Your search results

The Illusion of Waiting: Why Cooling Measures Might Not Guarantee Cheaper Properties in Singapore

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 29, 2026

| 0

TLDR

Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows each market peak rebounds higher, making “wait-and-see” strategies risky. Different measures affect segments unevenly—foreign buyer taxes hit luxury condos, while HDB loan curbs barely touch private markets. Developers face tight margins and limited room to cut prices, meaning new launches often rise despite interventions. Some measures even raise costs permanently, like ABSD. Ultimately, timing the market is perilous; buyers should focus on personal financial readiness, stability, and finding a property that meets their needs rather than waiting for government policies to lower prices.

Property cooling measures often elicit two distinct reactions: some buyers rush to secure a property, fearing increased unaffordability due to loan curbs or higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD). Others adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, hoping these measures will depress prices. This analysis addresses the latter group, explaining why lower prices are not always the outcome.

The Flawed Premise of “Wait-and-See”

Cooling measures are inherently designed to exert downward pressure on home prices. Thus, the intuitive response to wait for the market to cool before buying appears logical. However, real-world dynamics are far more complex. While some point to cases like Urban Vista, where buyers in 2013 (a property peak coinciding with the implementation of cooling measures) saw prices decline, this scenario isn’t universally applicable.

Risks of a “Wait-and-See” Strategy:

Prices Can Rebound Higher Than Before: Historical data shows that each property peak in Singapore (e.g., 1996, 2007, 2013) tends to surpass the previous one. A “wait-and-see” strategy becomes a perilous attempt to time the market. Even if prices dip post-cooling measure, identifying the market bottom is notoriously difficult. Buying after a dip, only to see prices fall further (as with Urban Vista from October 2013 to June 2014), can be painful. Conversely, missing the brief window of a downturn can lead to paying even more as the market rapidly ascends to its next peak. The HDB resale market’s trajectory post-Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) in 2013 illustrates this; prices plummeted but then soared past 2013 levels within approximately three years after the pandemic. Attempting to time the market’s bottom is a high-risk proposition.
Varied Effects of Different Cooling Measures: Waiting for unspecified cooling measures is risky because their nature and impact are unpredictable. For instance, the April 2023 cooling measures imposed a substantial 60% ABSD on foreigners. However, this had minimal effect on mass-market condos in areas like Bedok or Jurong East, primarily targeting luxury properties. Similarly, the August 2024 measure, which reduced maximum HDB loan amounts, did not impact condo prices or private bank loan users. A typical Singaporean buyer looking for a mass-market condo would likely regret waiting for these specific measures, as average new launch prices rose from $2,185 psf in January 2023 to $2,475 psf in January 2025, demonstrating that recent cooling measures did not translate into lower prices for the average buyer. Even if a cooling measure exerts downward pressure, it might only slow price increases rather than cause an outright decline, especially in the resale market where financially stable sellers are less pressured to sell.
Limited Downward Flexibility for Developers: Developers have faced increasing pressures in recent years, leading to lukewarm interest in replenishing land banks, even after the last en-bloc craze ended in 2017. Their margins are already thin, and new regulations like GFA harmonization (which prevent charging for non-usable spaces like air-con ledges) further squeeze profitability. Regardless of cooling measures, developers may have very little room to lower prices further, given current land costs.
Cooling Measures Can Increase Your Costs: Some cooling measures, particularly those involving new taxes (like a hypothetical tax on properties above $1 million), would directly increase buyer costs. Since ABSD rates have historically never decreased, such taxes could become permanent. Even non-tax measures, such as tighter loan curbs, could hinder your ability to afford your desired property, leading to regret if you waited.

Prioritizing Personal Readiness Over Market Timing:

It is generally advisable not to attempt to time the market based on cooling measures. The decision to buy should primarily hinge on your personal financial situation: your readiness to make the initial payment, your ability to manage mortgage repayments, and your job security. If your income is unstable or mortgage payments would be a struggle, it is not an opportune time to buy, irrespective of cooling measures.

These financial considerations should be the primary determinants of when you buy. Additionally, for homeownership, factors like location, layout, amenities, and personal connection to an area are often irreplaceable. In the resale market, each unit possesses distinct characteristics. If you find a property that perfectly meets your needs, risking its loss by waiting for potential market changes or government policies in your favor is not recommended.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Buying Tips

A Guide to Purchasing a New Launch Condo in Singapore in 2023

Jayson Ang – October 26, 2023 –

TLDR When buying a new launch condo in Singapore, start by planning your finances to determine loan and property limits....

