Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Essential Tips for Renting Property in Singapore as a Foreigner: A Guide for Newcomers

Jayson Ang – July 25, 2023 –

TLDR Renting property in Singapore as a foreigner can be challenging due to the high cost of living. To navigate...

All Buying Tips Reports Selling Tips

A Timeline of Property Cooling Measures in Singapore Through the Years

Jayson Ang – August 6, 2025 –

TLDR Since 2009, Singapore has implemented over 15 rounds of property cooling measures to curb speculation and keep homes affordable....

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

What Impact Will Decreasing US Interest Rates Have on Homeowners in Singapore?

Jayson Ang – July 25, 2025 –

TLDR The Fed’s recent 0.5% rate cut is likely to lower Singapore’s SORA-based home loan rates, benefiting those with bank...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Identifying a Good Investment Property: A Guide

Jayson Ang – July 25, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to navigating the real estate market in Singapore, understanding key factors can make a significant difference...

Mandarin Top 5

Retiring in Singapore? Here’s Where to Find the 5 Best Property Investments for Comfort and Security!

Jayson Ang – March 22, 2024 –

Retirees have unique needs when it comes to property investments. They require properties that offer comfort, security, and easy access...

All Buying Tips Opinion

4 Key Factors to Consider When Purchasing a Private Property for the First Time

Jayson Ang – August 27, 2023 –

TLDR When considering buying or selling property in Singapore, it's crucial to understand factors like Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty, Loan-To-Value...

All Buying Tips

Here’s How Property Data Can Be Misleading: Navigating Through Common Misunderstandings

Jayson Ang – April 14, 2024 –

TLDR When comparing property prices, discrepancies can arise due to various factors like timing of purchase, scarcity in niche projects,...

All Buying Tips

Why It’s Not Financially Sensible to Pay Off Your HDB Flat Home Loan in Advance

Jayson Ang – April 29, 2024 –

TLDR When deciding whether to repay your HDB flat loan early, consider the limitations of not being able to obtain...

All Buying Tips

Can Your HDB Flat Safeguard Your Retirement?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR The HDB market has seen significant changes over the years, with many young owners looking to upgrade to private...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Property Unpacked: Is GLS Impacting Property Values?

Jayson Ang – March 2, 2025 –

TLDR The Government Land Sales (GLS) program in Singapore is critical for developers to obtain development land, with sites released...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

The 15-Month Wait-Out Period: An Unnecessary Burden in a Challenging Economy

Jayson Ang – February 6, 2026 –

TLDR The 15-month wait-out period introduced in September 2022 requires private property owners to wait before buying a resale or...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Watch Fireworks in Singapore

Jayson Ang – August 3, 2024 –

Singapore is known for its stunning skyline and vibrant celebrations, especially during events like National Day and New Year's Eve....

Mandarin Top 5

Experience Singapore’s Best: 5 Districts with Unmatched Access to Shopping, Dining, and Entertainment

Jayson Ang – February 23, 2024 –

Here are my top 5 picks for districts in Singapore that offer easy access to some of the best shopping...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Resale Viewing Do’s and Don’ts: Expert Advice from a Singapore Real Estate Agent

Jayson Ang – December 19, 2022 –

TLDR The blog post provides valuable insights for first-time buyers on navigating the resale property market in Singapore. It covers...

All Buying Tips Opinion

HDB’s Policy Shift for Young Couples: Progressive Step or Cause for Concern?

Jayson Ang – June 27, 2025 –

TLDR Starting July 2025, HDB will let young couples—where at least one partner is a full-time student or NSF—defer income...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors Should Be Taken Into Consideration When Choosing The Right Neighborhood To Invest In Singapore’s Real Estate Market

Jayson Ang – January 10, 2025 –

Singapore's real estate market is known for its stability and potential for growth, making it an attractive investment destination for...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Learn How To Negotiate For The Best Price When Purchasing a Resale HDB Flat

Jayson Ang – February 17, 2023 –

Navigating the complexities of purchasing a resale HDB flat requires honing negotiation skills and market awareness. Understanding property valuations, seller...