Your search results

What Might Occur If We Ease Property Cooling Measures?

Posted by Jayson Ang on July 21, 2025

| 0

TLDR

To assess if Singapore’s property cooling measures are working, compare our actions with China, which is applying the opposite strategy by trying to revive its real estate sector. China recently cut mortgage rates and raised the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, while Singapore tightened borrowing criteria and reduced LTVs. If China’s moves spark a rebound in prices, it suggests Singapore’s cooling measures might be effective at dampening demand. Watch China’s results closely, especially since changes in Chinese policy and buyer interest can impact Singapore’s luxury market (CCR). With higher ABSD for foreigners and easier conditions in China, fewer Chinese buyers may enter Singapore’s market in the near future. Whether you should buy, sell, or wait depends on your unique circumstances—there’s no one-size-fits-all answer, but data-driven advice and careful planning are more important than ever.

At times, an effective method to assess cooling measures is to observe those who are taking contrary actions.

How can we determine if the cooling measures in Singapore are effective? The most straightforward approach is to evaluate the outcomes after a few months. However, there’s another unconventional method: examining countries that are addressing the opposite issue (specifically, revitalising a struggling real-estate sector) and assessing whether their strategies differ significantly from ours. Currently, China serves as the most relevant case study for this.

China’s property market has been in crisis since 2021 (although some analysts might contend that it began a year earlier with the introduction of the three red lines policy). Nonetheless, the property giant Evergrande Group faced severe financial difficulties and failed to meet its debt obligations. When it defaulted on an offshore bond in December 2021, it triggered a cascade of events: Evergrande alone owed an estimated US$310 billion that could not be covered. Other real estate firms, such as Fantasia Holdings and Sinic Holdings Group, soon followed suit, leading to a prolonged downturn in China’s real estate market.

Recently, China has launched a substantial aid package for its property market, which stands in stark contrast to our cooling measures.

China has reduced mortgage interest rates by an average of 0.5 per cent for individual borrowers. Additionally, the maximum Loan To Value (LTV) ratio for home loans has been increased to 85 per cent, up from the previous 75 per cent.

This stands in stark contrast to the situation in Singapore. While our government has not raised interest rates, we have increased the floor rate for Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) and Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) calculations, making it more difficult for borrowers to qualify. Furthermore, we lowered the LTV for home loans to 75 per cent, including for HDB loans, back in August 2024.

If our cooling measures have effectively moderated prices, then the reverse should potentially boost prices – it will be intriguing to see the extent of this effect on the Chinese market.

For instance, how might a 0.5 per cent reduction in interest rates influence prices? This is particularly relevant for Singapore, as a significant rate cut in the US could also lead to lower mortgage rates here. The last time we experienced this was during 2018/9 and Covid, when lower interest rates substantially increased real estate prices. Our recent research indicates that from 2000 to 2024, interest rates were pivotal in driving up even resale flat prices. A 0.5 per cent interest rate reduction in China might provide valuable insights into its impact on prices today.

In terms of decreasing LTV ratios, observing its potential to revitalise the Chinese real estate market will also be of interest to us. If it shows little to no effect, we might anticipate a similarly modest impact from our latest cooling measures. This presents an opportunity to study how much leverage is necessary before real estate begins attracting new investors (and vice versa).

Next, we need to consider the additional impacts on our Core Central Region (CCR).

Those owning luxury CCR properties should be particularly vigilant regarding developments in China at this time. Chinese purchasers continue to represent a substantial portion of buyers in the CCR, as was evident in 2022 when they dominated the market for local luxury real estate.

Currently, Singapore imposes a 60 per cent ABSD on foreign buyers, while simultaneously, the Chinese government is relaxing mortgage regulations. This creates a significant incentive for Chinese investors to reconsider purchasing in Singapore and focus on opportunities back home.

The interplay between ABSD and the actions of China’s central bank may influence CCR property values in the near future, unless Singaporeans swiftly step in to fill the void—though this seems unlikely, as even many potential upgrader buyers find CCR condos financially unattainable today.

Should You Buy, Sell or Wait?

If you’re reading this, you must be trying to figure out the best course of action right now: is it the right time to buy or sell?

It’s difficult to give an exact answer since everyone’s situation is unique and what works for one person may not necessarily work for you.

I can bring you a wealth of on-the-ground experience and a data-driven approach to provide clarity and direction. From beginners to experienced investors, our top-down, objective approach will help you on your real estate journey.

I can help you by:

Offering Strategic Real Estate Advice – I can help create a comprehensive plan to guide you through your property journey.
Connecting Your Home with the Perfect Buyers – Through stunning visuals, an effective communication strategy, and an in-depth knowledge of the market, we’ll ensure your home is presented in the best possible way to fulfill your goals.

You May Also Like …

All Blog Posts Buying Tips Opinion

UNCOVERING the Secret to Profitable Small Boutique Condos!

