Your search results

Challenging the Myth of Lease Decay: Older Leasehold Condos Outperforming Newer Ones

Posted by Jayson Ang on February 10, 2026

| 0

TLDR

Older leasehold condos in Singapore, particularly those built in the 1980s and 1990s, have shown annualised price growth exceeding 3%, sometimes outperforming newer developments. The COVID-19 pandemic increased demand for affordable, larger units suitable for Work From Home, boosting prices of older condos. While lease decay remains a long-term concern, these properties offer strong short- to medium-term appreciation, potential en bloc opportunities, and attractive rental yields due to their lower entry prices. However, ageing facilities and maintenance are immediate challenges. Location, size, and affordability often outweigh the age factor in value. Recent data disproves the belief that older leasehold condos always underperform. Buyers and investors should consider specific property characteristics and market context before deciding to buy, sell, or hold, leveraging strategic advice and thorough analysis for optimal decisions.

A common concern among Singaporean homebuyers regarding leasehold condos is the inevitable decline in value as the lease runs down – a phenomenon known as lease decay. The question is, at what point does this decay begin to significantly impact appreciation? Recent market trends, particularly in the aftermath of COVID-19, have added complexity to this question, with older condos showing unexpected price spikes and attracting investor interest. Let’s examine the data to see what it reveals about the performance of older leasehold properties.

Key Findings:

Strong Growth in Older Condos: Older leasehold condos (built in the 1980s–1990s) have matched or even surpassed the annualised price growth of newer ones, exceeding 3% per annum.
COVID-19 Impact: The pandemic, with its shift towards Work From Home (WFH) arrangements and a shortage of new housing supply, boosted demand for more affordable, larger units in good locations, benefiting older condos.
Short- to Mid-Term Potential: While lease decay is a long-term reality, older leasehold condos continue to show strong short- to medium-term appreciation and some may even have en bloc potential.

Understanding the Dynamics: Pitfalls and Advantages

Beyond price appreciation, it’s important to consider the qualitative aspects of older condos. While price depreciation is a long-term concern, ageing facilities and maintenance issues can be immediate pitfalls. Conversely, the lower price point of an older unit can offer access to desirable locations or larger unit sizes that might otherwise be unaffordable. For landlords, the lower price can translate to higher rental yields. These qualitative factors are not always reflected in price data alone.

Annualised Growth Rates: A Closer Look

Analyzing the annualised growth rates of older leasehold condos (over 30 years old) compared to newer ones reveals interesting trends. Filtering for older condos with consistent transaction history since 1995 provides a clearer picture of their price appreciation.

Leasehold condos built in the 1980-1989 and 1990-1999 periods show consistent annualised growth rates of around 3.19% and 3.22% respectively. Condos built between 2000-2009 have slightly lower growth (3.08%), while those built between 2010-2019 have the lowest growth rate (1.15%).

The pandemic played a significant role in boosting the prices of older condos. The increased adoption of WFH and a shortage of new housing supply led buyers to consider older properties, especially those offering larger unit sizes. Coupled with their lower starting prices compared to newer developments, these older properties had more room for appreciation, driving up their percentage gains.

Challenging Assumptions

This analysis challenges the long-held assumption that older leasehold condos always perform worse. In fact, units from the 1980s and 1990s have shown comparable or better growth than newer ones over the past decade. While lease decay remains a long-term risk, factors like location, size, and affordability can outweigh age concerns in the short to medium term, especially in a market where new launches command premium pricing.

Other factors not captured in the data, such as the potential for en bloc sales in improving areas or the appeal of larger unit sizes in older projects, can also contribute to their performance.

Case Studies: Specific Examples

To further explore this phenomenon, future analysis will delve into case studies of specific older leasehold condos like Orchid Park, The Tanamera, Loyang Valley, and The Arcadia. These examples will provide more detailed insights into the factors driving their performance and offer valuable lessons for buyers and sellers of older leasehold properties.

