Purchasing Older HDB Resale Flats: Key Considerations When the Flat Outlives You
TLDR HDB flats have a 99-year lease, and key housing schemes require the lease to cover the youngest owner until...
Read More
TLDR
Cooling measures in Singapore’s property market don’t guarantee cheaper homes. While they aim to slow price growth, history shows each market peak rebounds higher, making “wait-and-see” strategies risky. Different measures affect segments unevenly—foreign buyer taxes hit luxury condos, while HDB loan curbs barely touch private markets. Developers face tight margins and limited room to cut prices, meaning new launches often rise despite interventions. Some measures even raise costs permanently, like ABSD. Ultimately, timing the market is perilous; buyers should focus on personal financial readiness, stability, and finding a property that meets their needs rather than waiting for government policies to lower prices.
Property cooling measures often elicit two distinct reactions: some buyers rush to secure a property, fearing increased unaffordability due to loan curbs or higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD). Others adopt a “wait-and-see” approach, hoping these measures will depress prices. This analysis addresses the latter group, explaining why lower prices are not always the outcome.
The Flawed Premise of “Wait-and-See”
Cooling measures are inherently designed to exert downward pressure on home prices. Thus, the intuitive response to wait for the market to cool before buying appears logical. However, real-world dynamics are far more complex. While some point to cases like Urban Vista, where buyers in 2013 (a property peak coinciding with the implementation of cooling measures) saw prices decline, this scenario isn’t universally applicable.
Risks of a “Wait-and-See” Strategy:
- Prices Can Rebound Higher Than Before: Historical data shows that each property peak in Singapore (e.g., 1996, 2007, 2013) tends to surpass the previous one. A “wait-and-see” strategy becomes a perilous attempt to time the market. Even if prices dip post-cooling measure, identifying the market bottom is notoriously difficult. Buying after a dip, only to see prices fall further (as with Urban Vista from October 2013 to June 2014), can be painful. Conversely, missing the brief window of a downturn can lead to paying even more as the market rapidly ascends to its next peak. The HDB resale market’s trajectory post-Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) in 2013 illustrates this; prices plummeted but then soared past 2013 levels within approximately three years after the pandemic. Attempting to time the market’s bottom is a high-risk proposition.
- Varied Effects of Different Cooling Measures: Waiting for unspecified cooling measures is risky because their nature and impact are unpredictable. For instance, the April 2023 cooling measures imposed a substantial 60% ABSD on foreigners. However, this had minimal effect on mass-market condos in areas like Bedok or Jurong East, primarily targeting luxury properties. Similarly, the August 2024 measure, which reduced maximum HDB loan amounts, did not impact condo prices or private bank loan users. A typical Singaporean buyer looking for a mass-market condo would likely regret waiting for these specific measures, as average new launch prices rose from $2,185 psf in January 2023 to $2,475 psf in January 2025, demonstrating that recent cooling measures did not translate into lower prices for the average buyer. Even if a cooling measure exerts downward pressure, it might only slow price increases rather than cause an outright decline, especially in the resale market where financially stable sellers are less pressured to sell.
- Limited Downward Flexibility for Developers: Developers have faced increasing pressures in recent years, leading to lukewarm interest in replenishing land banks, even after the last en-bloc craze ended in 2017. Their margins are already thin, and new regulations like GFA harmonization (which prevent charging for non-usable spaces like air-con ledges) further squeeze profitability. Regardless of cooling measures, developers may have very little room to lower prices further, given current land costs.
- Cooling Measures Can Increase Your Costs: Some cooling measures, particularly those involving new taxes (like a hypothetical tax on properties above $1 million), would directly increase buyer costs. Since ABSD rates have historically never decreased, such taxes could become permanent. Even non-tax measures, such as tighter loan curbs, could hinder your ability to afford your desired property, leading to regret if you waited.
Prioritizing Personal Readiness Over Market Timing:
It is generally advisable not to attempt to time the market based on cooling measures. The decision to buy should primarily hinge on your personal financial situation: your readiness to make the initial payment, your ability to manage mortgage repayments, and your job security. If your income is unstable or mortgage payments would be a struggle, it is not an opportune time to buy, irrespective of cooling measures.
