Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Selling Tips

Unlock The Secrets To Successfully Selling Your Home In Just 7 Simple Steps!

Jayson Ang – August 1, 2023 –

TLDR When preparing to sell your house in Singapore, research the average prices in your area to set a realistic...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Beyond the Premium: Why Some Singaporean Homebuyers Steer Clear of Top-Floor Properties

Jayson Ang – July 7, 2026 –

TLDR Top-floor condominium units in Singapore often come at a premium price and are associated with luxury, but they have...

All Blog Posts Opinion

How Will Singapore’s Development Influence The Real Estate Markets In Bedok, Changi, Pasir Ris, And Tampines : 2023

Jayson Ang – April 5, 2023 –

TLDR You will find detailed insights into upcoming housing developments in the East of Singapore, specifically in areas like Bayshore,...

All Opinion Selling Tips

7 Essential Steps to Sell Your House in Singapore

Jayson Ang – August 29, 2023 –

TLDR When preparing to sell your house, research the average prices in your area for a realistic figure. Consider factors...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Revival of Singapore Luxury Housing Market in 2023

Jayson Ang – January 21, 2023 –

TLDR The property market in Singapore has witnessed significant shifts in the past two years, with a surge in prices...

All Opinion

Reasons Why En-Bloc Sales Are Expected to Remain Slow in 2025

Jayson Ang – February 6, 2025 –

TLDR From 2014 to 2024, the en-bloc market has faced challenges due to fluctuating cooling measures and a shift from...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : How To Spot A Good Investment Opportunity In Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – July 18, 2024 –

Singapore's property market offers a plethora of investment opportunities for both local and foreign investors. To spot a good investment...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Best Secret Running Routes in Singapore

Jayson Ang – September 28, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its modern architecture and vibrant culture, is also a haven for runners seeking scenic...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Dual-Key Condo: Analysing The Pros And Cons

Jayson Ang – November 16, 2023 –

TLDR for "Dual-Key Condo: Analysing The Pros And Cons" When considering dual-key condo units, it's important to weigh the advantages...

Mandarin Top 5

Retiring in Singapore? Here’s Where to Find the 5 Best Property Investments for Comfort and Security!

Jayson Ang – March 22, 2024 –

Retirees have unique needs when it comes to property investments. They require properties that offer comfort, security, and easy access...

All Opinion Selling Tips

3 Property Owners Reveal Their Major Mistakes: The Pitfalls of Ill-timed Home Sales

Jayson Ang – December 10, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to navigating the ups and downs of the Singapore property market, timing is crucial. Three real-life...

All Buying Tips

Single, Over 35, and Searching for a Home? Here’s Your Guide to Choosing Between an HDB and a Condo!

Jayson Ang – January 21, 2025 –

At the age of 35, a single Singaporean starts a significant year, highlighted by the long-awaited chance to buy their...

All Buying Tips

How Much You Need to Earn to Afford a Condo 2023

Jayson Ang – October 30, 2023 –

TLDR When considering investing in a private property in Singapore, it's important to understand your borrowing capacity. Financial experts recommend...

All Opinion

What’s Needed For Singapore To Lift Those Cooling Measures?

Jayson Ang – February 2, 2024 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the recent relaxation of real estate restrictions in Hong Kong, contrasting with Singapore's stricter regulations....

All Opinion Selling Tips

Beyond Profit: Singaporean Homeowners Share Stories of Purpose-Driven Property Purchases

Jayson Ang – January 18, 2026 –

TLDR In Singapore, some homeowners prioritize personal comfort, convenience, and family needs over financial gains in property purchases. YC bought...