URA’s Draft Master Plan 2025: A Blueprint for 80,000 New Homes Across 10+ Estates
TLDR The URA Draft Master Plan 2025 outlines the creation of 80,000 new homes across more than 10 estates over...
Read More
TLDR
Condominium prices in Singapore have nearly doubled over the past 15 years, with new launches now averaging around $2,390 psf. A typical 1,000 sq ft three-bedroom condo costs about $2.39 million, aligning with the income growth of the top 20% earners who mostly buy such properties. While prices feel high compared to 2009, affordability has remained relatively stable when accounting for income increases. New launch condos have grown more expensive compared to resale units, which may offer better value despite renovation costs. The housing market reflects limited land and population growth, making condos aspirational but still attainable for the higher-income segment. Buyers and sellers should consider their individual circumstances and market data for decisions. Expert advice can help navigate this complex market effectively.
For many Singaporeans, owning a condominium has long represented a significant life aspiration, often considered the pinnacle among traditional material achievements. Given Singapore’s limited land, growing population, and economic progress, the steady rise in housing prices, particularly for condominiums, comes as no surprise. Recently, a new freehold condominium in District 15 reportedly sold for over $3,000 per square foot (psf). While District 15 has gained popularity and the development boasts an excellent location with amenities, such a price point prompts questions about affordability.
While $3,000 psf might seem an outlier today, it could hint at future price trajectories. According to Stacked Homes, new condo prices averaged $2,390 psf in September 2024. This implies a typical 1,000-square-foot, brand-new three-bedroom condominium unit would cost approximately $2.39 million. At first glance, this price appears far from affordable for the average Singaporean.
Indeed, it largely is. Singapore’s housing system sees about 80% of its population residing in public HDB flats, with the remaining 20% in private properties, including condominiums, apartments, and landed homes. Consequently, condominium prices tend to align with the income levels of Singapore’s top 20% earners—the demographic most likely to purchase such properties, especially new launches. Therefore, it’s logical that condo prices have risen in tandem with income growth in this segment over the past two decades.
Property Price Growth Over the Last 15 Years
The Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) Property Price Index (PPI), which tracks residential property prices (including non-landed properties), stood at 197.5 in Q3 2024. With Q1 2009 as its base year, this indicates a roughly 98% increase in condominium prices over the past 15 years, essentially doubling.
This data often leads to two common observations:
- For Existing Condo Owners: If you purchased a condominium around 2009, your unit’s value might not have appreciated by the full 98%. For example, an $800,000 unit then might now be worth $1.4 million—a significant 75% appreciation, but short of the index’s figure.
- For New Condo Buyers: Today’s buyers might lament the “good old days” when a new three-bedroom condo cost around $800,000, contrasting it with today’s $1.8 million price tag for a similar unit (a 125% increase).
This discrepancy arises because the PPI reflects overall private non-landed residential property prices, encompassing both new launches and the resale market. Stacked Homes data reveals a significant widening of the price gap between new launches and resale condominiums over the last decade. In 2013-2014, new launch condos over 1,200 sq. ft. were only 6%-17% more expensive than resale units. By 2023-2024, this gap had expanded to 34%-53%.
This explains why existing condo owners might see substantial, yet not as dramatic, appreciation as the growth in new launch prices. For aspiring condo owners, resale condos might offer better value, although potential renovation costs must be factored in, as they can offset initial savings.
Income Growth vs. Property Price Growth
To assess affordability, it’s crucial to compare property price increases with income growth. Using data from data.gov.sg, the monthly household income from work per household member (excluding employer CPF contributions) for the 80th percentile increased by approximately 90% from $3,153 in 2009 to $6,008 in 2023.
Comparing this with the PPI, which rose about 94.1% from 2009 to Q4 2023, reveals a strong correlation. The rise in property prices has largely kept pace with the income growth of the top 20% earners.