All Buying Tips Opinion

Navigating the Levels of Financial Well-being: From Basic Sustenance to Enduring Legacy

Jayson Ang – March 20, 2026 –

TLDR The journey to financial wealth involves progressing through seven stages, from Survival to Legacy, each with distinct goals and...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Finding Your Ideal Home: Strategies for Discovering Alternatives After Missing Your First Choice

Jayson Ang – June 14, 2026 –

TLDR When your preferred property becomes unavailable, broaden your search beyond immediate location and reconsider priorities like transport access, school...

All Buying Tips Opinion

The High Price of Picking the Wrong Property in Singapore in 2025

Jayson Ang – January 9, 2025 –

The Steep Price Of Making A Mistake When Buying Property In Singapore Are you yearning for a condo, but the...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : Location More Important Than Freehold Status?

Jayson Ang – March 3, 2025 –

When it comes to purchasing a property, there are numerous factors that potential buyers need to consider. While the debate...

All Opinion

What’s Needed For Singapore To Lift Those Cooling Measures?

Jayson Ang – February 2, 2024 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the recent relaxation of real estate restrictions in Hong Kong, contrasting with Singapore's stricter regulations....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Trends And Developments That Will Shape Singapore’s Property Market In The Next 5 Years

Jayson Ang – June 13, 2025 –

TLDR Singapore’s property market is set for significant transformation over the next five years, driven by rapid proptech adoption, growing...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tourist Attractions in Singapore

Jayson Ang – July 18, 2023 –

Top 5 Tourist Attractions in Singapore Singapore, a vibrant city-state located in Southeast Asia, is known for its diverse culture,...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Singapore Real Estate

Jayson Ang – October 29, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore's real estate market can be a lucrative venture, given the city-state's status as a global financial hub...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – July 10, 2023 –

Investment 101: The Top 5 Best Long-Term Values In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to purchasing property in Singapore,...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

5 Disastrous Property Transaction Nightmares (and How to Avoid Them)!

Jayson Ang – April 20, 2023 –

TLDR When attempting to sell your property, various worst-case scenarios can hinder the sale process significantly. These scenarios include buyers...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Revival of Singapore Luxury Housing Market in 2023

Jayson Ang – January 21, 2023 –

TLDR The property market in Singapore has witnessed significant shifts in the past two years, with a surge in prices...

All Buying Tips

Rising Interest Rates : A Cause for Concern?

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR In 2021, the real estate market saw a surge in demand due to low interest rates and supply chain...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Dispelling Common Myths: Navigating Singapore’s Property Market in 2025

Jayson Ang – January 6, 2026 –

TLDR Singapore’s property market in 2025 is fast-moving and different from five years ago. Buyers often overestimate available options due...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Things to Know About Singapore’s Public Housing System

Jayson Ang – June 16, 2023 –

5 Things to Know About Singapore's Public Housing System With over 80% of Singaporeans living in public housing, it's important...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Discover 7 Reasons to Sell and Right-Size Your Property

Jayson Ang – April 9, 2023 –

TLDR The increasing trend of right-sizing properties in Singapore is driven by various factors such as lifestyle changes, financial gains,...

All Buying Tips Opinion

My 6 Factors to Consider When Buying a Property in 2023

Jayson Ang – March 11, 2023 –

As the housing market shows no signs of slowing down, many of us may feel left behind, questioning whether it...

All Reports

Transaction Volumes Remained Subdued Due To The Dearth Of Inventory In Q4 2022

Jayson Ang – March 27, 2023 –

TLDR The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) Flash Estimates for Q4 2022 show a 0.1% increase in non-landed private home prices...

All Buying Tips

Is 2024 the Perfect Moment to Refinance Your Home Loan? Discover What Homeowners Should Consider!

Jayson Ang – July 20, 2024 –

TLDR The article covers the shift to SORA for home loan rates, urging consideration of refinancing options amidst rising rates....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Case Study : The Dark Side of Property Investing in Singapore: Scams, Fraud, and Risks

Jayson Ang – October 1, 2024 –

Singapore's property market has long been considered a lucrative investment sector, attracting investors and speculators looking to profit from the...