Ultimately, while lease decay is a real consideration, the recent performance of older leasehold condos suggests that they can still offer attractive returns and should not be dismissed without a thorough analysis of their specific characteristics and market context.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Blog Posts Opinion

Singapore’s Population Hits 6.11M — What It Means for Housing Demand

Jayson Ang – April 10, 2026 –

TLDR Singapore’s population has reached a record 6.11 million, driven mainly by non-residents rather than local births. With fertility at...

Top 5 Questions to Ask : Is Singapore Property Investment for Me?

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Questions Should Investors Be Asking Before Investing In Singapore’s High-End Rental Market

Jayson Ang – February 1, 2025 –

Singapore's high-end rental market has been a hot topic of discussion among investors worldwide. With the city-state's robust economy, excellent...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons Why Condos Are The Best Real Estate Investment in Singapore

Jayson Ang – March 25, 2024 –

Investing in a condo in Singapore is a popular choice for both locals and foreigners. Condominiums offer a range of...

All Buying Tips

What Is Cash Over Valuation in HDB (COV)

Jayson Ang – November 8, 2023 –

TLDR Cash Over Valuation (COV) in HDB resale flats occurs when the purchase price exceeds HDB's valuation. COV cannot be...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Learn About Singapore’s History

Jayson Ang – August 9, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving metropolis with a rich history and diverse cultural heritage, offers numerous opportunities for visitors and locals alike...

All Buying Tips Opinion

The Myth of Cheaper New Condos from Lower Land Prices in Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 22, 2026 –

TLDR Lower Government Land Sales (GLS) prices do not automatically lead to cheaper new launch condos in Singapore. Developers base...

All Buying Tips

Single, Over 35, and Searching for a Home? Here’s Your Guide to Choosing Between an HDB and a Condo!

Jayson Ang – January 21, 2025 –

At the age of 35, a single Singaporean starts a significant year, highlighted by the long-awaited chance to buy their...

Mandarin Top 5

Singapore’s Top 5 Property Investment Hotspots for 2024

Jayson Ang – April 4, 2024 –

As one of the world's leading financial centers, Singapore has always been a popular destination for property investment. With a...

All Buying Tips

5 Reasons To Invest In UK Property In 2024 Instead Of Saving

Jayson Ang – February 8, 2024 –

TLDR Investing in UK property in 2024 offers significant advantages over saving due to the potential for long-term value growth,...

All Blog Posts

SP Utilities Guide – Quick Guide To Setting Up Utilities In Singapore For Your New Home

Jayson Ang – April 16, 2023 –

TLDR Setting up utilities in Singapore for a new home is hassle-free. Contact SP Services for electricity and water accounts,...

All Opinion

Unseen Dangers of Putting Your Money in Upscale Freehold Properties in Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 17, 2024 –

TLDR Luxury freehold properties in Singapore may not always be the lucrative investment opportunities they appear to be. High-end properties...

All Buying Tips Opinion

How CPF Adjustments in 2025 May Influence Your Homebuying Decisions in Singapore

Jayson Ang – June 17, 2026 –

TLDR In 2025, significant CPF changes in Singapore impact homebuying decisions, especially for older homeowners. The Special Account (SA) for...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Things to Know About Singapore’s Freehold & Leasehold Properties

Jayson Ang – June 10, 2023 –

5 Things to Know About Singapore's Freehold & Leasehold Properties Here are 5 things you need to know about Singapore's...

All Buying Tips

Could You Still End Up Losing Money When Buying Property in Singapore During a Market Slump?

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2024 –

TLDR When it comes to property investments, timing is crucial. Buying at the right moment is only half the battle;...

All Buying Tips Opinion

The New Condo Rule: How GFA Harmonization Makes New Launches “Pricier” and What It Means for Buyers

Jayson Ang – May 30, 2026 –

TLDR GFA Harmonization standardizes Gross Floor Area measurements across Singapore government agencies, removing non-usable spaces like oversized planter boxes, air-con...