Your search results

Why Cash Over Valuation (COV) Doesn’t Matter Anymore

Posted by Jayson Ang on September 20, 2025

| 0

TLDR

HDB’s old strategy of hiding Cash Over Valuation (COV) data isn’t cooling Singapore’s resale flat market anymore. Prices keep breaking records, driven by cash-rich right-sizers from the private market and sky-high private property prices making million-dollar HDBs look reasonable. Without public COV data, buyers only see final transacted prices, pushing future prices even higher. Public perception is key—if $2 million HDB deals become common, HDB’s stance may backfire. The market faces a critical test in 2025. Whether to buy, sell, or wait depends on individual circumstances. Strategic advice and a data-driven approach are crucial for making informed decisions in today’s unpredictable market.

The COV secret sauce isn’t working anymore. Record-breaking prices keep coming: $1.73 million yesterday, $1.88 million today in Bishan. That last one’s a maisonette from 1991 – practically a spring chicken among its kind, given HDB stopped building these units in 1995.

Remember 2014? When resale prices went wild, HDB played its trump card: hiding COV data. Buyers and sellers had to shake hands on price before seeing valuations. Overpay? Too bad – loans won’t cover that premium. The strategy worked beautifully then. Zero COV became standard, and prices took a nice, long nap.

Until Covid hit.

Why isn’t this old trick working now? First, meet the right-sizers. These folks just sold private properties at peak prices. They’re swimming in cash and happy to overpay for their forever HDB home. Who needs to worry about COV when you’re sitting on a private property windfall?

Private market prices aren’t helping either. That $1.4 million Henderson flat from 2022 looks almost quaint now. When private options hit $2 million, a million-dollar HDB starts making twisted sense.

Here’s the real deal: past transactions drive future prices. We see final prices but not COV amounts. Was that $800,000 flat really worth $800,000, or did someone pay $100,000 over value? Nobody knows. The next buyer just sees $800,000 and builds from there.

HDB faces a critical challenge: keeping flats under $2 million. They’ve already flagged one misleading $2 million listing (it was actually two units). But public perception is everything. If that $1.88 million Bishan unit sells, and others follow, HDB’s “unrealistic” stance might backfire spectacularly.

They pulled one rabbit from the hat with COV concealment. Time for another trick? 2025 should tell.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Buying Tips

Uncovering Hidden Details: Key Questions to Ask at a New Launch Condo Show Flat

Jayson Ang – January 2, 2026 –

TLDR Show flats can be impressive but may hide important details. Buyers should ask about room sizes, furniture fit, balcony...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Planning for Retirement: Considerations for Downsizing Your Property

Jayson Ang – February 19, 2023 –

TLDR Downsizing your home for retirement can bring financial security, closer family ties, and new adventures. Consider the benefits of...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Reasons : Why Investing In Conservation Shophouses In Singapore Can Be A Unique Opportunity

Jayson Ang – June 14, 2024 –

Conservation shophouses are a unique and valuable investment opportunity in Singapore. These historic buildings are a key part of the...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Differences Between OCR, RCR And CCR In Terms Of Lifestyle And Culture

Jayson Ang – April 15, 2025 –

Singapore, a vibrant and diverse city-state, is known for its unique blend of cultures, modern architecture, and thriving economy. The...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

A Beginner’s Guide to Homebuying: How to Choose the Perfect Property

Jayson Ang – May 20, 2023 –

TLDR When considering property investments, understanding your motives is crucial. Factors like accessibility to amenities, remaining lease, transaction history, rentability,...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : Location More Important Than Freehold Status?

Jayson Ang – March 3, 2025 –

When it comes to purchasing a property, there are numerous factors that potential buyers need to consider. While the debate...

All Opinion

The Cost of Housing – Affordability vs Premium?

Jayson Ang – August 11, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the challenges Singapore faces in housing affordability, particularly the rising costs of private homes compared...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Step-By-Step Guide To Buy Resale HDB (Updated March 2023)

Jayson Ang – July 13, 2023 –

TLDR The process of purchasing a resale HDB flat involves steps such as checking eligibility, calculating affordability, registering intent to...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Factors : Investing In Luxury Singapore Properties: Is It Worth It?

Jayson Ang – August 23, 2024 –

Investing in luxury properties has always been an attractive option for high-net-worth individuals seeking to diversify their investment portfolios. Singapore,...

All Buying Tips

Simplified Guide to Buying Landed Property in Singapore

Jayson Ang – January 8, 2024 –

TLDR When considering buying a landed property in Singapore, you have options like terrace homes, semi-detached houses, and bungalows. Understanding...