Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

How To Avoid Top 5 Common Investment Pitfalls When Investing In Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – July 24, 2024 –

When investing in Singapore's property market, it is crucial to be aware of the common pitfalls that can lead to...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Discover the 7 Unique Attributes of Real Estate Investing

Jayson Ang – January 16, 2023 –

TLDR The post highlights the benefits of investing in real estate, such as high leverage, capital appreciation, income generation, usability,...

All Buying Tips

3 Steps to Prevent Rental Scams

Jayson Ang – January 23, 2024 –

TLDR: Prevent Rental Scams in Real Estate Scammers are targeting prospective tenants by impersonating Real Estate Salespersons (RES) to deceive...

All Blog Posts Selling Tips

Thinking of Selling Your Home in 2024? 5 Vital Realities Every Seller Must Face

Jayson Ang – November 27, 2024 –

TLDR From 2022 to 2024, Singapore's housing market underwent significant changes, with a shift from scarcity to a boom in...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : What Are The Key Factors That Drive Foreign Investment In Singapore’s Real Estate Market

Jayson Ang – January 2, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving city-state in Southeast Asia, has become a magnet for foreign investors looking to capitalize on its booming...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Bakeries in Singapore for Fresh Bread and Pastries

Jayson Ang – May 6, 2024 –

Singapore, a melting pot of cultures and flavors, is well-known for its diverse culinary scene. Among the many gastronomic delights...

All Buying Tips Opinion

What Is An Affordable Home In Singapore?

Jayson Ang – August 18, 2025 –

TLDR Affordable housing in Singapore is about more than just having a roof over your head—it’s about survival and opportunity....

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

5 Key Insights to Take Away from the Latest 2022 Cooling Measures

Jayson Ang – December 8, 2022 –

TLDR Affordability of HDB Market: Government is focused on ensuring affordable public housing and may increase supply if needed. Long-term...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Learn About Singapore’s Diversity

Jayson Ang – August 31, 2024 –

Singapore, a vibrant city-state in Southeast Asia, is well-known for its diverse culture and rich history. A melting pot of...

All Buying Tips

Uncovering Hidden Details: Key Questions to Ask at a New Launch Condo Show Flat

Jayson Ang – January 2, 2026 –

TLDR Show flats can be impressive but may hide important details. Buyers should ask about room sizes, furniture fit, balcony...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Learn About Singapore’s History

Jayson Ang – August 9, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving metropolis with a rich history and diverse cultural heritage, offers numerous opportunities for visitors and locals alike...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Discover the Benefits of a SORA Home Loan in 2023: Why Consider SORA Interest Rates

Jayson Ang – May 17, 2023 –

TLDR The article discusses the transition from SIBOR and SOR to SORA as the new benchmark rate in Singapore's banking...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Buying HDB Resale : How to Minimise COV

Jayson Ang – January 20, 2023 –

TLDR Understanding Cash Over Valuation (COV) is crucial when buying a resale HDB flat in Singapore. COV is the additional...

All Buying Tips

Here’s How Property Data Can Be Misleading: Navigating Through Common Misunderstandings

Jayson Ang – April 14, 2024 –

TLDR When comparing property prices, discrepancies can arise due to various factors like timing of purchase, scarcity in niche projects,...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

The Real Impact of Industrial Areas on Condo Prices: A Tale of Two Towns

Jayson Ang – March 2, 2026 –

TLDR A case study comparing condos near light industrial areas in Yishun and Bishan found that proximity to these zones...

All Blog Posts Opinion

What is Buyer’s Stamp Duty (BSD) in Singapore and How Does It Work?

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2023 –

TLDR When it comes to navigating the Additional Buyers Stamp Duty (ABSD) in Singapore, legal strategies are available to overcome...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Are We Truly Headed For A Slowdown? How Will This Affect Property Prices?

Jayson Ang – December 9, 2022 –

TLDR The pandemic-induced recession has surprisingly boosted property prices in Singapore, defying conventional economic trends. Factors like cost-push inflation, limited...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Common Characteristics Of Singapore Condos That Make Them An Attractive Investment Opportunity For Foreign Buyers

Jayson Ang – January 6, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving hub of business and commerce in Southeast Asia, has become an attractive destination for foreign investors looking...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Live Music Venues in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 20, 2024 –

Singapore, a vibrant and multicultural city-state, is well-known for its diverse food scene, stunning architecture, and bustling shopping districts. However,...