Discover 7 New Condos Close to an MRT Station in 2023
TLDR When it comes to finding the perfect home near MRT stations in Singapore, several exciting new launches stand out...
Read More
The Scarcity of Resale Condos in Singapore (2025): Understanding the Supply Shortage
TLDR
Resale condos in Singapore are facing a sharp supply crunch in 2025, driven by fewer new launches, developers holding back due to rising land costs, and owners reluctant to sell amid escalating prices. This scarcity has created intense competition among buyers, pushing resale values higher and narrowing options for those seeking immediate occupancy. Unlike new launches, resale units offer ready-built convenience and established communities, making them especially attractive to families and upgraders. However, limited listings mean buyers often compromise on location, size, or budget. Sellers, on the other hand, benefit from strong bargaining power, with well-maintained units commanding premiums. The imbalance highlights a structural challenge in Singapore’s housing market: while demand remains resilient, supply-side constraints are amplifying affordability pressures, reshaping buyer strategies, and reinforcing the long-term appeal of property ownership as both a lifestyle choice and investment hedge.
If you’re currently in the market for a resale condominium in Singapore, you might be encountering a challenging landscape characterized by limited options and, in some projects, a striking absence of recent transactions. This observation is not unique; both buyers and property agents are experiencing the impact of fewer owners choosing to sell their condos. Several intertwined factors are contributing to this dwindling supply.
The Dominant Factor: Cost of a Replacement Property
A primary driver behind the reluctance to sell is the current high cost of replacement properties. Even if owners can sell their existing condo at a premium, the appreciation may not be sufficient to bridge the financial gap to a more expensive new home. This is evident in the significant price increases seen in new launch and resale condos over the past five years:
- New Launch Condo Prices: Rose approximately 40% from $1,887 psf in January 2020 to $2,640 psf in January 2025.
- Resale Condo Prices: Increased about 25% from $1,348 psf to $1,695 psf over the same period.
This “buy high, sell high” conundrum means that for many owners, the appreciation of their current property simply isn’t enough to facilitate a comfortable upgrade. As a past example illustrated, even with $2 million from an en bloc sale, a homeowner found that surrounding resale condos were already averaging $1.5 million, and a nearby new launch (Sceneca Residence) was priced above $2 million for a three-bedroom unit, making an equivalent replacement challenging.
Other Contributing Factors to the Supply Shortage:
- Higher ABSD Rates: The significantly increased Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates are a strong deterrent for owners of second or subsequent properties. If they sell, replacing the property later incurs a much higher ABSD. For instance, a couple who bought their second property in 2012 (when ABSD for a second home was 0%) would now face a 20% ABSD if they tried to replace it. This disincentive often leads owners to hold onto their units and rent them out instead. Foreign owners face an even steeper hurdle, with a 60% ABSD on subsequent purchases (barring specific exemptions), making them highly resistant to selling. The psychological impact of ABSD rates historically never decreasing also contributes to a fear of never being able to re-enter the market for a second property once sold.
- Smaller Newer Replacements: While GFA (Gross Floor Area) harmonization has meant that some newer condos offer more usable space despite seemingly smaller overall square footage (by excluding areas like air-con ledges or long corridors), the sheer size of many older condos is often unmatched by today’s new launches. For example, an owner selling a 1,388 sq. ft. unit from an older development might find that their proceeds can only buy a 900 sq. ft. or smaller new launch unit. This significant compromise in living space makes many owners reluctant to sell, especially as spacious resale condos become increasingly rare.
- Waiting Periods for Downsizing to HDB Flats: Private property sellers who wish to downsize to a resale HDB flat face a 15-month waiting period after their private property sale. (For BTO flats, the wait extends to 30 months.) While this measure doesn’t affect those aged 55 or older who are downsizing to a 4-room or smaller flat, it creates “stickiness” for others. The inconvenience of finding interim accommodation and the logistical challenges prompt some owners to postpone their downsizing plans.
- Tighter Financing and Interest Rate Concerns: Recent cooling measures have tightened loan restrictions, including reduced loan tenures, a lower Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) (from 60% to 55%), and a reduced maximum Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio (from 80% to 75%). For older upgraders, these restrictions translate to even shorter loan tenures and higher monthly repayments, compounded by the larger loan quantums required for today’s higher property prices. The uncertain global economic climate also adds to interest rate worries. The prospect of potentially high interest rates for another 10-20 years makes holding onto their current, fully paid-up or low-mortgage home a much safer option for many owners.
