Leasehold vs. Freehold Condos in Singapore: A Decade of Data

Posted by Jayson Ang on December 14, 2025

0 Comments

TLDR

In Singapore’s property market (2014-2024), leasehold condos often outperform freehold in short-term holding (around 10 years) due to lower prices and stronger gains. Freehold properties show better returns mainly over longer periods, especially for older buildings. Newer freeholds are more volatile and don’t guarantee quick profits. Leasehold leads in new-to-resale sales, while older freeholds do better in resale-to-resale deals. The belief that freehold is always better is outdated; choice depends on holding period, price, and market cycle. For short-term gains, leasehold is usually better; for long-term value, freehold may win. Expert advice is recommended for personalized strategies.

The conventional wisdom in Singapore’s property market dictates that “freehold is superior.” However, this adage often overlooks the crucial element of time. A 99-year lease is a substantial duration, and the perceived benefits of freehold status may take many decades to materialize. For those who plan to sell their property within a relatively short timeframe, such as the first ten years, the freehold premium might even become a disadvantage. This analysis examines ten years of data (2014-2024) to determine at what point freehold properties begin to outperform their leasehold counterparts and when leasehold still holds the advantage.

Comparative Performance: Freehold vs. Leasehold (2014-2024)

Analyzing the price growth of freehold (including 999-year leasehold) and 99-year leasehold condos reveals nuanced trends. Properties built from 2015 were excluded to avoid skewing the data, as newer developments are predominantly leasehold due to government land sales policies.

Over the past decade, the price per square foot (psf) gap between freehold and leasehold properties has widened slightly. However, in terms of annualized percentage growth, leasehold properties appear to have a marginal edge. This can be attributed to the freehold premium, which typically translates to a 15-20% higher initial cost for freehold properties. This higher starting point allows leasehold properties more room for appreciation.

Leasehold condos experienced their most significant gains during the post-pandemic period (2022-2023), with annualized growth nearing or exceeding 10%. Freehold/999-year condos saw slightly lower gains during this period. The price surge in leasehold properties was likely driven by a housing supply shortage, making them a more accessible option for buyers.

In 2016, leasehold properties saw an exceptional 13.99% price growth compared to a mere 0.98% for freehold properties.

Interestingly, the price difference in psf between leasehold and freehold condos in 2024 (20.47%) is almost identical to the level seen in 2016 (19.15%).

Key Observations from the Data:

Age Matters: Freehold status becomes more advantageous as properties age. Analyzing cohorts by building age (2010-2014, 2000-2009, 1990-1999, 1980-1989) shows that the performance gap between freehold and leasehold widens significantly for older properties. However, it takes a considerable amount of time for freehold to demonstrate a real difference in performance. Considering that many condos don’t surpass 30 years of age, the value of the freehold premium for shorter holding periods is questionable.

Resale-to-Resale Transactions: Examining properties bought and sold between 2014/15 and 2019 onwards (excluding distress sales) reinforces the age factor. Older freehold properties consistently show higher annualized returns compared to their leasehold counterparts. This is particularly evident in the 1990s cohort, where the gain difference was around 12%.

Volatility in Newer Freehold Properties: Newer freehold condos (2010-2019) have exhibited more volatility in their earlier years, mirroring the performance of 99-year leasehold condos from the same era. This suggests that freehold status doesn’t guarantee strong short-term gains and can even be riskier due to higher launch prices.

Absolute Dollar Gains: Despite percentage growth variations, older freehold properties often outperform in absolute dollar terms.

New-to-Resale Transactions: Leasehold Takes the Lead

Analyzing properties bought as new launches in 2014/15 and sold from 2019 onwards reveals a different trend. Leasehold condos consistently showed higher average returns and quantum gains every year compared to their freehold equivalents.

Conclusion: It Depends on Your Strategy

The data challenges the notion that “freehold is always better,” particularly for shorter holding periods. While freehold properties offer perceived long-term security, leasehold condos, especially new launches, have consistently delivered stronger short-term gains, sometimes by over 20%. This outperformance is particularly evident during market upturns when affordability drives demand.

A data-driven approach that considers entry price, market cycle, and holding period is crucial for identifying profitable opportunities, regardless of tenure.

