Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Buying Tips Opinion

My 6 Factors to Consider When Buying a Property in 2023

Jayson Ang – March 11, 2023 –

As the housing market shows no signs of slowing down, many of us may feel left behind, questioning whether it...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Qualities to Look for in an Agent to Ensure a Smooth Transaction

Jayson Ang – June 23, 2023 –

5 Qualities to Look for in an Agent to Ensure a Smooth Transaction Here are 5 qualities to look for...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Leasehold vs. Freehold Condos in Singapore: A Decade of Data

Jayson Ang – December 14, 2025 –

TLDR In Singapore’s property market (2014-2024), leasehold condos often outperform freehold in short-term holding (around 10 years) due to lower...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Buy a $1M Resale HDB or a $1M Resale Condo?

Jayson Ang – August 19, 2023 –

TLDR When comparing a million-dollar HDB flat to a private property of the same value, the HDB flat offers more...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Must-Try Foods in Singapore

Jayson Ang – July 12, 2023 –

Top 5 Must-Try Foods in Singapore Singapore, a melting pot of cultures and cuisines, offers a diverse and tantalizing array...

All Opinion

Why En Blocs Often Fail to Succeed

Jayson Ang – April 26, 2024 –

TLDR In this blog post, the focus is on the challenges and complexities of en-bloc transactions in Singapore's property market....

All Buying Tips Opinion

Love Across Borders: Navigating Singapore’s Housing Choices for Mixed-Nationality Couples

Jayson Ang – January 30, 2026 –

TLDR Marriages between Singaporeans and foreigners now make up about 20% of all marriages, but housing options for these couples...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Best Hidden Beaches in Singapore

Jayson Ang – November 27, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its modern architecture and vibrant culture, is also home to some of the most...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Singapore Property Investing Myths Debunked

Jayson Ang – July 6, 2024 –

In the world of property investing, misconceptions can lead to poor decisions and financial losses. In Singapore, there are several...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : How Can A Reputable Real Estate Agent Help You When Investing In Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – April 5, 2025 –

Investing in Singapore property can be a lucrative venture, given the country's stable economy, strategic location, and high demand for...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

3 Winning Strategies for Skyrocketing Your Property Market Profits (Including Real-Life Success Stories)

Jayson Ang – August 21, 2024 –

TLDR In the dynamic property market of Singapore, maximizing profit is key for sellers and investors. Three essential strategies stand...

All Buying Tips

Rising Interest Rates : A Cause for Concern?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR In 2021, the real estate market saw a surge in demand due to low interest rates and supply chain...

Mandarin Top 5

The Top 5 Impact Of Singapore’s Ageing Population On The Property Market And Investment Opportunities

Jayson Ang – July 26, 2024 –

Singapore's ageing population is having a significant impact on the property market and investment opportunities. The top five effects include:...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Seafood Restaurants in Singapore

Jayson Ang – April 3, 2024 –

Singapore, a melting pot of cultures and culinary delights, is well-known for its diverse food scene. With its strategic location...

All Buying Tips Opinion

6 Misleading Claims Property Agents Often Make That Savvy Buyers Are Aware Of

Jayson Ang – March 15, 2024 –

TLDR Real estate agents can sometimes use deceptive tactics to push sales. Be cautious of claims about other interested buyers,...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons Why You Should Consider Investing In Singapore Real Estate

Jayson Ang – August 1, 2023 –

TLDR Investing in Singapore real estate offers attractive tax incentives, low cost of living, high rental yields, market reliability, diversification...