Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Singapore’s Urban Landscape Transformation: 5 Key Things You Need to Know

Jayson Ang – March 17, 2024 –

Singapore's urban landscape has undergone significant changes over the years, with the city constantly evolving to create a sustainable and...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Can You Make the Leap to a Condo Upgrade in 2024?

Jayson Ang – June 12, 2024 –

As the Chinese New Year festivities wind down, folks are once again on the prowl for new homes, and understandably,...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Should I Move to a Private Property?

Jayson Ang – January 9, 2023 –

TLDR When considering an upgrade from HDB to private property in Singapore, it's essential to understand the differences and implications....

All Opinion

Snag a Sentosa Condo for 40% Off? Should You Consider It!

Jayson Ang – May 23, 2024 –

TLDR The Residences at W Singapore Sentosa Cove has slashed prices by over 40%, but there are important details to...

All Buying Tips Selling Tips

When Should You Consider Investing in Singapore Property, and When Should You Avoid It?

Jayson Ang – February 2, 2025 –

TLDR Investing in real estate is a complex decision influenced by personal goals, investment horizon, rental plans, and financial liquidity....

All Buying Tips

Strategies for Overcoming ABSD and Acquiring Multiple Properties in 2023 (Revised)

Jayson Ang – August 15, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to navigating the Additional Buyers Stamp Duty (ABSD) in Singapore, there are legal strategies available to...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Emerging Trends in Singapore Real Estate: What Investors Need to Know

Jayson Ang – November 1, 2024 –

The Singapore real estate market has experienced significant growth in recent years, attracting investors from around the world. As the...

Mandarin Top 5

Discover Singapore: 5 Must-See Attractions for a Culture Lovers’ Paradise

Jayson Ang – April 18, 2025 –

Singapore, a bustling metropolis in Southeast Asia, is a melting pot of cultures and traditions that offers a unique blend...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Learn About Singapore’s History

Jayson Ang – August 9, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving metropolis with a rich history and diverse cultural heritage, offers numerous opportunities for visitors and locals alike...

All Buying Tips

How Much You Need to Earn to Afford a Condo 2023

Jayson Ang – October 30, 2023 –

TLDR When considering investing in a private property in Singapore, it's important to understand your borrowing capacity. Financial experts recommend...