For those seeking a deeper understanding of market dynamics and counter-intuitive strategies, consulting with real estate professionals who leverage data is highly recommended.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : How To Invest In Singapore Property Without Losing Sleep Over It

Jayson Ang – June 18, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore's property market can be a lucrative venture, but it's important to approach it with caution and a...

Mandarin Top 5

Singapore’s Best Kept Real Estate Secrets: 5 Insider Tips for Savvy Investors

Jayson Ang – May 29, 2023 –

Singapore's Best Kept Real Estate Secrets: 5 Insider Tips for Savvy Investors Here are 5 insider tips for those looking...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

5 Warning Signs of New Launch Condominiums That Certain Property Agents Might Not Disclose to You

Jayson Ang – November 29, 2025 –

TLDR When buying a new launch condo, don’t just rely on show flats or sales pitches—look deeper. Watch out if...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Most Common Red Flags To Watch Out For When Investing In Singapore Property

Jayson Ang – August 11, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore property has long been considered a lucrative and stable way to build wealth. However, like any investment,...

All

The Uncomfortable Truth About Homeownership and Relationships in Singapore

Jayson Ang – July 5, 2025 –

TLDR Property ownership and prenuptial agreements are key for married couples in Singapore. Joint ownership (either joint tenancy or tenancy-in-common)...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Risk Factors For International Buyers Investing In Singapore Real Estate And How Can They Be Mitigated?

Jayson Ang – December 15, 2024 –

Singapore, a thriving global city-state, is known for its business-friendly environment, low tax rates, and high standard of living. The...

All Opinion

“I Kept My Condo Empty for 7 Years” – Here’s What Singaporeans Living Overseas Do With Their Properties Back Home

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2025 –

TLDR In today's global workforce, many Singaporeans find themselves working abroad, raising questions about the management of their local properties....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Scenic Drives in Singapore

Jayson Ang – June 4, 2024 –

Singapore, a small yet bustling city-state, is well-known for its impressive skyline, diverse culture, and delicious food. However, not many...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Pitfalls of Owning a Boutique Condo: 5 Insider Insights You’ll Wish You Knew Earlier

Jayson Ang – May 19, 2024 –

TLDR When considering boutique condos, be mindful of potential drawbacks such as dominating families influencing rules, lack of privacy due...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Pros Of Buying A Resale Property

Jayson Ang – March 6, 2024 –

Luxury properties in Districts 9 and 10 of Singapore are highly coveted, and for good reason. From stunning views and...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Unveiling the Secrets: How Foreigners Can Buy Property in Singapore – 6 Essential Steps to Follow

Jayson Ang – December 19, 2024 –

TLDR Foreign investors find Singapore attractive due to its stable governance and transparent business practices. Foreigners, including Permanent Residents (PRs),...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips : How To Spot A Good Investment Opportunity In Singapore’s Property Market

Jayson Ang – July 18, 2024 –

Singapore's property market offers a plethora of investment opportunities for both local and foreign investors. To spot a good investment...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

The Dynamics of Being the First Seller in a New Condo: Risks, Rewards, and Strategies

Jayson Ang – September 1, 2026 –

TLDR Being the first seller in a new condo project offers both opportunity and risk. With no prior transactions, you...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Places to Try Durian in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 28, 2024 –

Durian, often referred to as the "King of Fruits," is a unique and polarizing delicacy in Southeast Asia. With its...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Amazingly Fun Things to Explore in Singapore!

Jayson Ang – July 3, 2025 –

Singapore, a vibrant city-state located at the southern tip of the Malay Peninsula, is a melting pot of cultures and...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Strategic Patience: Why Some Singaporeans Might Benefit From Delaying Home Ownership, Even With Enhanced Grants

Jayson Ang – July 10, 2026 –

TLDR The Fresh Start Housing Scheme in Singapore now offers up to $75,000 in grants for eligible families buying shorter-lease,...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Tips : How to Choose the Right Type of Property to Invest in Singapore – Expert Tips and Analysis!

Jayson Ang – September 24, 2024 –

Investing in property has long been a popular method for growing wealth in Singapore. With million-dollar HDBs being sold and...

All Buying Tips Opinion