areas in Yishun and Bishan found that proximity to these zones...

Mandarin Top 5

Navigating Singapore’s Real Estate Market: The Truth Behind 5 Common Misconceptions

Jayson Ang – March 19, 2024 –

The real estate market in Singapore is known for its stability and attractiveness to investors both locally and internationally. However,...

All Buying Tips

Should Foreign Buyers Be Deterred By the 30% ABSD?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR Foreign buyers interested in private residential properties in Singapore is a common sight due to the country's positive reputation...

All Buying Tips

Is the Singapore Property Market Set for a Dip in 2024?

Jayson Ang – January 26, 2024 –

TLDR The Singapore property market is experiencing shifts with Morgan Stanley adjusting its outlook on major developers. A forecast predicts...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Unlock the Secrets of Property Investment and Transform Your Financial Future!

Jayson Ang – September 30, 2024 –

TLDR The Singapore property market has experienced fluctuations, impacting private home prices. Understanding your financial capacity is crucial when considering...

All Buying Tips

Thinking About Investing In An Old Landed Property In Singapore? 7 Crucial Tips To Keep In Mind Before You Make Your Move

Jayson Ang – April 8, 2024 –

TLDR Older properties come with unique challenges due to outdated design elements, potential roofing issues, odd land shapes, basement drawbacks,...

All Opinion

What Is The Cost Of Constructing A Landed Property In Singapore?

Jayson Ang – February 24, 2025 –

TLDR Building a landed property in Singapore can be a costly endeavor, with prices ranging from $300 to $500 per...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Craving Dream Homes in the Urban Jungle: The Singaporean Dilemma Unveiled

Jayson Ang – May 10, 2024 –

TLDR The housing landscape in Singapore reflects evolving aspirations and desires, especially among the younger generation. Owning private property is...