These financial considerations should be the primary determinants of when you buy. Additionally, for homeownership, factors like location, layout, amenities, and personal connection to an area are often irreplaceable. In the resale market, each unit possesses distinct characteristics. If you find a property that perfectly meets your needs, risking its loss by waiting for potential market changes or government policies in your favor is not recommended.
Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?
If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?
It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.
I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.
I can help you by:
- Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
- Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.
You May Also Like …
How Can Decoupling Help You in Buying a Second Property?
TLDR Decoupling property ownership in Singapore can help you avoid hefty Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty fees when purchasing a second...
Read More
Unveiling 4 Scenarios of CPF Accrued Interest Impact on Property Owners
TLDR When selling your first home, be aware of CPF accrued interest, which is the interest that would have accumulated...
Read More
5 Reasons Why Singapore Loves Investing in Properties
Property investing is a popular and lucrative option in Singapore due to several reasons. Firstly, Singapore's stable and growing economy...
Read More
5 Secrets To Successful Property Investing In Singapore
Investing in property is a popular option in Singapore, with many investors seeing it as a lucrative way to build...
Read More
The Best Time to Invest in Singapore’s Property Market: Timing is Everything
Investing in the property market is a significant decision that requires careful consideration and analysis. One crucial factor that determines...
Read More
Don’t Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore’s Property Market
Don't Get Scammed: The Top 5 Red Flags To Watch Out For In Singapore's Property Market When it comes to...
Read More
The Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone: A New Chapter, Not Just “Iskandar 2.0”
TLDR The Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ), launched in January 2025, is a bilateral effort aimed at sustainable economic growth...
Read More
The Top 5 Tax Considerations When Investing In Singapore Property
When investing in Singapore property, it is essential to be aware of the various tax implications and considerations. Here are...
Read More
Introducing Top 5 Power Property Tips
Hello, everyone! We are excited to welcome you to our blog posts! On this blog, we will be sharing daily...
Read More
When a Property Seller Pulls Out of the Deal : What Now?
TLDR When a property deal is not yet formalized, sellers can withdraw without consequences. However, once an Option to Purchase...
Read More
When Is The Best Time To Buy A New Launch?
TLDR When it comes to new property launches, timing is crucial. Early buyers often secure the best prices due to...
Read More
Singapore’s Population Hits 6.11M — What It Means for Housing Demand
TLDR Singapore’s population has reached a record 6.11 million, driven mainly by non-residents rather than local births. With fertility at...
Read More
5 Biggest Mistakes I Made When Starting Out In Singapore Property Investing
Investing in Singapore property can be an excellent way to generate passive income and build long-term wealth. However, like any...
Read More
Here’s How Property Data Can Be Misleading: Navigating Through Common Misunderstandings
TLDR When comparing property prices, discrepancies can arise due to various factors like timing of purchase, scarcity in niche projects,...
Read More
Beyond the Premium: Why Some Singaporean Homebuyers Steer Clear of Top-Floor Properties
TLDR Top-floor condominium units in Singapore often come at a premium price and are associated with luxury, but they have...
Read More
Singapore’s Best Kept Real Estate Secrets: 5 Insider Tips for Savvy Investors
Singapore's Best Kept Real Estate Secrets: 5 Insider Tips for Savvy Investors Here are 5 insider tips for those looking...
Read More
When Should You Consider Investing in Singapore Property, and When Should You Avoid It?
TLDR Investing in real estate is a complex decision influenced by personal goals, investment horizon, rental plans, and financial liquidity....
Read More
What Is The Cost Of Constructing A Landed Property In Singapore?
TLDR Building a landed property in Singapore can be a costly endeavor, with prices ranging from $300 to $500 per...
Read More
HDB Owners Have Identified This Reason as the Primary Barrier to Upgrading in 2024. Surprising? Not Really.
TLDR High property prices in Singapore make it difficult for most to upgrade from HDB flats to private condos, despite...
Read More
