Don’t Miss Out: Take Control of Your Life in Your 30s and 40s
TLDR The stages of wealth management vary from ages 30 to 80, with different focuses and considerations at each stage:...
Read More
Leasehold vs. Freehold Condos in Singapore: A Decade of Data
TLDR
In Singapore’s property market (2014-2024), leasehold condos often outperform freehold in short-term holding (around 10 years) due to lower prices and stronger gains. Freehold properties show better returns mainly over longer periods, especially for older buildings. Newer freeholds are more volatile and don’t guarantee quick profits. Leasehold leads in new-to-resale sales, while older freeholds do better in resale-to-resale deals. The belief that freehold is always better is outdated; choice depends on holding period, price, and market cycle. For short-term gains, leasehold is usually better; for long-term value, freehold may win. Expert advice is recommended for personalized strategies.
The conventional wisdom in Singapore’s property market dictates that “freehold is superior.” However, this adage often overlooks the crucial element of time. A 99-year lease is a substantial duration, and the perceived benefits of freehold status may take many decades to materialize. For those who plan to sell their property within a relatively short timeframe, such as the first ten years, the freehold premium might even become a disadvantage. This analysis examines ten years of data (2014-2024) to determine at what point freehold properties begin to outperform their leasehold counterparts and when leasehold still holds the advantage.
Comparative Performance: Freehold vs. Leasehold (2014-2024)
Analyzing the price growth of freehold (including 999-year leasehold) and 99-year leasehold condos reveals nuanced trends. Properties built from 2015 were excluded to avoid skewing the data, as newer developments are predominantly leasehold due to government land sales policies.
Over the past decade, the price per square foot (psf) gap between freehold and leasehold properties has widened slightly. However, in terms of annualized percentage growth, leasehold properties appear to have a marginal edge. This can be attributed to the freehold premium, which typically translates to a 15-20% higher initial cost for freehold properties. This higher starting point allows leasehold properties more room for appreciation.
Leasehold condos experienced their most significant gains during the post-pandemic period (2022-2023), with annualized growth nearing or exceeding 10%. Freehold/999-year condos saw slightly lower gains during this period. The price surge in leasehold properties was likely driven by a housing supply shortage, making them a more accessible option for buyers.
In 2016, leasehold properties saw an exceptional 13.99% price growth compared to a mere 0.98% for freehold properties.
Interestingly, the price difference in psf between leasehold and freehold condos in 2024 (20.47%) is almost identical to the level seen in 2016 (19.15%).
Key Observations from the Data:
Age Matters: Freehold status becomes more advantageous as properties age. Analyzing cohorts by building age (2010-2014, 2000-2009, 1990-1999, 1980-1989) shows that the performance gap between freehold and leasehold widens significantly for older properties. However, it takes a considerable amount of time for freehold to demonstrate a real difference in performance. Considering that many condos don’t surpass 30 years of age, the value of the freehold premium for shorter holding periods is questionable.
Resale-to-Resale Transactions: Examining properties bought and sold between 2014/15 and 2019 onwards (excluding distress sales) reinforces the age factor. Older freehold properties consistently show higher annualized returns compared to their leasehold counterparts. This is particularly evident in the 1990s cohort, where the gain difference was around 12%.
Volatility in Newer Freehold Properties: Newer freehold condos (2010-2019) have exhibited more volatility in their earlier years, mirroring the performance of 99-year leasehold condos from the same era. This suggests that freehold status doesn’t guarantee strong short-term gains and can even be riskier due to higher launch prices.
Absolute Dollar Gains: Despite percentage growth variations, older freehold properties often outperform in absolute dollar terms.
New-to-Resale Transactions: Leasehold Takes the Lead
Analyzing properties bought as new launches in 2014/15 and sold from 2019 onwards reveals a different trend. Leasehold condos consistently showed higher average returns and quantum gains every year compared to their freehold equivalents.
