Timing the Market: Lessons from Singapore’s Property Price Fluctuations
TLDR Singapore’s property market has seen price declines during major crises such as the 1985-1989 pre-recession, 1996-1998 Asian Financial Crisis,...
Read More
TLDR
In 2021, the real estate market saw a surge in demand due to low interest rates and supply chain disruptions. The upcoming hike in interest rates may worry some homebuyers, but historical data shows that well-planned property investments can still yield substantial profits despite interest rate fluctuations. Rising interest rates are often linked to inflation, which can actually drive property prices up. Focusing on other key factors besides interest rates when choosing an investment property is crucial for maximizing returns.
We have all seen in 2021, an amazing year for sellers as we saw property prices hitting new peaks. A pent-up buying demand caused by impacts on tourism and uncertainties in the financial markets during the Covid-19 pandemic has steered many to the real estate market. Adding fuel to the hungry fire, delays in construction and rising costs in materials caused by global supply chain disruption and manpower crunch amplified the heat further.
This huge spike in demand against the depleting supplies has forced many homebuyers to sweep up the unsold inventory causing it to hit a record low of 19,409 in 2Q2021.
Homebuyers were further enticed by the increase in their purchasing power with interest rates hitting an all-time low.
Fast-forward to the present, as the economy is moving towards recovery, there are plans by the US Fed to raise interest rates for the first time since 2018. As most of you might know, Singapore’s interest rates are closely pegged to the movements of the US Fed’s interest rate.
So how will the imminent hike in interest rates affect you?
To better understand this, let’s first take a look at the types of interest rates offered here in Singapore.
Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR)
Total Debt Servicing Ratio is a financial safety mechanism introduced by the Singapore Government to ensure that its people are not overleveraging and have the necessary financial capabilities to pay off their loans.
The Impacts Of Rising Interest Rates
Consumers are afraid of raising interest rates because it affects the eventual amount home buyers have to pay after calculating accrued interest from their home loans.
What if I tell you that whether the interest rate is moving upwards or downwards has minimal effects on your home – if you’ve made calculated considerations on buying your home?
Many would think that it’s a bad time to be thinking about buying a home when interest rates are set to hike, but let the statistics and examples below reveal to you the truth about the relationship between the property market and interest rates.
Looking at Figure 1 below, property prices have been on an incline over the past 20 years. In fact, since 2010Q1, interest rates have been relatively flat except for 2015Q1 when they started surging and then slumming again when the pandemic came.
Figure 1: PPI vs Interest rates (2002Q1 to 2021Q3)
Does it mean that people who bought properties between 2015Q1 and the pandemic suffered losses when the interest rates flattened over the last 2 years?
You will be very surprised to find out that not only did they not suffer a loss, but many buyers made extremely lucrative returns.
Just as buyers of Twin Vew in Figure 2 below, who bought their property at one of the peaks for interest rates in 2018, and managed to make close to a whopping half a million dollars when they sold it in 2021.
Interest rates for mortgages may be one of the most important concerns you may have when purchasing a property. However, few realised that it should not be the most important factor to consider when it comes to choosing the right property for reaping good profits. The case study above clearly illustrates that rising interest rates did not hinder the growth of a well-planned and selected property.
Figure 2: Historical profitable transactions for Twin Vew
Here’s another example for you, Treasure @ Tampines in Figure 3 below, the unit that was bought when the interest rates were high in 2019Q2 also managed to make tremendous returns of $416,000 in just less than 3 years.
This could be you if you knew exactly what to buy and when, instead of worrying about interest rates. Ultimately, the growth of property prices greatly overshadows hiking interest rates. 
Figure 3: Historical profitable transactions for Treasure @ Tampines
To understand the rationale of why hikes in interest rates are not causing the property market to crumble or stagnate, one has to understand the reason why interest rates are increasing.
In fact, we all know that inflation has caused the increase in prices of almost everything money can buy – that includes property. And in order for the monetary authority to mitigate inflation, increasing the interest rate is one of the most effective tools to do so. So even if there isn’t any growth in the real estate market over the next few years, we will possibly see property prices escalate solely fuelled by inflation.
What does this mean for homebuyers?
