Your search results

What Might Occur If We Ease Property Cooling Measures?

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 21, 2025

| 0

TLDR

To assess if Singapore’s property cooling measures are working, compare our actions with China, which is applying the opposite strategy by trying to revive its real estate sector. China recently cut mortgage rates and raised the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, while Singapore tightened borrowing criteria and reduced LTVs. If China’s moves spark a rebound in prices, it suggests Singapore’s cooling measures might be effective at dampening demand. Watch China’s results closely, especially since changes in Chinese policy and buyer interest can impact Singapore’s luxury market (CCR). With higher ABSD for foreigners and easier conditions in China, fewer Chinese buyers may enter Singapore’s market in the near future. Whether you should buy, sell, or wait depends on your unique circumstances—there’s no one-size-fits-all answer, but data-driven advice and careful planning are more important than ever.

At times, an effective method to assess cooling measures is to observe those who are taking contrary actions.

How can we determine if the cooling measures in Singapore are effective? The most straightforward approach is to evaluate the outcomes after a few months. However, there’s another unconventional method: examining countries that are addressing the opposite issue (specifically, revitalising a struggling real-estate sector) and assessing whether their strategies differ significantly from ours. Currently, China serves as the most relevant case study for this.

China’s property market has been in crisis since 2021 (although some analysts might contend that it began a year earlier with the introduction of the three red lines policy). Nonetheless, the property giant Evergrande Group faced severe financial difficulties and failed to meet its debt obligations. When it defaulted on an offshore bond in December 2021, it triggered a cascade of events: Evergrande alone owed an estimated US$310 billion that could not be covered. Other real estate firms, such as Fantasia Holdings and Sinic Holdings Group, soon followed suit, leading to a prolonged downturn in China’s real estate market.

Recently, China has launched a substantial aid package for its property market, which stands in stark contrast to our cooling measures.

China has reduced mortgage interest rates by an average of 0.5 per cent for individual borrowers. Additionally, the maximum Loan To Value (LTV) ratio for home loans has been increased to 85 per cent, up from the previous 75 per cent.

This stands in stark contrast to the situation in Singapore. While our government has not raised interest rates, we have increased the floor rate for Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) and Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) calculations, making it more difficult for borrowers to qualify. Furthermore, we lowered the LTV for home loans to 75 per cent, including for HDB loans, back in August 2024.

If our cooling measures have effectively moderated prices, then the reverse should potentially boost prices – it will be intriguing to see the extent of this effect on the Chinese market.

For instance, how might a 0.5 per cent reduction in interest rates influence prices? This is particularly relevant for Singapore, as a significant rate cut in the US could also lead to lower mortgage rates here. The last time we experienced this was during 2018/9 and Covid, when lower interest rates substantially increased real estate prices. Our recent research indicates that from 2000 to 2024, interest rates were pivotal in driving up even resale flat prices. A 0.5 per cent interest rate reduction in China might provide valuable insights into its impact on prices today.

In terms of decreasing LTV ratios, observing its potential to revitalise the Chinese real estate market will also be of interest to us. If it shows little to no effect, we might anticipate a similarly modest impact from our latest cooling measures. This presents an opportunity to study how much leverage is necessary before real estate begins attracting new investors (and vice versa).

Next, we need to consider the additional impacts on our Core Central Region (CCR).

Those owning luxury CCR properties should be particularly vigilant regarding developments in China at this time. Chinese purchasers continue to represent a substantial portion of buyers in the CCR, as was evident in 2022 when they dominated the market for local luxury real estate.

Currently, Singapore imposes a 60 per cent ABSD on foreign buyers, while simultaneously, the Chinese government is relaxing mortgage regulations. This creates a significant incentive for Chinese investors to reconsider purchasing in Singapore and focus on opportunities back home.

The interplay between ABSD and the actions of China’s central bank may influence CCR property values in the near future, unless Singaporeans swiftly step in to fill the void—though this seems unlikely, as even many potential upgrader buyers find CCR condos financially unattainable today.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors: Singapore Property Market: Attractive Investment Opportunity Despite Cooling Measures

Jayson Ang – March 29, 2025 –

The Singapore property market has always been a popular investment choice for both local and foreign investors, thanks to its...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Explore the Benefits and Drawbacks of Holding an Open House!

Jayson Ang – June 3, 2023 –

TLDR An open house is a valuable opportunity for sellers to showcase their home to potential buyers without pressure. It...

All Buying Tips Reports Selling Tips

Breaking the New Launch Conflict: Leasehold or Freehold?

Jayson Ang – October 9, 2025 –

TLDR Freehold properties in Singapore offer indefinite ownership but come with a 15–25% premium over 99-year leasehold units. Despite common...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : Why Investing in Singapore’s Property Market Is a Smart Move for Millennials – Expert Analysis!

Jayson Ang – October 13, 2024 –

In recent years, Singapore has emerged as a global financial hub and a prime destination for property investments. The city-state's...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : What Are The Key Factors That Drive Foreign Investment In Singapore’s Real Estate Market

Jayson Ang – January 2, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving city-state in Southeast Asia, has become a magnet for foreign investors looking to capitalize on its booming...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Case Study : With Income Of $180K per Annum, Which Options Should I Choose?

Jayson Ang – February 28, 2023 –

TLDR When making property decisions in Singapore, it's crucial to consider various factors like affordability, loan-to-value ratios, and CPF requirements....

All Buying Tips

Should You Make A Partial Prepayment On Your Home Loan In 2025?

Jayson Ang – September 24, 2025 –

TLDR Partial prepayments on home loans can lower your monthly payments and reduce long-term interest, but the decision isn’t always...

All Opinion

Surprising Prediction: Will Singapore Property Prices Drop in 2024?

Jayson Ang – June 8, 2024 –

TLDR When considering the current real estate market in Singapore, it's crucial to understand the impact of factors such as...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Factors : Why Singapore’s Property Market Is Still A Safe Haven For Investors

Jayson Ang – May 22, 2024 –

Real estate investment has always been a popular choice for investors looking to generate passive income and build long-term wealth....

All Buying Tips

Is 2024 the Perfect Moment to Refinance Your Home Loan? Discover What Homeowners Should Consider!

Jayson Ang – July 20, 2024 –

TLDR The article covers the shift to SORA for home loan rates, urging consideration of refinancing options amidst rising rates....

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Exploring the Resale Condo Market? Here’s What to Watch Out For!

Jayson Ang – March 22, 2023 –

TLDR The impact of COVID-19 on Singapore's real estate market has been significant, leading to a surge in demand for...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

HDB Loan Vs Bank Loan: Pros & Cons

Jayson Ang – February 25, 2023 –

TLDR When deciding between an HDB loan or a bank loan for purchasing a property in Singapore, consider key factors...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : What Is Considered “Luxury” In The Singapore Property Market?

Jayson Ang – December 3, 2024 –

The Singapore property market is known for its high-quality residential properties, attracting both local and international buyers. Luxury real estate...