Conclusion: It Depends on Your Strategy
The data challenges the notion that “freehold is always better,” particularly for shorter holding periods. While freehold properties offer perceived long-term security, leasehold condos, especially new launches, have consistently delivered stronger short-term gains, sometimes by over 20%. This outperformance is particularly evident during market upturns when affordability drives demand.
A data-driven approach that considers entry price, market cycle, and holding period is crucial for identifying profitable opportunities, regardless of tenure.
For those seeking a deeper understanding of market dynamics and counter-intuitive strategies, consulting with real estate professionals who leverage data is highly recommended.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
Mortgage Interest : The True Cost of Buying and Owning Properties in Singapore
TLDR When considering buying a property in Singapore, it's crucial to understand the true costs and risks involved. High monthly...
Read More
6 Factors Making Singaporean Properties Difficult to Sell (Even in a Strong Market)
TLDR Properties in Singapore may linger on the market due to several key factors. Small boutique developments face price volatility,...
Read More
Avoid These 6 Terrible Property “Tips” in Singapore
TLDR When it comes to property advice, it's crucial to be cautious of common misconceptions. For instance, schemes like the...
Read More
Unlock The Secrets To Successfully Selling Your Home In Just 7 Simple Steps!
TLDR When preparing to sell your house in Singapore, research the average prices in your area to set a realistic...
Read More
6 Reasons to Think Twice Before Hiring a Friend or Family Member as Your Agent
TLDR In Singapore, hiring a friend or family member as your property agent can be risky. Disclosing sensitive financial details...
Read More
Top 5 Factors : Buying Resale vs New Launch Property in Singapore: Which is Better?
The decision to invest in a property in Singapore can be both exciting and daunting, especially when faced with the...
Read More
When will En-Bloc set to Become Reality Beyond 2023?
TLDR The real estate market is experiencing a lull in en-bloc activities due to various factors. Higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp...
Read More
3 Things You Need to Know if You Are Buying a Second Property
TLDR When considering buying a second property in Singapore, ensure eligibility by meeting the Minimum Occupancy Period (MOP) and understanding...
Read More
Can You Skip the 15-Month Wait When Selling Private and Buying Resale HDB?
TLDR The 15-month wait-out rule requires private homeowners to sell their property and wait 15 months before buying a resale...
Read More
Top 5 Museums in Singapore for Art and History
Singapore, known for its vibrant culture and rich history, is home to a plethora of museums that cater to art...
Read More
The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore
TLDR Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows...
Read More
It Seems Like Less Folks Living In HDB Flats Are Chasing After The Dream Of Owning A Condo
TLDR The Singapore property market is experiencing a decline in condo purchases by HDB flat owners due to multiple property...
Read More
21 Condominiums with Landed Properties Available for Foreign Purchase in Singapore
TLDR Foreigners who want landed living in Singapore but cannot buy traditional landed homes (except in Sentosa Cove) can consider...
Read More
Singapore Homebuyers: Finding Hidden Value in ‘Undesirable’ Property Traits
TLDR Many perceived drawbacks in Singapore’s property market—such as mortgage lock-ins, leasehold status, west-facing units, nearby construction, inefficient spaces, and...
Read More
Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore
TLDR HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep...
Read More
Ouch! Our $1.8 Million Condo Investment Blunder: Unpacking 5 Crucial Takeaways from Our Bad Experience
TLDR The blog post delves into the complexities of real estate investments using Bob's experiences as examples. It highlights the...
Read More
Discover the 3 Top Factors Impacting HDB Resale Valuation in Singapore: What Every Buyer Must Know!
TLDR The blog post discusses the increased demand for HDB resale flats and the impact on prices. It emphasizes the...
Read More
I Decided to Pay the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty to Purchase a Condominium While Retaining My HDB: My Reasons
TLDR Despite a 20% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) for second properties in Singapore, Yang chose to hold onto his...
Read More
When a Property Seller Pulls Out of the Deal : What Now?
TLDR When a property deal is not yet formalized, sellers can withdraw without consequences. However, once an Option to Purchase...
Read More