Affordability Over Time
This comparison suggests that, despite the feeling of high prices, the overall affordability of a condominium unit in 2024 is statistically comparable to what it was in 2009. While absolute prices were lower in 2009, so too were household incomes. The market has adjusted, with property prices rising in tandem with the income levels of the segment that typically acquires them. Therefore, the “condo dream” remains aspirational, but statistically, it hasn’t necessarily become more difficult to achieve, given the corresponding income growth within the target demographic.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
Beyond Buying: Innovative Strategies for Property Investment Success
TLDR The world of property investment and real estate trends offers vast opportunities. Stay informed with effective property investment strategies...
Read More
Singapore Luxury Property: 5 Reasons to Add it to Your Trophy Collection
Singapore Luxury Property: 5 Reasons to Add it to Your Trophy Collection When it comes to luxury property investments, Singapore...
Read More
Should You Pay Extra for a Private Condo When the EC Next Door Looks Identical?
TLDR Singapore’s executive condominiums (ECs) have improved significantly, now matching private condos in design and facilities but at lower prices....
Read More
The COV Conundrum: Navigating Singapore’s Property Premium
TLDR Cash Over Valuation (COV) is the difference between a property's official valuation and the price a buyer is willing...
Read More
The Lifecycle of an HDB Flat: Essential Stages for Owners and Buyers
TLDR HDB flats in Singapore, home to 80% of residents, begin as state land acquired at fair market value. The...
Read More
How To Avoid Top 5 Common Investment Pitfalls When Investing In Singapore Property
When investing in Singapore's property market, it is crucial to be aware of the common pitfalls that can lead to...
Read More
Singapore’s HDB Projects: From Unique Landmarks to Just Another Brick in the Wall?
Take a look at this chill spot in Yew Tee. Someone's gone all out to make it feel like an...
Read More
Discover the Top 11 Most Outstanding Condominiums in Singapore’s Holland Village Areas
Originally established in the early 1900s by Singapore's Dutch community, Holland Village was originally a residential area home to British...
Read More
Top 5 Reasons : How Investing in a Luxury Condominium in Singapore Can Boost Your Portfolio
Investing in a luxury condominium in Singapore is an attractive option for investors looking to diversify their portfolio and enjoy...
Read More
5 Reasons Why Condos Are The Best Real Estate Investment in Singapore
Investing in a condo in Singapore is a popular choice for both locals and foreigners. Condominiums offer a range of...
Read More
Top 5 : Greatest Challenges That Investors Face In Singapore’s Real Estate Market
Singapore's real estate market is a dynamic and attractive investment landscape for both local and international investors. Known for its...
Read More
Top 5 Factors: Singapore Property Market: Attractive Investment Opportunity Despite Cooling Measures
The Singapore property market has always been a popular investment choice for both local and foreign investors, thanks to its...
Read More
Unlock The Key To Selling A Home With A Perceived Disadvantage Like Being West-Facing Or Close To A Rubbish Chute – Here’s How!
TLDR When selling your house, turn perceived disadvantages into advantages. For sun-facing homes, use UV sheets and blinds to manage...
Read More
Purchasing Older HDB Resale Flats: Key Considerations When the Flat Outlives You
TLDR HDB flats have a 99-year lease, and key housing schemes require the lease to cover the youngest owner until...
Read More
5 Key Insights to Take Away from the Latest 2022 Cooling Measures
TLDR Affordability of HDB Market: Government is focused on ensuring affordable public housing and may increase supply if needed. Long-term...
Read More
URA 2025 Draft Master Plan: 6 Under The Radar Changes You May Have Missed
TLDR The URA 2025 Draft Master Plan outlines major developments in Singapore over the next 10-15 years, with 80,000 new...
Read More
Singapore’s Property Market: Will the Newly Proposed 2023 Cooling Measures, Including a 60% Foreigner ABSD, Make Waves or Mere Ripples?
TLDR The recent surge in Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates in Singapore targets mainly foreigners and entities, with rates...
Read More
Calculating Your Property’s Annual Value in Singapore 2024: A Simple Guide!
TLDR Understanding your property's annual value is crucial for determining property taxes in Singapore. The annual value is based on...
Read More
Debunked! 6 Popular Property Myths of 2023, Including the 99-1 Loophole – Legal or Not?
TLDR This blog post delves into various aspects of the Singapore property market, including topics such as decoupling, 99-1 property...
Read More
