Your search results

HDB Market Outlook 2023

Posted by Jayson Ang on January 8, 2023

| 0

TLDR: Understanding the HDB Market Outlook 2023

The HDB resale market showed resilience in 2022, with significant growth in sales and prices driven by factors like economic recovery and delays in new BTO flat completions. Despite cooling measures, prices are expected to remain relatively stable in 2023, with a forecasted growth rate of 6 to 8%. Demand will be supported by housing grants for first-time buyers. Additionally, million-dollar HDB resale transactions are on the rise, particularly in prime locations. The market is expected to see continued activity with fewer MOP flats entering the market compared to 2022.

Overview

The HDB resale market remained resilient in 2022, with more than 24,000 units resold in the first 11 months of 2022. Meanwhile, HDB resale prices are expected to post another year of double-digit growth.

The economic recovery, delays in the completion of new BTO flats, and a large supply of flats exiting the minimum occupation period (MOP) were all factors that have contributed to driving sales and price growth in 2022.

HDB Resale Market Outlook

Despite the recent cooling measures – aimed at encouraging home buyers to be more prudent with property purchase amid high interest rates – HDB resale prices are not likely to see a significant downward correction, as the tight resale stock and stable demand will help to keep prices relatively steady. PropNex projects HDB resale prices could rise by 9% to 10% for the whole of 2022, slowing from the 12.7% growth in 2021.
The temporary 15-month wait-out period intro- duced as part of the latest cooling measures will moderate demand for larger flats, especially flats in prime locations. For first-timer buyers, this helps to level the playing field by easing demand from private home downgraders, who tend to have a greater financial ability to pay a higher price for resale flats.
In 2023, HDB resale prices may grow at a slower pace following two years of robust performance. Together with the cooling measures and some price resistance setting in, this may slow the pace of the overall price increase. PropNex forecasts that HDB resale prices may grow by 6 to 8% in 2023.
With fewer MOP flats entering the market in 2023 compared to 2022, the available stock for resale could remain tight. PropNex expects the HDB resale volume to come in at around 27,000 to 28,000 flats in 2023. Demand will continue to be driven by those with more pressing housing need as well as families who do not wish to wait 3-5 years to get a BTO flat. Notably, eligible first-time buyers can also receive up to $160,000 in housing grants from the government, making HDB resale units attractive to Singaporean households.

Transactions and Prices

As of Q3 2022, the HDB resale price index has grown by nearly 8% from the end of 2021.

By flat type, the average resale price of 3-room HDB resale flats rose from 2021 to 2022 to $388,000, while that of 4-room and 5-room HDB resale flats increased to $548,000 and $654,000 respectively.

An estimated 31,325 flats have completed their 5-year MOP in 2022, possibly injecting fresh supply of units to the resale/rental market. In 2023, about 15,700 HDB flats are likely to attain MOP – substantially lower than the MOP stock in 2022.
The HDB estates that clocked the most resale trans- actions in 2022 were in non-mature towns such as Sengkang, Yishun, and Punggol – more than 2,100 flats in Sengkang were resold in the first 11 months of the year – being popular among home buyers due to their more affordable pricing and a wider selection of units.

Million Dollar HDB Resale Transactions

In the first 11 months of 2022, more than 340 HDB flats were resold for at least $1 million – already surpass- ing the record 259 deals done in the whole of 2021.
Most of these million-dollar flats are either located in prime mature estates or have fairly large floor areas which contributed to their hefty price tags. The HDB towns of Central Area, Bishan, Toa Payoh and Bukit Merah had the highest number of million-dollar resale flat deals in 2022. The most expensive resale flat sold in 2022 was a 5-room flat at SkyTerrace @ Dawson that went for $1.418 million in July.

Wondering What Move To Make In The Real Estate Market?

Whether it’s time to buy or sell, or if it’s best to wait, the decision can be confusing.

Keep in mind that everyone’s situation is different, and it’s important to consider your own unique circumstances before making a decision.

But don’t worry – my data-driven approach and years of on-the-ground experience will help provide clarity to you.

Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or an experienced investor, we will take a systematic and goal-oriented approach to ensure you make the right decision.

I can help you by :

Providing Strategic Property Advice – will ensure you have the right plan to guide you in your property journey.
Finding the ideal buyers for your home – use of high quality photography, excellent response rate, and a deep knowledge of buyers gives us the edge to showcase your property in the best way possible, helping you meet your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors to Look for in a Property Developer

Jayson Ang – March 13, 2024 –

With a highly competitive property market, it's crucial to choose a property developer that you can trust to deliver quality...

All Buying Tips

Your Key to a Happy Retirement in Your HDB? Let’s Unveil The Mystery Behind the Lease Buyback Scheme!

Jayson Ang – March 30, 2024 –

TLDR The Lease Buyback Scheme (LBS) is gaining traction among older Singaporeans looking to boost their retirement income by selling...

All Buying Tips

44 Exciting New Condo Launches in 2024 Starting at $1,402!

Jayson Ang – June 4, 2024 –

Alright, let's talk about 2024. We're not expecting the same kind of shortages we've seen after COVID-19. Some folks are...

Mandarin Top 5

The Top 5 Factors to Consider When Investing in Industrial Property in Singapore – Expert Insights!

Jayson Ang – September 18, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving hub of business and commerce in Southeast Asia, offers a robust real estate market with various investment...

All Opinion

Housing Affordability in 2023: Is Singapore Property Truly Unaffordable?

Jayson Ang – November 4, 2023 –

TLDR Singapore’s property market faces challenges with high prices, especially in private housing. While public housing remains more affordable, the...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips : How to Choose the Right Type of Property to Invest in Singapore – Expert Tips and Analysis!

Jayson Ang – September 24, 2024 –

Investing in property has long been a popular method for growing wealth in Singapore. With million-dollar HDBs being sold and...

All Buying Tips Selling Tips

Discovering the Response of Private Property Owners towards the 15-Month Wait-Out Phase

Jayson Ang – August 25, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the impact of the 15-month wait-out period cooling measure on private property owners in Singapore....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips : Spot These Warning Signs Before Making a Home Purchase!

Jayson Ang – November 23, 2024 –

Purchasing a home is one of the most significant financial decisions you will make in your lifetime. It's essential to...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : What Are The Key Factors That Drive Foreign Investment In Singapore’s Real Estate Market

Jayson Ang – January 2, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving city-state in Southeast Asia, has become a magnet for foreign investors looking to capitalize on its booming...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Buying a Second Property – 3 Key Factors to Consider

Jayson Ang – June 18, 2023 –

TLDR When navigating the complexities of purchasing a second property in Singapore, ensure you meet eligibility criteria, consider affordability factors...