The Ripple Effect: A Weak En Bloc Market
The reluctance of current owners to sell also impacts the en bloc market. Developers looking for collective sale sites face the same challenges: owners are unwilling to sell due to high replacement property costs, financing hurdles, and the impact of ABSD on any additional properties they might acquire. Consequently, the prevailing market conditions suggest that en bloc sales are likely to remain weak for the foreseeable future, adding another layer to the overall supply shortage in the resale condo market.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
Top 5 Factors Should Be Taken Into Consideration When Choosing The Right Neighborhood To Invest In Singapore’s Real Estate Market
Singapore's real estate market is known for its stability and potential for growth, making it an attractive investment destination for...
Read More
Navigating the Transition: Right-Sizing from a Condo to an HDB Flat in 2025
TLDR Right-sizing from a condo to an HDB flat in 2025 requires careful planning beyond lifestyle adjustments. Sellers face a...
Read More
Top 5 Reasons : Why Investing in Singapore’s Property Market Is a Smart Move for Millennials – Expert Analysis!
In recent years, Singapore has emerged as a global financial hub and a prime destination for property investments. The city-state's...
Read More
What Has Been The Most Significant Development In The Real Estate Market In 2022
TLDR In 2022, the real estate market saw significant interest rate hikes affecting home loan rates. Despite concerns, the market...
Read More
Quick Guide for Condo Sellers: Timeline to Sell Condo in 2023
TLDR When selling a condominium in Singapore, understanding the critical steps is key. First, ensure you are not liable for...
Read More
Should You Splash Your Cash on a Condo Despite the Sky-High PSF?
TLDR The blog post discusses various aspects of investing in condos in Singapore, covering topics such as leasehold versus freehold...
Read More
The Dilemma of Retaining Your HDB Flat While Owning a Condo in Singapore (2025)
TLDR Singaporean citizens can own both an HDB flat and a condominium if the HDB was purchased first and after...
Read More
Top 5 Trends And Developments That Will Shape Singapore’s Property Market In The Next 5 Years
TLDR Singapore’s property market is set for significant transformation over the next five years, driven by rapid proptech adoption, growing...
Read More
5 Dangerous Ideas Singapore Property Investors Have
Singapore's property market has always been a hot topic among investors, both local and international. With its strong economy, stable...
Read More
I Regret Buying A DBSS: 5 Homeowners Share Their Biggest Regrets
TLDR Singapore's DBSS scheme faced challenges such as design flaws, developer responsiveness issues, and restrictions on selling. Residents reported various...
Read More
Selling Your Home for the First Time in Singapore: A Step-by-Step Guide
TLDR Selling your home in Singapore involves careful planning over several stages. Start 4-6 weeks before listing by consulting a...
Read More
Bayshore: Reinventing the Experience of Living by the Beach
TLDR When deciding on buying or selling property in Bayshore, consider the recent developments and potential future growth. With a...
Read More
Top 5 Factors: Singapore Offer A Stable And Lucrative Investment Opportunity In Real Estate?
Singapore, a small yet economically powerful city-state, has long been recognized as one of the most attractive destinations for real...
Read More
Top 5 : Best Themed Cafes in Singapore
Singapore, a vibrant and diverse city, is known for its eclectic mix of cultures, cuisines, and attractions. Among the many...
Read More
HDB Owners Have Identified This Reason as the Primary Barrier to Upgrading in 2024. Surprising? Not Really.
TLDR High property prices in Singapore make it difficult for most to upgrade from HDB flats to private condos, despite...
Read More
Strategies for Overcoming ABSD and Acquiring Multiple Properties in 2023 (Revised)
TLDR When it comes to navigating the Additional Buyers Stamp Duty (ABSD) in Singapore, there are legal strategies available to...
Read More
Top 5 Best Green Spaces to Picnic in Singapore
Singapore, a bustling city-state known for its modern architecture and vibrant culture, is also home to numerous green spaces that...
Read More
Explore the Benefits and Drawbacks of Holding an Open House!
TLDR An open house is a valuable opportunity for sellers to showcase their home to potential buyers without pressure. It...
Read More
5 Tips To Spot Winning Investment Properties In Singapore
Investing in real estate is an exciting and potentially lucrative venture. In Singapore, a thriving property market attracts both local...
Read More