Jayson Ang – November 30, 2024 –

TLDR Boutique condos, with fewer than 100 units, are known for price fluctuations due to infrequent transactions and higher upkeep...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Dangerous Ideas Singapore Property Investors Have

Jayson Ang – March 5, 2025 –

Singapore's property market has long been considered a safe and lucrative investment option for both local and foreign investors. The...

All Opinion Selling Tips

Beyond Profit: Singaporean Homeowners Share Stories of Purpose-Driven Property Purchases

Jayson Ang – January 18, 2026 –

TLDR In Singapore, some homeowners prioritize personal comfort, convenience, and family needs over financial gains in property purchases. YC bought...

All Buying Tips

Is the Singapore Property Market Set for a Dip in 2024?

Jayson Ang – January 26, 2024 –

TLDR The Singapore property market is experiencing shifts with Morgan Stanley adjusting its outlook on major developers. A forecast predicts...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

Exploring the Resale Condo Market? Here’s What to Watch Out For!

Jayson Ang – March 22, 2023 –

TLDR The impact of COVID-19 on Singapore's real estate market has been significant, leading to a surge in demand for...

All Blog Posts Opinion

Don’t Miss Out: Take Control of Your Life in Your 30s and 40s

Jayson Ang – December 28, 2022 –

TLDR The stages of wealth management vary from ages 30 to 80, with different focuses and considerations at each stage:...

All Buying Tips

Want To Buy A Property? Read Me First!

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR Understanding the key factors involved in buying property in Singapore is crucial for making informed decisions. Consider your investment...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Making Sense of 99-Year Landed Home Investments in Singapore

Jayson Ang – August 25, 2024 –

TLDR Investing in a 99-year leasehold landed property in Singapore can be a lucrative venture due to the country's land...

Mandarin Top 5

Exploring Singapore: The Top 5 Surprising Facts You Never Knew

Jayson Ang – March 13, 2025 –

Singapore, a city-state in Southeast Asia, is known for its rich cultural heritage, diverse population, and vibrant food scene. This...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Bakeries in Singapore for Fresh Bread and Pastries

Jayson Ang – May 6, 2024 –

Singapore, a melting pot of cultures and flavors, is well-known for its diverse culinary scene. Among the many gastronomic delights...

All Blog Posts Opinion

When Should You Consider a Shorter/Longer Home Tenure?

Jayson Ang – May 8, 2023 –

TLDR Understanding the benefits of long-term home loans is crucial for financially conservative individuals in Singapore. Opting for a longer...

Mandarin Top 5

5 Tips To Spot Winning Investment Properties In Singapore

Jayson Ang – September 6, 2024 –

Investing in real estate is an exciting and potentially lucrative venture. In Singapore, a thriving property market attracts both local...

Buying Tips Mandarin Top 5

Why Chinese Investors Should Not Be Deterred by ABSD: 5 Reasons

Jayson Ang – June 26, 2023 –

Why Chinese Investors Should Not Be Deterred by ABSD: 5 Reasons Here are the top 5 reasons why Chinese investors...

All Buying Tips

Crucial Facts : All First Time Buyers Need to Know

Jayson Ang – December 7, 2022 –

TLDR When it comes to property investment for first-time buyers in Singapore, careful planning and early action are key. Consider...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons Why Singapore’s Luxury Property Market Is Booming – Expert Analysis!

Jayson Ang – October 17, 2024 –

Singapore's luxury property market has been experiencing a significant boom in recent years, attracting the attention of investors and high-net-worth...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 Reasons : How Investing in a Luxury Condominium in Singapore Can Boost Your Portfolio

Jayson Ang – January 16, 2025 –

Investing in a luxury condominium in Singapore is an attractive option for investors looking to diversify their portfolio and enjoy...

All Buying Tips Opinion

Is It Better To Purchase A Larger HDB Or A Smaller Condo For $1 Million In 2025?

Jayson Ang – August 14, 2025 –

TLDR When comparing a large, centrally located resale flat (e.g., 5-room HDB) with a small condo around the $1 million...

All

Is Great World Quietly Becoming Central Singapore’s Most Livable Locale?

Jayson Ang – April 20, 2026 –

TLDR Great World, located in Singapore’s Core Central Region (CCR), offers a unique blend of heritage, community, and convenience distinct...

All Blog Posts Buying Tips

35 Brand New Condominiums Nearing Their ABSD Deadline 2023

Jayson Ang – March 4, 2023 –

TLDR The blog post discusses the looming ABSD deadline for several new launch condos in 2023, highlighting the impact on...

Mandarin Top 5

Top 5 : Advantages of Owning a Luxury Condominium in Singapore for Long-Term Investment

Jayson Ang – February 23, 2025 –

Singapore, a thriving global city-state, has become an attractive destination for real estate investors. Among the various property types available,...