Focusing on the wrong thing may incur a heftier opportunity cost. The rising interest rates and other trigger factors* should be an indication for investors or homebuyers to start taking swift action.
It is monumentally tough for anyone to time the market but there is always a way to sift out the ideal investment property that could reap the best possible rewards.
Hit me up and I shall share with you the other factors* to look out for when choosing the ideal investment property.
You May Also Like …
Top 5 Romantic Date Spots in Singapore
Singapore, known for its stunning skyline and diverse culture, is a melting pot of romantic opportunities just waiting to be...
Read More
Snag a Sentosa Condo for 40% Off? Should You Consider It!
TLDR The Residences at W Singapore Sentosa Cove has slashed prices by over 40%, but there are important details to...
Read More
Top 5 Singaporean Dishes to Try
Singapore, a melting pot of diverse cultures and flavors, is known for its rich culinary heritage. With influences from Chinese,...
Read More
Discover the 3 Top Factors Impacting HDB Resale Valuation in Singapore: What Every Buyer Must Know!
TLDR The blog post discusses the increased demand for HDB resale flats and the impact on prices. It emphasizes the...
Read More
2024 Will Be A Buyers Market
TLDR 2023 saw a roller-coaster ride in the real estate market, with various challenges like high interest rates and geopolitical...
Read More
5 Things to Know About Singapore’s Freehold & Leasehold Properties
5 Things to Know About Singapore's Freehold & Leasehold Properties Here are 5 things you need to know about Singapore's...
Read More
44 Exciting New Condo Launches in 2024 Starting at $1,402!
Alright, let's talk about 2024. We're not expecting the same kind of shortages we've seen after COVID-19. Some folks are...
Read More
Top 5 Factors : Location More Important Than Freehold Status?
When it comes to purchasing a property, there are numerous factors that potential buyers need to consider. While the debate...
Read More
A Milestone for Singles: New HDB Rule Prioritizes Proximity to Parents
TLDR The upcoming Family Care Scheme (FCS), launching mid-2025 in Singapore, prioritizes singles applying for BTO flats near their parents,...
Read More
Is the Dream of Homeownership Becoming a Steeper Climb?
TLDR The article discusses the evolving trends in the Singaporean real estate market, focusing on the affordability and accessibility of...
Read More
Top 5 Reasons : Why Investing In Singapore’s Property Market Is Recession-Resistant
Singapore's property market has long been considered a safe haven for investors, even during times of economic uncertainty. The city-state's...
Read More
Uncovering Hidden Details: Key Questions to Ask at a New Launch Condo Show Flat
TLDR Show flats can be impressive but may hide important details. Buyers should ask about room sizes, furniture fit, balcony...
Read More
Unseen Dangers of Putting Your Money in Upscale Freehold Properties in Singapore
TLDR Luxury freehold properties in Singapore may not always be the lucrative investment opportunities they appear to be. High-end properties...
Read More
Reasons Why En-Bloc Sales Are Expected to Remain Slow in 2025
TLDR From 2014 to 2024, the en-bloc market has faced challenges due to fluctuating cooling measures and a shift from...
Read More
5 Frequently Heard Sales Pitches from Agents Encouraging You to Choose a New Development Instead of a Resale Condo: How Accurate Are They?
TLDR While some agents may discourage resale condos due to personal incentives, the difference in profits between resale and new...
Read More
Top 5 Reasons : Why Does Singapore Have Such Extensive Restrictions On Foreigners Purchasing Residential Property?
Singapore, a thriving city-state in Southeast Asia, is known for its stable political climate, strong economy, and strategic location. As...
Read More
5 Tips : How To Spot A Good Investment Opportunity In Singapore’s Property Market
Singapore's property market offers a plethora of investment opportunities for both local and foreign investors. To spot a good investment...
Read More
Are Early Bird Discounts At New Launches Genuine Or A Marketing Gimmick?
TLDR When considering investing in new property projects, understanding developers' pricing strategies is crucial. Early bird discounts are not just...
Read More
Understanding Government Land Sales (GLS) and Their Influence on Singapore’s Property Market
TLDR Singapore’s Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme is a key tool used by the government to manage land supply and...
Read More
