Your search results

What Might Occur If We Ease Property Cooling Measures?

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 21, 2025

| 0

TLDR

To assess if Singapore’s property cooling measures are working, compare our actions with China, which is applying the opposite strategy by trying to revive its real estate sector. China recently cut mortgage rates and raised the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, while Singapore tightened borrowing criteria and reduced LTVs. If China’s moves spark a rebound in prices, it suggests Singapore’s cooling measures might be effective at dampening demand. Watch China’s results closely, especially since changes in Chinese policy and buyer interest can impact Singapore’s luxury market (CCR). With higher ABSD for foreigners and easier conditions in China, fewer Chinese buyers may enter Singapore’s market in the near future. Whether you should buy, sell, or wait depends on your unique circumstances—there’s no one-size-fits-all answer, but data-driven advice and careful planning are more important than ever.

At times, an effective method to assess cooling measures is to observe those who are taking contrary actions.

How can we determine if the cooling measures in Singapore are effective? The most straightforward approach is to evaluate the outcomes after a few months. However, there’s another unconventional method: examining countries that are addressing the opposite issue (specifically, revitalising a struggling real-estate sector) and assessing whether their strategies differ significantly from ours. Currently, China serves as the most relevant case study for this.

China’s property market has been in crisis since 2021 (although some analysts might contend that it began a year earlier with the introduction of the three red lines policy). Nonetheless, the property giant Evergrande Group faced severe financial difficulties and failed to meet its debt obligations. When it defaulted on an offshore bond in December 2021, it triggered a cascade of events: Evergrande alone owed an estimated US$310 billion that could not be covered. Other real estate firms, such as Fantasia Holdings and Sinic Holdings Group, soon followed suit, leading to a prolonged downturn in China’s real estate market.

Recently, China has launched a substantial aid package for its property market, which stands in stark contrast to our cooling measures.

China has reduced mortgage interest rates by an average of 0.5 per cent for individual borrowers. Additionally, the maximum Loan To Value (LTV) ratio for home loans has been increased to 85 per cent, up from the previous 75 per cent.

This stands in stark contrast to the situation in Singapore. While our government has not raised interest rates, we have increased the floor rate for Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) and Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) calculations, making it more difficult for borrowers to qualify. Furthermore, we lowered the LTV for home loans to 75 per cent, including for HDB loans, back in August 2024.

If our cooling measures have effectively moderated prices, then the reverse should potentially boost prices – it will be intriguing to see the extent of this effect on the Chinese market.

For instance, how might a 0.5 per cent reduction in interest rates influence prices? This is particularly relevant for Singapore, as a significant rate cut in the US could also lead to lower mortgage rates here. The last time we experienced this was during 2018/9 and Covid, when lower interest rates substantially increased real estate prices. Our recent research indicates that from 2000 to 2024, interest rates were pivotal in driving up even resale flat prices. A 0.5 per cent interest rate reduction in China might provide valuable insights into its impact on prices today.

In terms of decreasing LTV ratios, observing its potential to revitalise the Chinese real estate market will also be of interest to us. If it shows little to no effect, we might anticipate a similarly modest impact from our latest cooling measures. This presents an opportunity to study how much leverage is necessary before real estate begins attracting new investors (and vice versa).

Next, we need to consider the additional impacts on our Core Central Region (CCR).

Those owning luxury CCR properties should be particularly vigilant regarding developments in China at this time. Chinese purchasers continue to represent a substantial portion of buyers in the CCR, as was evident in 2022 when they dominated the market for local luxury real estate.

Currently, Singapore imposes a 60 per cent ABSD on foreign buyers, while simultaneously, the Chinese government is relaxing mortgage regulations. This creates a significant incentive for Chinese investors to reconsider purchasing in Singapore and focus on opportunities back home.

The interplay between ABSD and the actions of China’s central bank may influence CCR property values in the near future, unless Singaporeans swiftly step in to fill the void—though this seems unlikely, as even many potential upgrader buyers find CCR condos financially unattainable today.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Buying Tips

A First-Time Condo Buyer’s Guide to Evaluating Property Developers in Singapore

Jayson Ang – May 9, 2026 –

TLDR When buying a new launch condominium in Singapore, a developer’s reputation is crucial since buyers rely on trust and...

All Opinion

Why Can’t We Buy Low, Sell High?

Jayson Ang – February 11, 2024 –

Madam Tan voiced that approximately two years ago, when her apartment hit its minimum occupation period, she and her spouse...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion

Does Sell 1 Buy 2 Strategy Still Works Today in 2024?

Jayson Ang – June 28, 2023 –

TLDR When considering the "Sell One By Two" property investment strategy, keep in mind that it involves selling your previous...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Will Your HDB Flat Provide For Your Retirement?

Jayson Ang – July 11, 2023 –

TLDR Singapore's property market presents challenges with high prices, particularly in private housing, while public housing remains relatively more affordable....

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : Why Ultra-Rich Families Racing To Park Wealth In Singapore

Jayson Ang – October 9, 2024 –

Singapore, a small island nation in Southeast Asia, has become a magnet for the world's ultra-rich families seeking to park...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Nature Walks in Singapore for Hikers

Jayson Ang – June 20, 2024 –

Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its impressive skyline and modern architecture, is also home to a plethora of natural...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons Why Districts 9 and 10 are the Next Big Thing in Singapore Real Estate

Jayson Ang – March 2, 2024 –

Singapore is renowned for its thriving real estate market, with many desirable neighborhoods and top-notch properties. However, when it comes...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

5 Disastrous Property Transaction Nightmares (and How to Avoid Them)!

Jayson Ang – April 20, 2023 –

TLDR When attempting to sell your property, various worst-case scenarios can hinder the sale process significantly. These scenarios include buyers...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Beyond Tenure: Why These Buyers Chose Older Leasehold Condos in Singapore

Jayson Ang – February 14, 2026 –

TLDR Older leasehold condos in Singapore may face skepticism but offer key benefits such as affordability, location, and flexibility. Three...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Singapore’s Priciest Districts Are Shifting—4 Key Buyer Trends Driving the Change in 2026

Jayson Ang – April 8, 2026 –

TLDR The Core Central Region (CCR) property market in Singapore is shifting from luxury trophy assets to practical, lifestyle-driven homes....

Mandarin Top 5

5 Critical Mistakes to Avoid When Investing in Singapore Property: Insights and Advice from Experts

Jayson Ang – April 1, 2024 –

Investing in Singapore property can be a lucrative venture for investors, but it's important to avoid common mistakes that can...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : Why Jayson Ang is the Best Property Agent in Singapore. And Why You Should Engage Him Today

Jayson Ang – March 9, 2024 –

In the bustling city-state of Singapore, the real estate market is highly competitive and constantly evolving. Finding the perfect property...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Trends And Developments That Will Shape Singapore’s Property Market In The Next 5 Years

Jayson Ang – April 24, 2025 –

Singapore's property market has always been a dynamic and evolving landscape, attracting both local and international investors. As we look...

All Buying Tips Opinion Selling Tips

Market Mistakes in Property Investment: Key Lessons and Strategies for Success

Jayson Ang – July 16, 2024 –

TLDR In property investment, common mistakes include lack of research, overleveraging, and neglecting due diligence. To succeed, conduct thorough market...